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Category: volatility

The Biggest VaR Shock Since Lehman & The Risk Parity Panic

March 16, 2020March 17, 2020

Any takers?

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10 Comments on The Biggest VaR Shock Since Lehman & The Risk Parity Panic

‘There Are Calls For A Market Closure To Stop The Bleeding’

March 16, 2020March 16, 2020

“Equities players voice no desire to even think about playing offense”.

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12 Comments on ‘There Are Calls For A Market Closure To Stop The Bleeding’

‘We’re Living In A Black Swan Scenario’: Equity Positioning Just Plunged To GFC Lows

March 14, 2020March 15, 2020

There have only been two other periods characterized by these kinds of wild swings: The GFC and the Depression.

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18 Comments on ‘We’re Living In A Black Swan Scenario’: Equity Positioning Just Plunged To GFC Lows

Chaos.

March 12, 2020March 12, 2020

“…not randomness run amok, but an essential instability to changes in initial conditions”.

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4 Comments on Chaos.

The Treasury Market Is Broken. ETFs Are Cracking. Risk Parity’s ‘Footprints’ Have Been Spotted.

March 12, 2020November 22, 2020

“USTs are a ‘broken market’”, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott writes, in a Thursday note recapping some

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4 Comments on The Treasury Market Is Broken. ETFs Are Cracking. Risk Parity’s ‘Footprints’ Have Been Spotted.

Unshackled!

March 11, 2020March 11, 2020

“…daily amplitudes not seen since 2011.”

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2 Comments on Unshackled!

After The Crash, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Looks Ahead

March 10, 2020March 10, 2020

“Peak calamity”. Now what?

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‘Cross-Asset Pandemonium’: Market Crash Triggers Circuit Breaker On Black Monday For Wall Street

March 9, 2020March 9, 2020

“Describing the conditions as turbulent is an understatement”.

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1 Comment on ‘Cross-Asset Pandemonium’: Market Crash Triggers Circuit Breaker On Black Monday For Wall Street

Nomura’s McElligott: ‘Last Of The Generals’ Falls, As Legacy ‘100%’ CTA Nasdaq Long Up In Smoke

March 9, 2020March 9, 2020

“CTA ‘trigger’ levels for equities will increasingly matter again”…

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Leave a Comment on Nomura’s McElligott: ‘Last Of The Generals’ Falls, As Legacy ‘100%’ CTA Nasdaq Long Up In Smoke

S&P Needs To Rally 8-10% To Escape Gamma Trap, One Bank Says

March 7, 2020March 7, 2020

“Almost” there…

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1 Comment on S&P Needs To Rally 8-10% To Escape Gamma Trap, One Bank Says

And I’ll Dance With You In Vienna.

March 5, 2020March 6, 2020

“There’s a tree where the doves go to die”…

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oil, OPEC5 Comments on And I’ll Dance With You In Vienna.

We’re All Momentum Traders Now

March 5, 2020March 6, 2020

“We are all subject to the same risk management parameters.”

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7 Comments on We’re All Momentum Traders Now

Depth Charge And The Biden Affair

March 4, 2020March 4, 2020

“…since the beginning of the COVID-19 panic, there’s been a ~90% plunge in futures market depth.”

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2 Comments on Depth Charge And The Biden Affair

Nomura’s McElligott: ‘One Left Tail Down, One To Go’

March 4, 2020March 4, 2020

The ever-present COVID-19 tape bomb risk notwithstanding…

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2 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott: ‘One Left Tail Down, One To Go’

Nomura’s McElligott Explains The Market’s ‘Embedded Short’, Looks Ahead

March 3, 2020

And yet, through it all…

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1 Comment on Nomura’s McElligott Explains The Market’s ‘Embedded Short’, Looks Ahead

The Cat’s Out Of The Bag.

March 2, 2020March 2, 2020

Traders have questions.

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1 Comment on The Cat’s Out Of The Bag.

Sometimes, The Entire Edifice Simply Implodes

March 1, 2020March 1, 2020

“Which investors drove this selloff?” Another market “whodunnit”.

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5 Comments on Sometimes, The Entire Edifice Simply Implodes

What Just Happened? The Historic Selloff Explained By Nomura’s Charlie McElligott

February 29, 2020February 29, 2020

Stability breeds instability.

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4 Comments on What Just Happened? The Historic Selloff Explained By Nomura’s Charlie McElligott

All Bets Are Off.

February 28, 2020February 28, 2020

“Unimaginable violence” and emergency intervention…

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4 Comments on All Bets Are Off.

REDRUM.

February 27, 2020October 14, 2021

Pavlov is still missing.

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4 Comments on REDRUM.

Dominoes.

February 27, 2020February 27, 2020

“The market does show some fragility”.

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4 Comments on Dominoes.

‘Bang-On’

February 27, 2020February 27, 2020

“Oh, what a difference a week makes.”

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‘Previously Unthinkable’ CTA Deleveraging ‘In Play’, As Legacy ‘Long’ Signal Vulnerable: McElligott

February 26, 2020February 27, 2020

The last few days have made the unthinkable suddenly thinkable.

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1 Comment on ‘Previously Unthinkable’ CTA Deleveraging ‘In Play’, As Legacy ‘Long’ Signal Vulnerable: McElligott

Nomura’s McElligott: This Is ‘The Next Battle In Equities’

February 25, 2020February 25, 2020

And, as an aside, “Bernie Sanders matters”.

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3 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott: This Is ‘The Next Battle In Equities’

Werewolves, Emergency Rate Cuts And Peak COVID-19 Panic

February 24, 2020February 24, 2020

A watershed moment?

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6 Comments on Werewolves, Emergency Rate Cuts And Peak COVID-19 Panic

‘Unshackled’: Gamma Collapse Opens Door For COVID-19 To ‘Shock-Down’ Stocks, Nomura’s McElligott Says

February 24, 2020February 24, 2020

“This is no drill”.

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‘All Roads Lead To Lower Rates’: Kocic

February 16, 2020February 17, 2020

“The least ambiguous trade”…

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3 Comments on ‘All Roads Lead To Lower Rates’: Kocic

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Monthly Letters

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