Let’s see what happens over the next couple of years when equity volatility resets to some semblance of normal.
Category: stocks
One Bank’s Model Spit Out A Lower S&P Target, So Naturally, They Changed The Model
If at first you don’t succeed…
Marko Kolanovic Flags An ‘Unprecedented Divergence’, Says ‘Something Has To Give’
“The recent divergence in the performance of US Equities vs. the rest of the world is unprecedented in history.”
As The S&P Hits All-Time Highs, Here’s What You Should Be Watching
Hint: it’s the dollar.
‘The Wrong Kinda Heater’: Hedge Fund ‘Consensus’ Trade Suffers Dastardly Run
“Another day for U.S. equities funds, another sizable underperformance.”
To Hell(sinki) And Back: Full Week Ahead Preview
This is the usual cocktail of geopolitical risk and Fed watching, with a dash of Brexit for bad measure.
Global Investors Are Overweight (Stocks) And It’s Not Clear They Can Keep Eating – Even If They Want To
Who will be the marginal buyer of equities going forward?
One Trader Takes A Closer Look At The Buyback Bonanza
Fade the Barron’s cover?
Trader: How I Learned Not To Fight The Fed And How To Trade ‘QT’
“The days when the Federal Reserve has a large bond maturity have seen abnormally large declines in the S&P 500.”
Good News! The Algos Say The US Economy ‘Is Doing Just Fine’
Ignore the large laser cannon, he’s just here to help!
Goldman Says Overweight Cash As Ray Dalio’s ‘Pretty Stupid’ Cash Holders Still Looking ‘Pretty Smart’
There is suddenly an alternative.
Why This Is ‘A More Painful Rate Shock’
Listen, you people are concerned about 10Y yields, and that’s fine. After all, we blew threw the February highs this week on the way to the “dreaded” 3% “pain threshold” and while there were no swarms of locusts and no Pazuzu sightings (that I’m aware of), there are still concerns that the higher we go, the closer we get to a situation characterized by “diversification desperation” or, more simply, a scenario where bonds and stocks selloff in tandem.
The 3 ‘T’s: Full Week Ahead Preview
In essence, the same things everyone was watching last week (e.g. tech, trade, Trump) will be in focus again…
Enjoy The Easter Bunny, Because Q2 Will Be Just As ‘Interesting’ As Q1
“Enjoy those chocolates.”
Marko Kolanovic: ‘Imminent Concerns Are Overblown’, Stay Overweight Stocks
“Narrative of recent selloff: imminent concerns about inflation, rates, trade wars, and a growth downshift are overblown, in our view.”
Goldman Interviews Paul Tudor Jones, Gets Retelling Of The Battle Of The Little Bighorn
“Let me describe to you where I think Jerome Powell is right now as he takes the reins at the Fed. I would liken Powell to General George Custer before the Battle of the Little Bighorn, looking down at an array of menacing warriors.”
Waiting For Wednesday.
Ahead of a “make or break” moment.
Here’s What The VaR Shock Meant For Global Portfolio Managers
Look, I realize that pounding the table on forced unwinds by vol.-sensitive investors during the recent acute pickup in volatility is quickly becoming an exercise in dead horse beating. But…
Bridgewater: ‘There’s A Much Bigger Shakeout Coming’
“There had been a lot of complacency built up in markets over a long time”…
Release The Long End!
Well, damn.
The Good Old Days.
I remember when…
The Moon Shot.
Rollercoaster.
New From Epsilon Theory: ‘Things That Go Bump In The Night’
“Why should we pay good money to buy put options as a hedge on our portfolio when the Fed will give us a put option for free? I think this is the most far-reaching and transformative effect of the extraordinary central bank policies of the past eight years — we are no longer afraid of things that go bump in the night.”

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