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Featured

The Tragic Irony Of The Israeli State

October 28, 2026October 28, 2026
  • F-ck You, Claude (Zen)

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Frozen Bubble

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Around, Around We Go

    October 27, 2026October 27, 2026

Markets

Anthropic: The Promise, The Numbers, The Risks

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Only You Can Prevent A Bear Market

    October 26, 2026October 27, 2026
  • Credit Canaries

    October 25, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Weekly: Something Wicked This Way Comes?

    October 23, 2026October 26, 2026
  • After The Rally: What’s Next For Treasurys?

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026

economy

It’s All Relative

October 27, 2026October 28, 2026
  • It’s A Big Week

    October 25, 2026October 27, 2026
  • What To Expect From The October FOMC Meeting

    October 24, 2026October 26, 2026
  • Kevin Needs A Credit Event

    October 23, 2026October 25, 2026
  • Return Of The Left-Tail

    October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Geopolitics

Lula!

October 26, 2026October 27, 2026

Not Done Just Yet?

October 22, 2026October 23, 2026

Questions, But No Answers

October 19, 2026October 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Not Since 1969…

October 22, 2026October 24, 2026

Mind The Control Group!

October 15, 2026October 16, 2026

Pressure Cooker

September 27, 2022September 28, 2022

“You’re not leaving much time to sort of look at each monthly release,” Charles Evans

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11 Comments on Pressure Cooker

2022’s Bear Goes From Bond Collapse To Risk-Off

September 26, 2022September 27, 2022

The worst rout in global government bonds since 1949 rolled on Monday, as US yields

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4 Comments on 2022’s Bear Goes From Bond Collapse To Risk-Off

BoE Tempts Traders With Boilerplate Bailey Statement

September 26, 2022September 28, 2022

The Bank of England on Monday did precisely what you don’t want to do in

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3 Comments on BoE Tempts Traders With Boilerplate Bailey Statement

‘Plaza Moment’ Pondered As Dollar Makes ‘Everything An Emerging Market’

September 26, 2022October 4, 2022

Market chatter around the prospect of a global accord aimed at halting the dollar’s inexorable

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18 Comments on ‘Plaza Moment’ Pondered As Dollar Makes ‘Everything An Emerging Market’

UK Financial Crisis: Analysts Weigh In On ‘Calamity’

September 26, 2022October 3, 2022

I doubt I was alone Monday in scouring the thesaurus for adjectives sufficient to convey

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13 Comments on UK Financial Crisis: Analysts Weigh In On ‘Calamity’

Carnage: Pound, Gilts Suffer Total Meltdown

September 26, 2022September 26, 2022

Carnage. That’s the best one-word description of the market revolt unleashed by Liz Truss and

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20 Comments on Carnage: Pound, Gilts Suffer Total Meltdown

The Usual Bearish Suspects

September 25, 2022September 26, 2022

Among the responses to “Apocalypse Soon” was a reference to the “usual bearish suspects.” We

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4 Comments on The Usual Bearish Suspects

Like March 2020. But Without A Backstop

September 25, 2022September 30, 2022

Markets can look forward to incessant Fed banter in the new week. And I do

Read More

2 Comments on Like March 2020. But Without A Backstop

Runaway Inflation In Europe: Does The ECB Even Matter?

September 25, 2022September 26, 2022

In addition to a cacophony of policymaker soundbites, traders will be compelled to grapple with

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3 Comments on Runaway Inflation In Europe: Does The ECB Even Matter?

