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Category: S&P 500

‘The Frogs Were Boiled’, So What’s Next?

March 24, 2019October 30, 2021

One bank is bullish, but “not foolish”.

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11 Comments on ‘The Frogs Were Boiled’, So What’s Next?

Now Vindicated, Marko Kolanovic Explains Dramatic Market U-Turn

March 21, 2019January 8, 2022

“… the answer to all of these questions lies in market liquidity.”

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2 Comments on Now Vindicated, Marko Kolanovic Explains Dramatic Market U-Turn

Think The Fed Will Cut Rates In 2020? Here’s What Happened Ahead Of Historical ‘First Cuts’

March 20, 2019March 20, 2019

What happens in the lead-up to “first cuts”?

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3 Comments on Think The Fed Will Cut Rates In 2020? Here’s What Happened Ahead Of Historical ‘First Cuts’

When Good News Is Just Good News

March 19, 2019

A closer look at the situation reveals something that is, on the surface anyway, somewhat surprising.

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1 Comment on When Good News Is Just Good News

Nomura’s McElligott: ‘The Window For A Pullback Has Opened’

March 18, 2019March 18, 2019

But there’s a caveat…

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1 Comment on Nomura’s McElligott: ‘The Window For A Pullback Has Opened’

Center Stage: Full Week Ahead Preview

March 17, 2019

No pressure.

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Bull In A China Shop

March 15, 2019October 30, 2021

Risk asset buoyancy amid a cloudy outlook.

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A Goldilocks Cameo, A 1.7 Trillion Yuan Liquidity Shortage & The Latest From Nomura’s McElligott

March 13, 2019March 13, 2019

“Just right” on the data stateside, while a “re-bubbling” in China holds RRR cuts “hostage”.

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1 Comment on A Goldilocks Cameo, A 1.7 Trillion Yuan Liquidity Shortage & The Latest From Nomura’s McElligott

Goldman Wants To Talk To You About Buybacks Because You’ve Got This All Wrong, Ok?

March 13, 2019March 13, 2019

“Popular misperceptions” and such.

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15 Comments on Goldman Wants To Talk To You About Buybacks Because You’ve Got This All Wrong, Ok?

FOMO Looms As Sidelined Investors Wonder If It’s Too Late To Dive In

March 9, 2019

“Taking some off the table” isn’t a wholly applicable market adage given a lack of participation YTD by key investor groups.

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5 Comments on FOMO Looms As Sidelined Investors Wonder If It’s Too Late To Dive In

A Quick Retrospective On The 10-Year Anniversary Of The Longest Bull Market In History

March 9, 2019March 9, 2019

“For now, the bull marches precariously on.”

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3 Comments on A Quick Retrospective On The 10-Year Anniversary Of The Longest Bull Market In History

‘Lights Out’, ‘Trigger’ Pulling And ‘What Comes Next’ With Nomura’s Charlie McElligott

March 7, 2019

“Okay…so now what?!”

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3 Comments on ‘Lights Out’, ‘Trigger’ Pulling And ‘What Comes Next’ With Nomura’s Charlie McElligott

The ‘Fed Put’ Has A New Strike, Deutsche’s Kocic Says…

March 6, 2019March 7, 2019

“…the math consists of finding the strike that corresponds to the put with lower volatility.”

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6 Comments on The ‘Fed Put’ Has A New Strike, Deutsche’s Kocic Says…

‘Imported Trouble’: Why One Bank Sees Virtually No Upside For Stocks From Here

March 5, 2019March 5, 2019

“… we expect almost no earnings growth for 2019.”

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8 Comments on ‘Imported Trouble’: Why One Bank Sees Virtually No Upside For Stocks From Here

Nomura’s McElligott On ‘The Reflation Window’, ‘Breathtaking’ Policy Pivots, Credit Creation ‘Binges’ And More

February 25, 2019February 25, 2019

It’s a ‘tactical trading ‘green-light’.

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3 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott On ‘The Reflation Window’, ‘Breathtaking’ Policy Pivots, Credit Creation ‘Binges’ And More

‘False Alarm’ Or Will An Earnings Recession Cause A ‘Real’ Recession?

February 24, 2019February 24, 2019

Time to panic? Spoiler alert: probably not.

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5 Comments on ‘False Alarm’ Or Will An Earnings Recession Cause A ‘Real’ Recession?

Unlike Morgan Stanley, Goldman Isn’t Too Worried About An Earnings Recession

February 16, 2019October 26, 2021

Hockey stick inflections, and such.

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Marko Kolanovic: ‘Calls For A 1929-Style Recession Are Now Getting Quieter’

February 14, 2019January 8, 2022

Of V-shaped bounces and low positioning.

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9 Comments on Marko Kolanovic: ‘Calls For A 1929-Style Recession Are Now Getting Quieter’

Nomura’s McElligott Talks Tuesday Stock ‘Grab-In’, Volatility, QT And More

February 12, 2019February 12, 2019

Around the cross asset universe in 1,000 words.

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2 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott Talks Tuesday Stock ‘Grab-In’, Volatility, QT And More

Morgan’s Mike Wilson Explains The ‘Simple’ Reason The Fed Can’t Save Stocks

February 12, 2019

“…we suspect that neither is a bullish signal for equities.”

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3 Comments on Morgan’s Mike Wilson Explains The ‘Simple’ Reason The Fed Can’t Save Stocks

BTFD Nostalgia: YTD Volatility Drop Among Largest Since 1928

February 11, 2019February 11, 2019

A sight for sore eyes.

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Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson: ‘The Earnings Recession Is Here’

February 11, 2019February 11, 2019

“…volatility will likely rise meaningfully.”

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1 Comment on Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson: ‘The Earnings Recession Is Here’

One Bank ‘Understands Why Investors Are Turning More Cautious’ After Blockbuster January

February 11, 2019February 11, 2019

If you’re not feeling particularly inspired about risk assets to start the week, you’ll be forgiven.

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Earnings Recession Ahoy?

February 9, 2019February 9, 2019

Paging Mike Wilson: it looks like that earnings recession call might prove prescient.

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7 Comments on Earnings Recession Ahoy?

Bears Resurface As Recession Fears Linger, Dollar Puzzle Emerges

February 8, 2019

The mood has soured.

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1 Comment on Bears Resurface As Recession Fears Linger, Dollar Puzzle Emerges

‘Best Quarter For Call Buying On Record’ And Other Fun Facts From Earnings Season

February 7, 2019

Yahtzee!

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Curb Your Enthusiasm: It’s ‘Flat And Skinny’ From Here

February 6, 2019October 26, 2021

It may well be too late for anyone who didn’t participate in January.

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2 Comments on Curb Your Enthusiasm: It’s ‘Flat And Skinny’ From Here

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