Albert Edwards: The Ice Age Is Finally Over
The US is likely headed into a proper recession, but according to one erstwhile deflationist,
One Does Not Simply Become Walmart
The US consumer is “very healthy.” That’s according to Target CEO Brian Cornell, who spent
Retail Sales Suggest US Consumers Spent Some Gas ‘Savings’
Retail sales were unchanged in the US last month, reflecting a weekslong drop in gas
The ‘Now’ Zeitgeist
A pair of macro notables served as a reminder that however close we may be
Mechanical Bull: What’s Really Behind The Summer Stock Rally
It’s certainly tempting to cite the “peak inflation” narrative and attendant expectations for an incrementally
Inflation Left-Tail Is Dying. But Hold The Champagne
The inflation left-tail risk may be “dying out.” That was one message from Nomura’s Charlie
Housing Sends Mixed Signals As Starts Fall, Home Depot Holds Up
In news that should surprise exactly no one, US housing starts fell sharply in July,
Everyday Low Bar: Walmart Steps Over Twice-Cut Forecast
Walmart is “seeing more middle- and high-income shoppers,” CEO Doug McMillon said Tuesday. It was
‘Tail Risks Are Diminishing,’ Kolanovic, JPMorgan Say
There are three possible scenarios for US growth, according to JPMorgan. One involves the risk
The Elephant In The Room
What about QT? Has everyone forgotten about QT? That’s one (among several) questions BofA’s Savita
This Bear Isn’t Buying It
Mike Wilson was “surprised” by the “magnitude” of a bear market rally that propelled US
US Enters ‘Housing Recession’ As Sentiment Dives
The US is in a “housing recession.” That’s according to NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz,
One Bear Has Some Distressing Math For Bulls
“Why is everyone so happy about 8.5% inflation?” BofA’s Savita Subramanian wondered, adopting an incredulous
Bottom Falls Out With Shocking Drop In Empire Survey
I suppose I’m supposed to call it a “shocker.” Because that’d generate the most reader
Days Of Our Lives
Global growth concerns cast a pall Monday following another disappointing read on the Chinese economy.
China Cuts Rates In Surprise Move As Data Disappoints
In what could plausibly be construed as a somewhat desperate move, China cut two key
Which Way Is Up?
Markets may feel lackadaisical in the new week. It’s the middle of August, after all.
Heat Check
Market participants — those not on vacation, anyway — have busied themselves recently obsessing over
2022: The Most Bearish, Illiquid Year Since Lehman?
Over the years, I’ve dedicated quite a bit of coverage to the feedback loop between
Buybacks And Such
One consequence of the improved mood across risk assets was a resurgence in equity offerings.
‘Cash Is Oxygen’
You know it’s a slow news day when Peloton and Michael Burry compete for space
Party Crasher
Those hoping for one more dovish surprise on the inflation front before the weekend were
Credit Growth In China Just Plunged
Credit creation in China slowed dramatically last month, notable data out Friday showed. The figures,
Inflection?
Investors were “back in credit,” “back in tech” and “fading inflation” over the past week.
Wen Stock Record?
Does the equity rebound have legs? It’s probably time we stop asking that in favor
The ‘Then What?!’ Scenario
If you’re looking for a reason to worry (and who isn’t, right?) you might consider
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