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Featured

‘Clearly Booming’ US Economy Reignites Bond Selloff

September 23, 2026
  • Knock, Knock. Who’s There? 7%!

    September 23, 2026
  • The Diesel Question

    September 23, 2026September 23, 2026
  • Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

    September 22, 2026

Markets

There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

politics

‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

September 22, 2026September 23, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 23, 2026
  • A King In Washington

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • Achtung Baby

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

    September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Economy

WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

September 22, 2026September 23, 2026

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026

Weekly: The Counterfactual

September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Is China Panicking Over Weak Yuan?

July 20, 2023July 21, 2023

The Chinese yuan — you know, the managed currency that’s going to supplant the currency

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1 Comment on Is China Panicking Over Weak Yuan?

Explaining The ‘Strangest’ Thing Albert Edwards Has Ever Seen

July 20, 2023August 8, 2023

SocGen’s Albert Edwards saw something this week he couldn’t believe. “Normally when interest rates rise,

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9 Comments on Explaining The ‘Strangest’ Thing Albert Edwards Has Ever Seen

Jobless Claims Fall, Philly Prices Spread Plunges To Most Negative Ever

July 20, 2023July 20, 2023

The US labor market isn’t cracking. Initial jobless claims fell to 228,000 in the week

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1 Comment on Jobless Claims Fall, Philly Prices Spread Plunges To Most Negative Ever

Tesla, Netflix Mark Unofficial Start To Big US ‘Tech’ Earnings

July 19, 2023July 20, 2023

Wednesday marked the unofficial start of big “tech” earnings in the US, as Tesla and

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2 Comments on Tesla, Netflix Mark Unofficial Start To Big US ‘Tech’ Earnings

Was Q2 ‘As Bad As It Gets’ For Goldman?

July 19, 2023July 19, 2023

“Corporate activity and capital formation are core to our financial system,” David Solomon said Wednesday,

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2 Comments on Was Q2 ‘As Bad As It Gets’ For Goldman?

Melting Up To 4700?

July 19, 2023

As you might’ve noticed, US equities are demonstrating an unshakable propensity to melt up into

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1 Comment on Melting Up To 4700?

Goldman Had An Interesting Quarter

July 19, 2023July 24, 2023

Headed into Q2 results Wednesday, it was just a matter of how bad Goldman’s report

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Leave a Comment on Goldman Had An Interesting Quarter

Spring Binge Building Gave US Home Construction A Hangover

July 19, 2023July 20, 2023

The boom in US home construction abated a bit in June, data released on Wednesday

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1 Comment on Spring Binge Building Gave US Home Construction A Hangover

In The UK, A Rare Glimmer Of Inflation Hope

July 19, 2023July 20, 2023

Believe it or not, the UK delivered some incrementally good news on inflation Wednesday. Consumer

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Leave a Comment on In The UK, A Rare Glimmer Of Inflation Hope

Pros Versus Amateurs

July 18, 2023July 18, 2023

Is there a sentiment disparity between professional and individual investors into the summer equity rally?

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1 Comment on Pros Versus Amateurs

$650 Billion Is Still Bearish. Sort Of.

July 18, 2023

For all the talk of a “FOMO”-driven equity rally, plain old fear is still more

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1 Comment on $650 Billion Is Still Bearish. Sort Of.

Donald Trump Is No Victim

July 18, 2023August 8, 2023

Donald Trump on Tuesday informed the 5.71 million unfortunate souls who wittingly subject themselves to

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9 Comments on Donald Trump Is No Victim

McElligott Flags Potential For ‘Very Large’ Vol Control Selling

July 18, 2023July 19, 2023

A consistent, reliable buyer of equities could morph into a seller going forward. And it

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3 Comments on McElligott Flags Potential For ‘Very Large’ Vol Control Selling

US Retail Sales Miss, But Control Group Doubles Estimates

July 18, 2023July 19, 2023

US retail sales rose less than expected in June, data out Tuesday showed. The figures,

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Upbeat Outlook Helps Offset Morgan Stanley’s ‘Meh’ Quarter

July 18, 2023July 19, 2023

Morgan Stanley delivered Q2 results that underwhelmed on Tuesday. The second quarter began with “subdued

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BofA Results Clear Bar. Trading Strong Again

July 18, 2023July 18, 2023

Big bank earnings continued to roll in on Tuesday, when Bank of America delivered a

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Leave a Comment on BofA Results Clear Bar. Trading Strong Again

Worst-Case Liquidity Outcome Averted. But Risks Remain

July 17, 2023July 17, 2023

There’s still a ~$1 trillion question hanging over markets: How much Treasury issuance will ultimately

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Leave a Comment on Worst-Case Liquidity Outcome Averted. But Risks Remain

JPMorgan Stays Bearish As Goldman Again Cuts US Recession Odds

July 17, 2023July 18, 2023

Goldman on Monday cut the subjective odds they assign to a US recession. Again. The

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4 Comments on JPMorgan Stays Bearish As Goldman Again Cuts US Recession Odds

The Dollar: It’s Complicated

July 17, 2023August 8, 2023

There was a lot of talk last week about a purported regime shift for the

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4 Comments on The Dollar: It’s Complicated

Morgan Stanley’s ‘Buy Any Dip in Bonds’ Call

July 17, 2023July 18, 2023

Two weeks after taking Bill Dudley to task on his suggestion that the worst isn’t

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2 Comments on Morgan Stanley’s ‘Buy Any Dip in Bonds’ Call

What The Nasdaq 100 Special Rebalance Means For Investors

July 17, 2023

Overconcentration is one of 2023’s key themes amid an epic rally in the same handful

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Putin ‘Terminates’ Grain Deal. Ukraine Blows Up His Bridge Again

July 17, 2023August 8, 2023

It’s not safe on the Kerch Strait Bridge. For the second time in less than

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1 Comment on Putin ‘Terminates’ Grain Deal. Ukraine Blows Up His Bridge Again

Chinese Economy Underwhelms As Struggles Continue

July 16, 2023July 17, 2023

It’s fair to suggest a sense of fatalism has set in among investors regarding the

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2 Comments on Chinese Economy Underwhelms As Struggles Continue

Noisy Quiet Period

July 16, 2023July 24, 2023

I wouldn’t call this week’s US data docket inconsequential, but it’d certainly be fair to

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1 Comment on Noisy Quiet Period

Landing Gear

July 16, 2023July 17, 2023

I don’t love the narrative that says Fed policy is unduly loose based on the

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3 Comments on Landing Gear

What Happens To ‘Excuseflation’ When There’s No Excuse?

July 15, 2023

Lost in the euphoria around the slowdown in consumer price growth and apparently imminent producer

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2 Comments on What Happens To ‘Excuseflation’ When There’s No Excuse?

Where To Now For King Dollar?

July 15, 2023July 17, 2023

This week’s most important market story was doubtlessly the dollar, which fell the most in

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2 Comments on Where To Now For King Dollar?

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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  • NY Jeff on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • John3D on The Diesel Question
  • Bill W. on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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