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Featured

Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

September 22, 2026
  • WTF: Buyer’s Market, Higher Prices?

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks

    September 22, 2026
  • ‘Let The Oil Flow!’ Again!

    September 22, 2026September 22, 2026

Markets

There’s A Lot Riding On The Chips…

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Erstwhile Bear Confident In Year-End Stock Rally

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Wall Street’s Fata Morgana Risk

    September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • What Happens To Stocks If Treasury Yields Go To 6%?

    September 20, 2026September 21, 2026
  • ‘The House’ Humiliated As Yen Plunges

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026

economy

The Fed’s Never Been This Sure About The Jobs Market

September 21, 2026September 22, 2026
  • Weekly: The Counterfactual

    September 18, 2026September 20, 2026
  • A Mixed Read On A Grim Housing Market

    September 17, 2026September 19, 2026
  • Below 200k. Again.

    September 17, 2026September 18, 2026
  • Warsh Fed Hikes, Thank God

    September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Geopolitics

A King In Washington

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

Achtung Baby

September 20, 2026September 21, 2026

The ‘Real-World’ Energy Shock’s Finally Here

September 19, 2026September 21, 2026

Duly Noted

Who’s Coming To Nashville?

September 19, 2026September 20, 2026

Builder Sentiment Crumbles As US Mortgage Rates Soar

September 16, 2026September 17, 2026

Heir Apparent

July 15, 2024July 16, 2024

Trump-Vance. That’s the ticket. To where I don’t know. Like a lot of Donald Trump’s

Read More

10 Comments on Heir Apparent

Trump Dodges Another Bullet As Cannon Kills Documents Case

July 15, 2024July 16, 2024

Donald Trump dodged a bullet. [Looks around at the audience. Waits. Crickets. Waits. Still crickets.]

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9 Comments on Trump Dodges Another Bullet As Cannon Kills Documents Case

Pointless Powell Cameo Produces Nothing Of Substance

July 15, 2024July 16, 2024

A series of benign reads on price growth in the US added incrementally to the

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Jury’s Still Out On David Solomon’s Goldman

July 15, 2024July 15, 2024

Oddly enough, Goldman didn’t capitalize on the beginnings of an IB renaissance in Q2. Or

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China’s ‘Shocking’ Domestic Slowdown Stuns Economists

July 15, 2024July 16, 2024

When it comes to “strategic competition” between the world’s two largest economies, Xi Jinping’s doing

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6 Comments on China’s ‘Shocking’ Domestic Slowdown Stuns Economists

Trump’s Odds, Stocks And The Grover Cleveland Analogue

July 14, 2024July 14, 2024

Prediction market odds took another turn in favor of Donald Trump in the wake of

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1 Comment on Trump’s Odds, Stocks And The Grover Cleveland Analogue

Live By The Gun…

July 14, 2024July 17, 2024

It’s “too soon,” I suppose, to state the obvious, but I’ll do it anyway: Donald

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18 Comments on Live By The Gun…

Crowded Macro Agenda Takes Backseat To US Political Melee

July 14, 2024July 15, 2024

Needless to say, macro news and market coverage will take a backseat in the coming

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7 Comments on Crowded Macro Agenda Takes Backseat To US Political Melee

‘Martyr’ Trump Survives Assassination Attempt

July 13, 2024July 15, 2024

“Let me get my shoes,” said Donald Trump, calmly under the circumstances. His coiffed pompadour

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20 Comments on ‘Martyr’ Trump Survives Assassination Attempt

Israel Takes Another Shot At Mohammed Deif

July 13, 2024July 15, 2024

Israel tried to kill Mohammed Deif on Saturday. Again. It was unclear, initially anyway, if

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Stock Funds Pass Quarter-Trillion Inflow Mark For 2024

July 12, 2024July 12, 2024

If you’re keeping track at home, global equities just posted their sixth consecutive weekly gain.

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Is It Time For The Long Bond?

July 12, 2024July 14, 2024

The stars may be aligning for the unloved long-end. That’s according to BofA’s Michael Hartnett

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3 Comments on Is It Time For The Long Bond?

US Consumer Sentiment Drops Again On Inflation ‘Objections’

July 12, 2024July 14, 2024

Consumer sentiment in America “remains stubbornly subdued.” That’s how survey director Joanne Hsu described another

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1 Comment on US Consumer Sentiment Drops Again On Inflation ‘Objections’

Reheat? US Producer Prices Unexpectedly Warm Up

July 12, 2024July 13, 2024

Re-cork the champagne? 24 hours after blessing the Fed with the most favorable read on

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Dimon Rings Up Record Profit On One-Off, Equities, IB Recovery

July 12, 2024July 13, 2024

The IB slump’s over. I guess. JPMorgan’s dealmakers dialed up $2.46 billion in revenue during

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Biden In The Balance

July 11, 2024July 12, 2024

“He is our president, he is our nominee and he will be our president again

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32 Comments on Biden In The Balance

A Broader Bull May Be No Bull At All

July 11, 2024

I don’t know if I’d call it a “consensus” narrative exactly, but a popular take

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3 Comments on A Broader Bull May Be No Bull At All

Here Come The Cuts

July 11, 2024July 12, 2024

In a mid-week note, BMO’s Ian Lyngen and Vail Hartman said Thursday’s US CPI report

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1 Comment on Here Come The Cuts

US Inflation Finally Relents. September Fed Cut All But Assured

July 11, 2024July 12, 2024

Jerome Powell and his colleagues had reason to celebrate on Thursday. US inflation came in

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3 Comments on US Inflation Finally Relents. September Fed Cut All But Assured

Enablers

July 11, 2024July 12, 2024

The White House is upset with US “ally” Narendra Modi, who wittingly inserted himself into

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13 Comments on Enablers

Dreading November

July 10, 2024July 11, 2024

A little help here. More help. A little more help. And posthaste. That, in a

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4 Comments on Dreading November

Memes, Bubbles, Busts And Bears

July 10, 2024July 11, 2024

“Tesla is acting like a meme stock,” Bill Gross remarked this week. “Sagging fundamentals, straight

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1 Comment on Memes, Bubbles, Busts And Bears

Pelosi’s Malarkey

July 10, 2024July 11, 2024

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez says Joe Biden’s the Democratic nominee. Ilhan Omar says the same. Ayanna Pressley’s

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7 Comments on Pelosi’s Malarkey

High Rate Hurdle Hard To Clear For US Housing

July 10, 2024July 10, 2024

“Most borrowers do not have much of an incentive to refinance at current rates,” MBA

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Xi Murdered The Chinese Economy

July 10, 2024July 11, 2024

China’s no closer to shaking the deflation demon that’s haunted the world’s second-largest economy for

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8 Comments on Xi Murdered The Chinese Economy

Saudis Tried To Extort G7 Over Fate Of Putin’s Frozen Billions

July 9, 2024July 10, 2024

Would-be macro mavens and self-styled geopolitical observers harbor a lot of misconceptions about Saudi Arabia’s

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8 Comments on Saudis Tried To Extort G7 Over Fate Of Putin’s Frozen Billions

US Credit Card Debt Rebounds, Hits New Record At $1.35 Trillion

July 9, 2024July 9, 2024

Looking for more evidence that incorrigible American consumers might’ve finally exhausted the last of their

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3 Comments on US Credit Card Debt Rebounds, Hits New Record At $1.35 Trillion

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

  • Engineer on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • NY Jeff on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?
  • carbpow on ‘Do I Annihilate Iran, Drive Them Into Hell?’ Nobel Hopeful Asks
  • Blognonymous on Yeah, But Can It Draw A LEGO?

Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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