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Category: Markets

Memory Stock Dilemma Underlines Market’s ‘Biggest Question’

May 31, 2026June 1, 2026

Any market skeptic worth his or her salt will tell you this time’s never different.

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6 Comments on Memory Stock Dilemma Underlines Market’s ‘Biggest Question’

Why The Hyper-Scalers Are ‘Cheap’

May 30, 2026June 1, 2026

Are the hyper-scalers cheap? That might seem like a ridiculous question. It’s tempting to shout,

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5 Comments on Why The Hyper-Scalers Are ‘Cheap’

War, Peace, Stocks, Bonds And Oil

May 30, 2026June 1, 2026

Although equities grabbed all the headlines on their way to a ninth consecutive weekly advance,

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Weekly: Going Streaking

May 29, 2026May 31, 2026

If the S&P 500 managed merely to avoid a 1.5% loss during this week’s final

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7 Comments on Weekly: Going Streaking

From ‘Old’ Tech To New, AI Train Shows ‘No Signs Of Slowing’

May 29, 2026May 31, 2026

There are “no signs of slowing” in demand for AI-related hardware. So said Dell COO

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10 Comments on From ‘Old’ Tech To New, AI Train Shows ‘No Signs Of Slowing’

‘The Perfect Picture’ Of The Melt-Up Zeitgeist

May 28, 2026May 30, 2026

The only thing to fear is the right-tail. That’s the mindset markets have been forced

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5 Comments on ‘The Perfect Picture’ Of The Melt-Up Zeitgeist

On A Wing, A Prayer And A Pipe Dream

May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

While editorializing around Goldman’s shiny new price target for the S&P on Wednesday, I noted

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12 Comments on On A Wing, A Prayer And A Pipe Dream

Blueberry Vinegar (SPX 8K)

May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

“David Kostin would’ve raised his year-end target by now.” That was among the dozens of

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4 Comments on Blueberry Vinegar (SPX 8K)

Bargain Or Bubble? 1,000% SK Hynix Rally Epitomizes Semi Paradox

May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

SK Hynix is up 3,500% (give or take) since the original COVID panic. Mull that

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2 Comments on Bargain Or Bubble? 1,0002 SK Hynix Rally Epitomizes Semi Paradox

More Chips, Please!

May 26, 2026May 27, 2026

It was, um, too early to fade the chip rally. I’ve conceded that particular point

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6 Comments on More Chips, Please!

Profits Over Prophets

May 25, 2026May 26, 2026

War, what is it good for? The song tells us “absolutely nothing,” but it’s apparently

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8 Comments on Profits Over Prophets

Peace Hopes Drive European Stock Rally Despite ECB

May 25, 2026May 26, 2026

Hooray for MOU day! The persistence of sticking points in the US-Iran diplomatic process (and

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Losing Our Correlation Religion

May 23, 2026May 25, 2026

The stock rally needed the bond selloff to abate. And it did, however transient the

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3 Comments on Losing Our Correlation Religion

Weekly: Stocks And The Cold Hot War

May 22, 2026May 25, 2026

Two Saturdays ago, after the S&P notched a sixth consecutive weekly advance, I noted that

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Markets Fully Price 2026 Fed Hike As Warsh Sworn In

May 22, 2026May 24, 2026

“Ruh roh.” On Friday, for the first time this year, traders fully priced one 25bps

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1 Comment on Markets Fully Price 2026 Fed Hike As Warsh Sworn In

A Bear In A Bubble

May 21, 2026May 23, 2026

“Do you not think this global bond bear market is going to break the US

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9 Comments on A Bear In A Bubble

Is Nvidia Undervalued?

May 21, 2026May 22, 2026

I don’t fancy myself any sort of “expert” on tech, nor on anything else for

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1 Comment on Is Nvidia Undervalued?

Nvidia Beats, Raises, Hikes Buybacks And Dividend

May 20, 2026May 21, 2026

Surprise: Nvidia topped estimates and guided ahead of consensus for current-quarter revenue in hotly-anticipated results

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4 Comments on Nvidia Beats, Raises, Hikes Buybacks And Dividend

Kevin Warsh Versus ‘Vast Majority’

May 20, 2026May 21, 2026

Good luck, Kevin. You’re gonna need it. That’s a concise summary of the April FOMC

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6 Comments on Kevin Warsh Versus ‘Vast Majority’

Scott Bessent Has A Bond Problem

May 19, 2026May 20, 2026

“Rates are too high, Scott,” Donald Trump said, while hosting a high-level delegation from Riyadh

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7 Comments on Scott Bessent Has A Bond Problem

Beware The Market’s Negative Convexity Problem

May 19, 2026May 20, 2026

If and when a meaningful equity pullback finally comes calling, market participants may be “treated”

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1 Comment on Beware The Market’s Negative Convexity Problem

$450 Billion Goes ‘All In’ As Stock Bets Soar Most Ever

May 19, 2026May 20, 2026

Professional capital allocators with more than $450 billion in AUM cut cash levels and lifted

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‘The One Big Trade’

May 18, 2026May 19, 2026

Customers of Wall Street’s most prestigious firm, not to mention investors in general, are worried

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Breadth Metrics Plunge, Fanning Narrow Market Worries

May 18, 2026May 19, 2026

If you like your rallies broad and your breadth “healthy,” you’re not enamored with 2026’s

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That Bear’s Got A Match!

May 17, 2026May 18, 2026

You missed it, didn’t you? The rally, I mean. The 30% Nasdaq surge from the

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2 Comments on That Bear’s Got A Match!

Are Chip Stocks The Biggest Bubble Since 1700?

May 15, 2026May 17, 2026

Stop the presses: As of noon on Friday in the US, red-hot semis were on

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9 Comments on Are Chip Stocks The Biggest Bubble Since 1700?

Stock Rally Menaced Anew By Inflation, Surging Bond Yields

May 15, 2026May 16, 2026

Eventually, stocks will correct. That was one message from BofA’s Michael Hartnett who, in the

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2 Comments on Stock Rally Menaced Anew By Inflation, Surging Bond Yields

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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