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Category: Markets

So You Don’t Want US Debt. What Are Your Options?

August 2, 2023August 3, 2023

Exactly nobody who cared to weigh in on Wednesday believed Fitch’s decision to pull the

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5 Comments on So You Don’t Want US Debt. What Are Your Options?

Record-High Stocks Seen ‘Inevitable’ Amid Summer Drift

August 1, 2023August 2, 2023

Equities are going nowhere and somewhere all at the same time. Summer can be drudgery

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Playing The Game

August 1, 2023August 1, 2023

The so-called “strategist short squeeze” is proceeding apace. “Capitulation by stock market bears on a

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1 Comment on Playing The Game

Equity Multiples ‘Too High’ With Rate Cuts ‘Elusive’: Kolanovic

July 31, 2023August 1, 2023

Stocks trading at 20x are too rich considering the long odds of central bank rate

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3 Comments on Equity Multiples ‘Too High’ With Rate Cuts ‘Elusive’: Kolanovic

Mike Wilson And The 2019 Parallel

July 31, 2023August 1, 2023

Last week, I noted that at least a couple of sell-side strategists are keen to

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1 Comment on Mike Wilson And The 2019 Parallel

Stocks Poised For New Records, Technicals Suggest

July 31, 2023August 1, 2023

Admittedly, I’m not a guy who’s ever been enamored with technical analysis. It’s my long-standing

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2 Comments on Stocks Poised For New Records, Technicals Suggest

Good Game!

July 29, 2023August 8, 2023

In the latest weekly+ I touched briefly on earnings season in the US, where results

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4 Comments on Good Game!

Bear Risks To The ‘Nominal Bull’

July 28, 2023July 30, 2023

Those of you old enough (or, as a reader once joked, while putting her own

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BoJ Goes For Nuance With ‘Flexible’ YCC

July 28, 2023July 29, 2023

The BoJ, under new governor Kazuo Ueda, went for nuance on Friday, but I’m afraid

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One Bank Flags ‘The Cheapest S&P Puts You’ve Ever Seen’

July 27, 2023July 28, 2023

How complacent are US equities? The most complacent ever, or at least according to one

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Bond Selloff, Dollar Spike Spoil The Goldilocks Party

July 27, 2023July 28, 2023

Bonds spoiled what should’ve been a rousing rally on Wall Street Thursday. Markets were handed

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10 Comments on Bond Selloff, Dollar Spike Spoil The Goldilocks Party

In Shift, ECB Drops Precommitment To Additional Rate Hikes

July 27, 2023July 28, 2023

The ECB raised rates as expected on Thursday. July marks the one-year anniversary of Christine

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2 Comments on In Shift, ECB Drops Precommitment To Additional Rate Hikes

Markets, Wall Street: Fed Is Probably Done

July 27, 2023July 27, 2023

It’s up to the data to “speak” now, and speak it would on Thursday and

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5 Comments on Markets, Wall Street: Fed Is Probably Done

Meta Beats, Guides Ahead Of The Street, Raises Expense Outlook

July 26, 2023July 27, 2023

The company formerly known as Facebook delivered quarterly results that beat estimates on Wednesday. Meta

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2 Comments on Meta Beats, Guides Ahead Of The Street, Raises Expense Outlook

Fed Hikes Rates To 22-Year High

July 26, 2023July 27, 2023

As expected, the Fed raised rates to a 22-year high on Wednesday. Barring a material

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1 Comment on Fed Hikes Rates To 22-Year High

McElligott Sees ‘Spooky,’ ‘Dangerous’ Contrast

July 26, 2023July 27, 2023

One thing sticks out as “spooky and dangerous” when set against months of simultaneous re-risking

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8 Comments on McElligott Sees ‘Spooky,’ ‘Dangerous’ Contrast

Fed’s ‘Murder’ Motive Less Clear, ‘Uncomfortably Long’ Goldman Says

July 26, 2023July 26, 2023

The risk was, and in the minds of many still is, that the Fed will

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Make Vol Great Again

July 26, 2023July 26, 2023

I’d say markets were “nervously” eying the Fed on Wednesday, but I’m not sure that’d

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3 Comments on Make Vol Great Again

Microsoft, Alphabet Still Going Concerns

July 25, 2023August 8, 2023

Microsoft and Alphabet officially kicked off mega-cap earnings in the US on Tuesday afternoon. To

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1 Comment on Microsoft, Alphabet Still Going Concerns

How America’s Biggest Companies Benefit From Higher Rates

July 24, 2023August 8, 2023

Last week, SocGen’s Albert Edwards marveled at the ostensibly bizarre juxtaposition between falling debt costs

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Mike Wilson Sticks With It

July 24, 2023July 25, 2023

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson isn’t giving up on it, where “it” is a less-than-rosy take

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4 Comments on Mike Wilson Sticks With It

Last Hike? What To Expect From The July FOMC Meeting

July 23, 2023July 26, 2023

The Fed will raise rates this week in what may or may not be remembered

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2 Comments on Last Hike? What To Expect From The July FOMC Meeting

How Detached Are US Stock Valuations From Gravity?

July 22, 2023August 8, 2023

One, among many, criticisms bears level against 2023’s equity rally centers on the notion that

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3 Comments on How Detached Are US Stock Valuations From Gravity?

One Bank Sees 2019 Parallel Amid Sentiment, Positioning Overshoot

July 22, 2023July 24, 2023

If you’re wondering whether discretionary cohorts have continued to re-allocate and otherwise take up exposure

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Wall Street’s ‘Strategist Short Squeeze’ Goes Mainstream

July 21, 2023August 8, 2023

I have to hold my tongue sometimes. I’m immeasurably better at doing that now than

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6 Comments on Wall Street’s ‘Strategist Short Squeeze’ Goes Mainstream

McElligott Sees ‘Absolutely Remarkable US Growth Renaissance’

July 21, 2023July 23, 2023

Earlier this week, I noted that major Wall Street banks are beginning to speak as

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4 Comments on McElligott Sees ‘Absolutely Remarkable US Growth Renaissance’

Midsummer Musings

July 20, 2023July 22, 2023

As is often the case during the summer months, the price action is dictating the

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