The Saudi Purge: What Are The Implications For Oil?

“Take that with a grain of salt though, because remember: nothing that should matter ever matters anymore.”

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Powder Keg Alert: Kurdish Referendum In Focus As Erdogan Threatens Oil Flows, Military Strike

“Our military is not (at the border) for nothing. We could arrive suddenly one night.”

Geopolitics! Won At 4-Month Low, Lira Sinks, Trump Says ‘Very Severe’ Shit Is Goin’ Down

Well, the won is at four-month low against the dollar on Thursday because, well, because a mushroom cloud over Seoul isn’t an entirely far-fetched proposition. “The won is under pressure as it appears North Korea is getting closer and closer to its nuclear program and that is causing tension and apprehension in the Korean peninsula,”…

“Hakuna Matata”?

“In our opinion, this is not dangerous market complacency but a reflection of an abnormally tranquil macro environment, with a benign economic outlook, very supportive financial conditions, and lower political risks”…

Terrorist “Troublemakers” Storm Overnight Session, Murder 12 In Iran Ahead Of “Super Thursday”

Well, it was a quiet overnight session right up until around 2 a.m. EST when Iran was targeted by simultaneous terror attacks. Gunmen entered Parliament in Tehran and the Imam Khomeini Shrine where one of the attackers detonated a suicide vest. ISIS would later claim responsibility via Amaq. At least 12 people were killed and…

Halloween-Themed Russian Propaganda Site Uncovers Nefarious Syria Plot

“…at the separate command of a mastermind.”

“We May Come Overnight, All Of A Sudden!” Turkey’s Erdogan Warns, As US Troops Deployed

Earlier this week, we highlighted a story that’s flown (both figuratively and literally) under the radar. Namely the Turkish military’s airstrikes on Kurdish positions in Syria and Iraq. You’re encouraged to read the entire post here: One Man’s Kurd Is Another Man’s “Terrorist”: Turkey Bombs US-Allied Forces In Syria, Iraq. The bottom line is that Turkish…

“Flashpoints”: One Slide Sums Up Trump’s Key Geopolitical Hurdles

I’ve been a broken record when it comes to suggesting that geopolitics will become an increasingly important driver of asset prices in the months and years ahead. It’s not so much that geopolitical events haven’t always been a factor for markets, it’s just that when you have land mines like the Brexit referendum and the US election – both of…

One Man’s Kurd Is Another Man’s “Terrorist”: Turkey Bombs US-Allied Forces In Syria, Iraq

Ok, so this is something worth noting as it speaks to the absurdly convoluted nature of the conflict in Syria. As those who follow the country’s six-year-old civil war are no doubt aware, there’s a bit of a “disagreement” between Washington and Ankara with regard to what counts as a “Kurdish terrorist.” See Erdogan is…

Nikki Haley Blasts Syria’s Assad In CNN Op-Ed: “Evil Is A Fact Of Life”

“Imagine you are the parent of a boy — a teenager. Policemen come to your home in the middle of the night and take your boy away. He is held without explanation for weeks. And when he finally comes home, your boy has all the marks of having been tortured.”

SocGen’s Kit Juckes Is “Back From The Alps”: Here’s His Quick Pocket Guide To An Uncertain Market

The tough thing about a market dominated by geopolitical concerns is that geopolitics is country- or at least region-specific. There’s nuance, idiosyncrasies, thousands of years of history peculiar to this country or that, religious undercurrents, etc., etc. You have to take all of that into account when trying to make sense of markets in the context of multiple geopolitical powder kegs.

All Aboard The Geopolitics Train! “Thoughts For The Week Ahead”

All aboard the geopolitical risk train! It took one Brexit, one Trump, a close call with Geert, 59 Tomahawk missiles, and a whole helluva lot of Pyongyang saber rattling, but everyone is finally coming around with regard to the fact that geopolitics is going to be the dominant driver of asset prices in a post-central bank…

“Tears”

“Quick!”…

Meanwhile, In Syria: Assad “100% Sure” He Was Set Up, US Accidentally Kills 18 “Friendlies”

So last week, following reports that someone had dropped what social media claimed was “white phosphorous” on civilians in Saraqeb just days after the now infamous chemical attack on Idlib, I said the following: Expect plenty of Dave Chappelle-ish ‘yellow cake’ and ‘aluminum tubes’” chatter this week. That was a reference to a famous Chappelle skit…

Video: Trump Recounts How He Bombed “Iraq” While Eating “Beautiful” Cake With Xi

Now to be sure, Xi was probably going to be shocked anyway to learn that Trump had just made a mid-chocolate-cake-bite decision to bomb another country, but I’d imagine the real surprise came when…