Pressing Shorts To Save The World

September 24, 2022September 25, 2022

A key consideration when you ponder the prospect of a global financial meltdown, is the

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8 Comments on Pressing Shorts To Save The World

Apocalypse Soon: The Fed Is Risking A Global Financial Crisis

September 24, 2022October 4, 2022

How many times have I talked about a “breaking point” for markets in September? A

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19 Comments on Apocalypse Soon: The Fed Is Risking A Global Financial Crisis

Charts From ‘Black Friday’ In The UK

September 24, 2022September 26, 2022

Via Alpha Exchange. Get the podcast here Black Monday (10/19/1987), Black Tuesday (10/29/1929), Black Wednesday (9/16/1992), Black

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5 Comments on Charts From ‘Black Friday’ In The UK

Truss Plan Pushes UK To Edge Of Crisis

September 23, 2022October 2, 2022

“Casino economics” that will “end in tears” with a possible run on the pound. That’s

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18 Comments on Truss Plan Pushes UK To Edge Of Crisis

The Wrecking Ball

September 23, 2022September 25, 2022

Currently, data which suggests the US economy is picking up momentum (as opposed to losing

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12 Comments on The Wrecking Ball

Europe Set For Bear Market, Recession As Money ‘Pours Out’

September 23, 2022September 24, 2022

Risk assets were in trouble Friday, as European shares careened lower amid poor data, war

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4 Comments on Europe Set For Bear Market, Recession As Money ‘Pours Out’

Goldman Takes Axe To House S&P Call

September 23, 2022September 24, 2022

In a high profile, if not wholly unexpected, call, Goldman slashed its year-end S&P 500

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8 Comments on Goldman Takes Axe To House S&P Call

What If It All Comes Apart?

September 22, 2022September 23, 2022

Considering markets as we’ve come to know them over the past decade (or three) were

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6 Comments on What If It All Comes Apart?

Powell Press Conference Showed Why Fed Should Stop Talking

September 22, 2022September 23, 2022

If you took anything away from the past 24 hours in markets, it should probably

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2 Comments on Powell Press Conference Showed Why Fed Should Stop Talking

Meanwhile, In Turkey!

September 22, 2022September 30, 2022

If the situation weren’t so burdensome for the populace, I’d say you have to admire

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4 Comments on Meanwhile, In Turkey!

Bank Of England’s Perilous High-Wire Act Continues

September 22, 2022September 25, 2022

The Bank of England raised rates for a seventh consecutive meeting on Thursday, escalating a

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Leave a Comment on Bank Of England’s Perilous High-Wire Act Continues

Japan Goes To War With Kuroda’s BoJ Over Plunging Yen

September 22, 2022September 28, 2022

The Bank of Japan is now effectively at war with the Japanese finance ministry, an

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5 Comments on Japan Goes To War With Kuroda’s BoJ Over Plunging Yen

Powell Wishes He Could Wish Away Inflation. Alas…

September 21, 2022September 22, 2022

The Fed has reached the lowest level of restrictive policy, Jerome Powell said Wednesday, during

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13 Comments on Powell Wishes He Could Wish Away Inflation. Alas…

A Hawkish 75?

September 21, 2022September 27, 2022

The Fed on Wednesday delivered a third consecutive 75bps rate hike, escalating a historic and,

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3 Comments on A Hawkish 75?

Putin Escalates

September 21, 2022September 27, 2022

Vladimir Putin appears poised to escalate the conflict in Ukraine. Following a string of embarrassing

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34 Comments on Putin Escalates

Mobilizing On Peace Day

September 21, 2022September 22, 2022

Russian equities weren’t amused with a second day of war escalations from the Kremlin. Local

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7 Comments on Mobilizing On Peace Day

Existing Home Sales Fall Again. US Homeowners Seen ‘Locked In’

September 21, 2022September 23, 2022

Existing home sales in the US came in slightly better than expected for August, while

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7 Comments on Existing Home Sales Fall Again. US Homeowners Seen ‘Locked In’

‘Bad For America’: Dimon Steps Up Regulatory Rhetoric

September 20, 2022September 23, 2022

When last I checked in on Jamie Dimon, America’s favorite “red-blooded capitalist” was busy regaling analysts

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3 Comments on ‘Bad For America’: Dimon Steps Up Regulatory Rhetoric

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Steven Girard on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • SeaTurtle on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • Pyrognosis on F-ck You, Claude (Zen)
  • Caribbean Breeze on It’s All Relative

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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