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Featured

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026

Markets

Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Weekly: Something Wicked This Way Comes?

    October 23, 2026October 26, 2026
  • After The Rally: What’s Next For Treasurys?

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026

economy

It’s All Relative

October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Kevin Needs A Credit Event

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026
  • Return Of The Left-Tail

    October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

You Break It, You Buy It

September 7, 2022September 15, 2022

The Fed is in the inflation fight for “as long as it takes,” Lael Brainard

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6 Comments on You Break It, You Buy It

WSJ ‘Fed Whisperer’ Now Calling All The Shots

September 7, 2022September 8, 2022

On a fateful Friday morning in mid-June, the Fed ran into trouble when an extremely

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4 Comments on WSJ ‘Fed Whisperer’ Now Calling All The Shots

‘Watch It Go’: The Yen And A ‘Quartet Of Grey Swans’

September 7, 2022September 13, 2022

Admittedly, I ran out of creative ways to tell the same story about the yen

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6 Comments on ‘Watch It Go’: The Yen And A ‘Quartet Of Grey Swans’

Meanwhile, Canada Sacrifices Housing Bubble To Curb Inflation

September 7, 2022September 7, 2022

The Bank of Canada escalated its battle with inflation Wednesday, raising rates by another 75bps.

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1 Comment on Meanwhile, Canada Sacrifices Housing Bubble To Curb Inflation

Things Just Turned More Serious In China

September 7, 2022September 8, 2022

The outlook for the beleaguered Chinese economy darkened further as trade data for August underwhelmed,

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1 Comment on Things Just Turned More Serious In China

‘Make No Mistake,’ It Can Get Worse For Stocks

September 6, 2022September 9, 2022

It’s been an especially rough year for US equities. In fact, 2022 was worse than

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2 Comments on ‘Make No Mistake,’ It Can Get Worse For Stocks

I’m From The Government, And I’m Here To Help

September 6, 2022September 16, 2022

If fighting determined central banks is a fool’s errand, what is fighting panicked governments? That’s

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8 Comments on I’m From The Government, And I’m Here To Help

Don’t Panic About The Yuan. Yet

September 6, 2022September 9, 2022

To read the headlines, you’d think the Chinese yuan had depreciated through record levels. Or

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1 Comment on Don’t Panic About The Yuan. Yet

Dramatic Divergence Seen In Dueling US Services Sector Surveys

September 6, 2022September 7, 2022

The US economy isn’t in a recession. Or at least not according to a spate

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2 Comments on Dramatic Divergence Seen In Dueling US Services Sector Surveys

War Footing

September 5, 2022September 7, 2022

The world is six months into the war in Ukraine. Or eight years, or 239

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10 Comments on War Footing

Saudis Snub White House As OPEC Reverses Output Hike

September 5, 2022September 6, 2022

It’d be a shame if oil prices fell too much. OPEC+ on Monday agreed to

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13 Comments on Saudis Snub White House As OPEC Reverses Output Hike

Truss Issues

September 5, 2022September 11, 2022

Liz Truss, political shape-shifter extraordinaire, morphed into UK prime minister on Monday, as expected. Her

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6 Comments on Truss Issues

Europe Turns Chaotic As Kremlin Follows Familiar Playbook

September 5, 2022September 6, 2022

Regional equities were under pressure, the euro sank below 0.99 and benchmark gas prices jumped

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5 Comments on Europe Turns Chaotic As Kremlin Follows Familiar Playbook

High Energy, High Drama

September 4, 2022September 5, 2022

US investors will step out of the holiday and into a data vacuum in the

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9 Comments on High Energy, High Drama

‘Putin’s Responsibility’: Germany Bails Out Households

September 4, 2022September 10, 2022

There’s something ironic about an “inflation-busting” plan that involves billions in government expenditures. But, when

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6 Comments on ‘Putin’s Responsibility’: Germany Bails Out Households

Larry Summers Isn’t Buying It

September 3, 2022September 5, 2022

Generally speaking, market participants were pleased with the latest jobs report out of the world’s

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2 Comments on Larry Summers Isn’t Buying It

‘The Thrill Is Gone’ For Equities. And Your QT Questions Answered

September 3, 2022September 5, 2022

For the better part of a dozen years, stocks were beyond reproach. Thanks to subdued

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5 Comments on ‘The Thrill Is Gone’ For Equities. And Your QT Questions Answered

Stocks Go From Sacred Cow To Sacrificial Lamb

September 3, 2022September 9, 2022

If Neel Kashkari was “actually happy” to see US equities fall following Jerome Powell’s terse

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4 Comments on Stocks Go From Sacred Cow To Sacrificial Lamb

The Charge Fed Critics Miss Is The Most Terrifying Of All

September 2, 2022September 3, 2022

The Fed and its many critics have at least one thing in common: They both

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12 Comments on The Charge Fed Critics Miss Is The Most Terrifying Of All

Wanted In Europe: Mild Winter, ‘Specialized Repair Company’

September 2, 2022September 8, 2022

Wanted: “A specialized repair company.” If that’s you, and you can ensure the “complete elimination

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5 Comments on Wanted In Europe: Mild Winter, ‘Specialized Repair Company’

Soaring Energy Prices Belie ‘Cheapest Ever’ Energy Stocks

September 2, 2022September 3, 2022

Besides USD cash, commodities are the only asset class that’s worked in 2022. Everyone can

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1 Comment on Soaring Energy Prices Belie ‘Cheapest Ever’ Energy Stocks

Jobs Report Checks ‘Goldilocks’ Boxes

September 2, 2022September 7, 2022

The pace of hiring in the US decelerated, but remained robust in August, according to

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1 Comment on Jobs Report Checks ‘Goldilocks’ Boxes

Epochal Shifts, Generational Bears

September 2, 2022September 3, 2022

“We expect new highs in yields and new lows in stocks.” That was the message

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3 Comments on Epochal Shifts, Generational Bears

What If ‘Normal’ Isn’t What We Think It Is?

September 1, 2022September 2, 2022

The past two years prompted quite a bit of soul-searching for humanity, and particularly for

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17 Comments on What If ‘Normal’ Isn’t What We Think It Is?

Things Just Got ‘Real’

September 1, 2022September 3, 2022

An increasingly acute tightening impulse from a buoyant dollar and surging US real yields is

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4 Comments on Things Just Got ‘Real’

China Descends Further Into Crisis With Megacity Lockdown

September 1, 2022September 8, 2022

Markets warily eyed a bevy of inauspicious developments as September dawned, including a new COVID

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12 Comments on China Descends Further Into Crisis With Megacity Lockdown

‘Manufacturing’ A Narrative Before ‘The Music Stops’

September 1, 2022September 3, 2022

The US economy is resilient. So said top-tier data released on Thursday, less than 24

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Leave a Comment on ‘Manufacturing’ A Narrative Before ‘The Music Stops’

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • George Ponderevo on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • Mr. Dog on The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State
  • John3D on The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State
  • Steven Girard on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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