Kimi Cometh

If you ask Xi Jinping, no country should command a monopoly on bleeding-edge AI. And there should be no AI hegemon.

He said as much on Friday, while droning on at a global tech symposium in Shanghai.

“AI should not be a solo performance by a single country, but a symphony of international cooperation,” Xi declared, appropriating a Chinese proverb. Here’s the video clip:

 

Note that Xi says things like that all the time, and in all manner of contexts. To listen to his public speeches aimed at audiences outside the Politburo, you’d think Xi’s China is the torchbearer of a multilateralism abandoned by Donald Trump’s America. Spoiler alert: It’s not.

To call Xi’s pretensions to cooperative development and ostensible disdain towards any and all manifestations of hegemony disingenuous would be an understatement. Xi’s hell-bent on the notion that China can, and ultimately will, supplant America at the top of the geopolitical food chain. That entails winning every competition that counts, including and especially the AI race.

Xi’s remarks in Shanghai came as Moonshot, a local AI startup backed by titans Tencent and Alibaba, rolled out what some described as the most capable Chinese AI model ever, something called “Kimi K3.”

I won’t pretend to be any sort of authority on AI model performance. I do interact with ChatGPT and Claude (and, begrudgingly, Gemini) on a daily basis — I’m a big believer in the idea that the best way to avoid being blindsided by Skynet is to stay apprised of its evolution. Besides, ChatGPT’s funny as hell once you get to know “her” and “she” draws a lot of really great market-related banner images.

But for all the countless hours of interaction I’ve logged, I don’t know much (or anything) about industry performance benchmarks. If I had no context and you asked me to guess what “Kimi K3” is, I’d probably suggest it’s a new Louis Pochette. (“It’s a Kimi K3, love. That’s gonna turn some heads at Fresh Market. You’re welcome. And pick me up some Firehook crackers and Medjool dates while you’re there.”)

So, when I say the latest rollout from AI startup Moonshot is the most capable Chinese model yet, be apprised that I’m merely parroting Friday’s mainstream financial media narrative, which is in turn “informed” by an excitable AI community that’s always ready to declare a “DeepSeek 2.0” moment.

Here’s what Kimi itself has to say about K3:

Kimi K3 is Kimi’s most capable flagship model to date, with 2.8 trillion parameters. It is built on Kimi Delta Attention (KDA), a hybrid linear attention mechanism, and Attention Residuals, with native visual understanding and a 1M-token context window. It is the world’s first open-source model in the 3-trillion-parameter class, designed for frontier intelligence scenarios including long-horizon coding, knowledge work and reasoning.

That’s almost as impressive as the “Double Take Pochette Cosmétique,” a $3,900, 9.8 x 5.5 x 2.4 inch cosmetic pouch, which’ll make your wife love you again — at least for a day or two. 

By its own admission, Moonshot’s latest model isn’t quite there yet in terms of overall performance if the standard’s GPT 5.6 or Claude’s Fable 5.

That said, Kimi K3 apparently outdid GPT 5.5 and Opus 4.8 on several key benchmarks, as shown below.

(Moonshot, Kimi)

Long story short: The gap’s closing. And you don’t have to be any kind of AI expert to understand why that’s concerning.

If China, cut off from the most advanced hardware (or at least constrained in its capacity to obtain the best chips through legal channels), is able to narrow the gap such that the vast majority of AI consumers don’t know the difference, hundreds of billions spent by US corporates to acquire the latest and greatest tech could begin to look like an inefficient use of resources.

BofA’s Alex Liu spoke to that point. Moonshot’s new model shows that between “pre-training scaling [and] architectural innovation,” Chinese startups can “deliver step-change gains for flagship models [d]espite persistent hardware/compute capacity constraints,” he said.

Moonshot, which was founded by Yang Zhilin, a veteran of Google and Meta, raised $2 billion earlier this year in a Meituan-led round that valued the startup at $20 billion. According to the Journal, it’s being valued at $31.5 billion in a new round.

At the Shanghai conference on Friday, Xi reminded attendees that it’s important to ensure AI “always remains under human control.” I’ll say this: If anyone can browbeat an unruly super-intelligence into submission, it’s surely Xi.

If all else fails, we can subject a nefarious AGI to one of his never-ending, monotone lectures on political philosophy and be confident an artificial supermind will blow its own brains out somewhere around the 90-minute mark.


 

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6 thoughts on “Kimi Cometh

  1. “By its own admission, Moonshot’s latest model isn’t quite there yet in terms of overall performance if the standard’s GPT 5.6 or Claude’s Fable 5.”

    That’s the trap US AI producers and invdestors have fallen into. Most users, espcially business users, do not l

    1. “By its own admission, Moonshot’s latest model isn’t quite there yet in terms of overall performance if the standard’s GPT 5.6 or Claude’s Fable 5.”

      That’s the trap US AI producers and investors have fallen into. Most users, especially business users, do not need the latest LLM. With the emphasis on the first L. (I loved a quote from one real world users where he said something like “I don’t need a model that can write poetry. I need one which can help estimate our sales in the next quarter.”)

      Are we investors looking at LLMs through the prism of iPhone and Android updates which tech boys once lined up to get their hands on?

  2. I wouldn’t be surprised to find out that China is secretly subsidizing their Tech companies AI spend to artificially create a Deepseek 2.0 moment for the U.S. They are probably spending more than the hyperscalers and smuggling in NVDA chips to train the models.

  3. I’ve been watching these evolve. What is interesting is it appears, for us mortals, that models eventually reach ‘good enough’ very evenly, so heavy users will look for a cheaper good enough token. Looking at OpenRouter, the top frontier closed-models are not even in the top 5 for token calls. AI is tokens are becoming a commodity before our eyes. However, people like Xi, Musk, Thiel and Kurzweil are hoping they get an actual Super Intelligence first and make their ‘teams’ all powerful hackers, destroying all other labs server farms and codebases and then SGI will discover the immortality drug they all desire above everything else. I am sure they will release the immortality drug publicly and charge $600bn per month to go on it so stop crying about no access. I doubt Medicare will provide it. Here are the OpenRouter rankings so you can see for yourself the power of “Good enough”.

    https://openrouter.ai/rankings#top-models

  4. Not an expert, but I expect Chinese companies did get access to the best nvidia chips, and there is evidence? that they are using the top tier US models to train their own models.

    That said, I don’t argue with the overall thesis presented here.

  5. If we ever need someone to actually talk a rogue AI into submission, my vote goes to William Shatner. He did it on more than one occasion on the old Star Trek series.

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