JPMorgan beat estimates on more or less every key line in Q1 results released Tuesday.
Category: Markets
Bonds Are In 2026 What Stocks Were In 2008
Who wants bonds? Still nobody. They don’t work in the “new” old normal. War, macro
Stocks Are The ‘Vigilantes’ Now
It used to be the bond market that bullied politicians and policymakers into pivots. Now,
Weekly: All Eyes On Islamabad
Generally speaking, it’s not a good bet that benchmark US equities will fall six weeks
Mechanical Stock-Buying In Play On ‘Face-Ripper’ Rally
By now, all regular readers should be able to write their own script re: mechanical
V-Day (Everybody’s A Winner!)
Risk sentiment was predictably buoyant Wednesday, as markets around the world cheered a two-week ceasefire
Weekly: Back To Normal
I realize many (most?) readers don’t like this framing, and in a lot of important
Peace Dividend
Did you listen to Bill Ackman? Did you “ignore the bears” on the way to
Bad News Bears
As a reformed macro-market propagandist, I’m a recognized authority on negative economic news. I’ve been
Bill Vs. Bagher
Heads-up: Pre-market so-called “news” or “Truth” is often just a setup for profit-taking. Basically, it’s
Restless Wall Street Out Of Patience With Iran War
At the index level, the five-week selloff in US equities is the furthest thing from
VaR Is Hell
If I weren’t so committed to editorial integrity, I could’ve penned a terrifying headline for
Private Credit: Who’s Scared?
The private credit apocalypse is back in the news. I don’t know that it ever
Where’s The Stock, Pump Price Pain Threshold?
What’s the equity market pain threshold for the Trump administration? Not SPX 6500, apparently, and
Operation ‘Rage Flip’
It really is difficult to overstate the case when it comes to describing the dramatic
Weekly: Hawks, Hawks Everywhere
It was rough out there for investors this week. Again. It’s not a coincidence that
‘Just An Ongoing, Bleeding Risk-Management Flow’
“Are we really tightening policy into a global energy supply shock with an already fragile
UK Front-End Ablaze As BoE Turns Hawkish
The Bank of England might’ve cut rates today. Then came the war. At the last
‘Standard Learning’
There were two overarching takeaways from Jerome Powell’s press conference on Wednesday. The first was
Fed On Hold, Retains 2026 Rate Projection Amid War Angst
As expected, the Fed kept rates on hold Wednesday following what I imagine was a
Beware The War Melt-Up?
Far be it from me (of all people) to be the optimist in the room
Iran War Shatters Bullish Wall Street Consensus
The global growth outlook “tanked” and cash allocations “surged” among professional money managers this month
Your Hedges Are Bleeding
Last week, in “Priced For Chaos When Nothing Ever Happens,” I again called readers’ attention
If Iran ‘Fun’ Continues, S&P Could Plunge To 5400
Are we having fun yet? At least one person (two if you count Pete Hegseth)
Something’s Gotta Give This Week
I’m probably on the record enough by now, but just in case: I’m avowedly not
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