Yes, Credit Is Probably Cracking

I keep hearing credit "hasn't cracked yet" despite turmoil in rates, equities and FX. That's true.

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5 thoughts on “Yes, Credit Is Probably Cracking

  1. It’s hard to imagine the Fed doing QT for more than 12-18 months in the current market conditions. I expect they’ll be back buying treasuries before the end of 2023.

  2. I don’t understand how money can flow out of bond funds. Does that mean new issuance was less than retirement? Otherwise if I sell, someone has to buy and there is no “outflow”, just change of ownership.

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