Stocks are looking past rising yields in part because the move in reals merely marks
Category: Markets
Zoltan Pozsar’s Fairy Tale
Zoltan Pozsar scarcely needs to exalt himself. The financial media does that for him. In
Assets Not Pricing ‘Inevitable’ Recession, Former Dudley Employer Says
Inevitably, Bill Dudley’s “inevitable” recession call prompted pushback from some market participants and served as
Inversions And Reversions
It’s a good thing the yield curve doesn’t matter. If it did, we’d be in
Tiny Homes, Large Bubbles And The Biggest Picture
Earlier this week, shares of Toll Brothers fell sharply amid a broad decline in homebuilders
Jobs Report Clears Path For Fed To Hike US Into Recession
The US economy added 431,000 jobs in March, the BLS said Friday. It was another
Goldman Has 7 Reasons Why Stocks Didn’t Crash
Although the S&P just logged its first losing quarter since the onset of the pandemic,
Biden’s ‘Shock And Awe’ Oil Gambit Faces Long Odds
Frustrated by a recalcitrant OPEC and wary of ongoing, energy-driven inflation ahead of the US
Bassman: Fed ‘Backed Into A Corner’
Long-term US rates at ~2.50% are not consistent with ~5% inflation unless the Fed invokes
These ‘Crucial’ Levels Matter Most In News-Driven Market
In early February, one bank’s equity derivatives team suggested market participants were assigning too much
Revenge Of The Meme Stock Mania
Late last week, Goldman noted that retail investor activity was picking back up, with animal
As 2s10s Inverts, Dudley Says US Recession ‘Inevitable’
Two days ago, in “Fatalism Sets In As Curve Starts Recession Clock,” I wrote that
McElligott On ‘Burning’ Macro And Stocks ‘Just Winning On All Fronts’
“Stuff is breaking,” macro assets are chaotic and “burning,” but “goofy-ol’” stocks continue to press
Dramatic Moves, Someone To Hang
Recep Tayyip Erdogan himself presided over the latest round of peace talks between Ukraine and
Breaking: Fed Finds Cause Of Soaring Inflation
The Fed knows who to blame for the highest US inflation in a generation. Spoiler
‘Public Enemy Number One’ And Why Stocks Are Vulnerable
Equity investors need to answer one simple question: Will Jerome Powell follow through? Weeks of
G-7 Answers Putin’s Rubles-For-Gas Demand: No
Last week, Vladimir Putin had an idea. Like most of his ideas lately, it wasn’t
VIX ‘Too Low’ As Data, Seasonal Buyback Lull Loom
Markets may lose a key pillar of support just as equities appeared to find their
‘Literally Parabolic’: Historic Bond Rout Worsens, Yen Plunges
The hyperbole flowed freely Monday as the worst global bond rout in modern history accelerated.
Fatalism Sets In As Curve Starts Recession Clock
Fatalism pervades much of the macro commentary, and you don’t need to listen too closely
Traders Await Crucial US Data As Biden Confronts Dismal Polls
A slate of top-tier US data greets market participants in the new week, as equities
‘Diamond Hands And Buybacks’ To Drive Stock Demand: Goldman
One of the many “mysteries” of recent US equity strength is the solid performance of
Three Months In Web3: What I Learned
“There’s something apocalyptic about it,” someone told me this week. We weren’t talking about the
Fed Needs You To Believe Panic Equals Credibility
Only twice during the past 50 years have US consumers been more concerned about reduced
Perfect Storm Brewing For US Housing Bubble
More cracks in the foundation. Pardon the pun. Again. Two days after data showed new
Key Indicator Flashes Rare ‘Buy’ Signal. But There Are Caveats
For the first time since the depths of the original pandemic selloff, a widely-cited indicator
‘Largely Replaceable’: Putin’s Energy Is Expendable After All
As expected, the US and the EU announced a political accord aimed at freeing Europe
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