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Featured

The Diesel Question

September 23, 2026September 23, 2026
  • Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

    September 22, 2026
  • WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

    September 22, 2026

Markets

There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

politics

‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

September 22, 2026September 23, 2026
  • A King In Washington

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • Achtung Baby

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

    September 19, 2026September 21, 2026
  • Over A Barrel

    September 14, 2026September 14, 2026

Economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026

Weekly: The Counterfactual

September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

September 17, 2026September 19, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Worst May Be Over For America’s Manufacturing Sector

September 1, 2023September 2, 2023

America’s factory malaise abated in August, the last of this week’s top-tier data out of

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‘Stocks Love Booms’

September 1, 2023September 3, 2023

“Stocks love booms.” And fiscal largesse is conducive to nominal booms. Makes you wonder why

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Money Fund Assets Hit Another Record. RRP Lowest In 17 Months

August 31, 2023

Money market funds took in $14.37 billion in the week to August 30, data released

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1 Comment on Money Fund Assets Hit Another Record. RRP Lowest In 17 Months

Is The Excitement Over?

August 31, 2023September 1, 2023

With allowances and respect for August payrolls’ market-moving potential, equities felt inclined to settle down

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1 Comment on Is The Excitement Over?

Wagner Restructuring: Putin Inherits Chef’s Bloody Fare

August 31, 2023September 14, 2023

“Who are you and what happened to hot dog guy?” “The caterer is dead. You

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1 Comment on Wagner Restructuring: Putin Inherits Chef’s Bloody Fare

Americans Kept Spending As Q3 Dawned. Inflation Generally Cooperative

August 31, 2023September 1, 2023

After re-accelerating at the end of the second quarter, personal spending in the US picked

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European Inflation Stuck At Nearly Triple ECB’s Target

August 31, 2023September 1, 2023

Headline inflation in Europe is stuck, apparently. The all-items gauge loitered at 5.3% in August,

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1 Comment on European Inflation Stuck At Nearly Triple ECB’s Target

A Brief History Of 2023’s Macro Narrative Stop-Outs

August 30, 2023

Keeping track of the macro zeitgeist in the post-pandemic world can be difficult. To the

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1 Comment on A Brief History Of 2023’s Macro Narrative Stop-Outs

Return Of The Melt-Up?

August 30, 2023August 31, 2023

Muscle memory is a powerful thing. And in the context of an equities market where

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12 Comments on Return Of The Melt-Up?

Pending Sales Rise, Investor-Buying Plunges In Cliff-Edge US Housing

August 30, 2023August 31, 2023

Pending home sales unexpectedly rose in the US last month, data released on Wednesday showed.

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2 Comments on Pending Sales Rise, Investor-Buying Plunges In Cliff-Edge US Housing

GDP Revisions Hammer Home ‘Bad Is Good’ Message

August 30, 2023

It’s all going according to plan. Famous last words, I know. GDP revisions released on

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Fed Gets More Favorable Data In Constructive ADP Report

August 30, 2023August 31, 2023

US private sector employers added 177,000 jobs in August, ADP said Wednesday. That was fewer

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War, Inflation And Chinese Shadow Banks

August 30, 2023August 31, 2023

The war, European inflation and China’s shadow banking demons were top of mind for market

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1 Comment on War, Inflation And Chinese Shadow Banks

Remote Work May Leave 267 Million Square Feet Of Office Space Vacant

August 29, 2023

How durable is the shift to remote work? And how pronounced is the impact of

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5 Comments on Remote Work May Leave 267 Million Square Feet Of Office Space Vacant

Embrace The Slowdown

August 29, 2023

If there were questions as to whether we’re living in a “bad news is good

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‘Immaculate Disinflation’ Lives

August 29, 2023September 14, 2023

Good news for the soft landing crowd: US job openings were “just” 8.827 million on

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2 Comments on ‘Immaculate Disinflation’ Lives

Bad, Good, Whatever

August 29, 2023August 30, 2023

Here’s hoping bad news is good news. US consumer confidence slid in August and an

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2 Comments on Bad, Good, Whatever

US Home Prices Keep Rising, Imperiling Fed’s Inflation Fight

August 29, 2023August 30, 2023

US home prices rose a fifth straight month in June, according to lagged data released

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1 Comment on US Home Prices Keep Rising, Imperiling Fed’s Inflation Fight

Yes, China Is Staring At A Recession

August 29, 2023September 14, 2023

Earlier this week, one reader parroted a familiar refrain: China isn’t headed for a recession

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3 Comments on Yes, China Is Staring At A Recession

The US Labor Market Is Normalizing. Thank Immigrants

August 28, 2023

Reasonable (and unreasonable) people can disagree about the proper course of US immigration policy, but

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3 Comments on The US Labor Market Is Normalizing. Thank Immigrants

Americans Have No Idea What’s Going On

August 28, 2023August 29, 2023

America is a paradox. The US is the richest nation in the history of the

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21 Comments on Americans Have No Idea What’s Going On

In Brief: Squaring The A.I., Productivity, Rates Circle

August 28, 2023August 29, 2023

Scarcely a day goes by when you don’t hear something about the potential for A.I.

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1 Comment on In Brief: Squaring The A.I., Productivity, Rates Circle

Many Western Voters Have Lost The Plot

August 28, 2023September 14, 2023

Over the weekend, Mohamed El-Erian posted the cover of The Economist to his social media account.

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4 Comments on Many Western Voters Have Lost The Plot

Xi Watches 6% Stock Rally Evaporate In Six Hours

August 28, 2023August 29, 2023

Now it’s embarrassing. Chinese officials watched a near 6% surge in Mainland equities evaporate on

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3 Comments on Xi Watches 63 Stock Rally Evaporate In Six Hours

Checking In On The Taiwan Canary

August 27, 2023August 28, 2023

If you care at all about the fate of the world, you should be concerned

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1 Comment on Checking In On The Taiwan Canary

Traders Confront Wave Of Crucial Data Ahead Of US Holiday

August 27, 2023September 14, 2023

It’s a data-heavy week in the US, where a whirlwind of indicators are expected to

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1 Comment on Traders Confront Wave Of Crucial Data Ahead Of US Holiday

Yevgeny Prigozhin Dies Third Time

August 27, 2023August 28, 2023

Yevgeny Prigozhin is officially dead. Figuratively, he died on the weekend of June 24, when

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2 Comments on Yevgeny Prigozhin Dies Third Time

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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  • C P on The Diesel Question
  • therealheisenberg on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • John3D on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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