Did you think the massive short in US Treasurys had been materially trimmed? Did you
Category: S&P 500
Goldman: Turns Out It’s Best If You’re Fully Invested On Good Days And Out On Bad Days
The peanut gallery really enjoys bombarding me with criticism regarding my repeated calls for investor
“There Are Plenty Of Investors Who Would Celebrate An 8% Drop”
“There are also plenty of investors who’d celebrate a drop of 8% or so as an opportunity to finally buy in to this bull market that they’ve missed”…
7 Signs Of The (Market) Apocalypse
“While we’re not (yet!) expecting the equivalent of the fall of the Roman Republic, we are nevertheless very suspicious of the presumption that recent technical strength can continue.”
Ass-Covering Is So Passé: Cost Of Protection Drops To 6 Year Low
I would hope that if you frequent these pages you’ve put on your hedges. Although
“It’s The Reflation Trade, Baby!” These Are The Levels To Watch On Friday
“If two-year Treasury yields close above 1.3% but 10-year yields linger below 2.5%, then a hike is expected but it’s being perceived as a potential policy mistake. If we close above both levels, it’s the reflation trade, baby.”
“I Keep Getting Asked, ‘When Will This End?!'”
“I keep getting asked ‘When will this end?’, which is a very different question than ‘How long can this continue?’ On the one hand it implies that investors are seeing it but can’t quite believe it.”
“All Eyez On Me”: Yellen, Fischer Are Up To Bat
It kind of feels like everyone is ready to get this week on the books.
‘Sharon’ Dumps $8.2 Billion Into Popular Stock ETF
I’ve seen the chart shown below floating around today and I imagine you have too,
One Trader Gives Up: “I Just Really Don’t Care”
“But the reality is markets are moving, and fast. For now it’s momentum and technicals that you’d better deal with if you want to thrive, or even, survive”
“Beware The S&P Air Pocket”
Regular readers may recall Citi’s News Implied Sentiment Indicator (NISI) which “aims to capture investor
Chaaarge! Global Rally Is Back As Trump Discovers Teleprompter Is His Friend, Fed Speakers Talk Up March
It would be a stretch to say he “did a good job.” It felt like we were watching a man who had been told, in no uncertain terms, that this was most assuredly not the time to play presidential Mad Libs.
No, Janet Yellen Does Not Need To Wait On Donald Trump
Think back to last month. I know that’s really f*cking hard because with Trump in
Behold: The “Trump Trade Fade” In 2 Charts
Suddenly everyone cares about those cross-asset correlations I’ve been harping on since the election. Just
Rise Of The “Dumb” Money In One Chart
Dear active managers…
“Big League?” Why The Market Is “Less Euphoric” On Tuesday Trump Speech
Tonight’s the night – as they say. Donald Trump will deliver his highly anticipated speech
Markets Frozen As Batsh*t Crazy Trump Speech Awaited
It’s all quiet on the Western and Eastern fronts as the market sits in suspended
This About Covers It: “It’s A Confusing, Annoying, Topsy-Turvy World”
“I understand that it’s frustrating to hate the world and have to watch equities continue higher. But frankly it’s a lesson you should have learned over the last eight years.”
When Inequality Goes Corporate
One of the oft-cited reasons for the populist fervor that swept Donald Trump into the
“Just Imagine How Messy This Could Get!”: One Trader Warns On Yen-Sanity
“The yen market is offside and being short-squeezed. This looks set to sustain even amid resilience in equities, but just imagine how messy the move could get if U.S. shares crash to converge with how other assets are trading”…
We Don’t Need No Stinkin’ Earnings
You’d better hope…
What Usually Happens After A 25%+ Rally?
Behold! A depiction of “I’ll keep buying if you keep buying higher”…
The S&P Has Now Gone 93 Days Without A 1% Decline
“Since 1980, there have been only six instances of the S&P 500 trading for 80 or more consecutive days without a 1% decline.”
Holy “Schatz”
If you’re long equities, it is incumbent upon you to explain this to yourself…
“A Glaring Error Of Omission”
VaR shocks. Taper tantrums. I talk about such things a lot. And with good
Reflation Frustration
This is probably a decent time to start asking yourself if the narrative still makes
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