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Category: Markets

Is China Panicking Over Weak Yuan?

July 20, 2023July 21, 2023

The Chinese yuan — you know, the managed currency that’s going to supplant the currency

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1 Comment on Is China Panicking Over Weak Yuan?

Explaining The ‘Strangest’ Thing Albert Edwards Has Ever Seen

July 20, 2023August 8, 2023

SocGen’s Albert Edwards saw something this week he couldn’t believe. “Normally when interest rates rise,

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9 Comments on Explaining The ‘Strangest’ Thing Albert Edwards Has Ever Seen

Tesla, Netflix Mark Unofficial Start To Big US ‘Tech’ Earnings

July 19, 2023July 20, 2023

Wednesday marked the unofficial start of big “tech” earnings in the US, as Tesla and

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2 Comments on Tesla, Netflix Mark Unofficial Start To Big US ‘Tech’ Earnings

Goldman Had An Interesting Quarter

July 19, 2023July 24, 2023

Headed into Q2 results Wednesday, it was just a matter of how bad Goldman’s report

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McElligott Flags Potential For ‘Very Large’ Vol Control Selling

July 18, 2023July 19, 2023

A consistent, reliable buyer of equities could morph into a seller going forward. And it

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3 Comments on McElligott Flags Potential For ‘Very Large’ Vol Control Selling

Upbeat Outlook Helps Offset Morgan Stanley’s ‘Meh’ Quarter

July 18, 2023July 19, 2023

Morgan Stanley delivered Q2 results that underwhelmed on Tuesday. The second quarter began with “subdued

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BofA Results Clear Bar. Trading Strong Again

July 18, 2023July 18, 2023

Big bank earnings continued to roll in on Tuesday, when Bank of America delivered a

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JPMorgan Stays Bearish As Goldman Again Cuts US Recession Odds

July 17, 2023July 18, 2023

Goldman on Monday cut the subjective odds they assign to a US recession. Again. The

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4 Comments on JPMorgan Stays Bearish As Goldman Again Cuts US Recession Odds

The Dollar: It’s Complicated

July 17, 2023August 8, 2023

There was a lot of talk last week about a purported regime shift for the

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4 Comments on The Dollar: It’s Complicated

Morgan Stanley’s ‘Buy Any Dip in Bonds’ Call

July 17, 2023July 18, 2023

Two weeks after taking Bill Dudley to task on his suggestion that the worst isn’t

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2 Comments on Morgan Stanley’s ‘Buy Any Dip in Bonds’ Call

Where To Now For King Dollar?

July 15, 2023July 17, 2023

This week’s most important market story was doubtlessly the dollar, which fell the most in

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2 Comments on Where To Now For King Dollar?

With Stocks In ‘Optimism Phase,’ Goldman Is Overweight Just One Asset

July 15, 2023July 16, 2023

Stocks are in an “optimism phase.” You can tell because they’re going up. But also

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Popular Strategist Would Short ‘En Fuego’ Risk Assets Later This Summer

July 14, 2023July 16, 2023

“Risk assets en fuego as Goldilocks schools us bears,” wrote BofA’s Michael Hartnett, in the

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5 Comments on Popular Strategist Would Short ‘En Fuego’ Risk Assets Later This Summer

Things Are Going Fine At JPMorgan. If You Were Wondering.

July 14, 2023July 15, 2023

The American consumer is still spending, “albeit a little more slowly,” Jamie Dimon said Friday,

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1 Comment on Things Are Going Fine At JPMorgan. If You Were Wondering.

Powell Gets Rally Fed May Live To Regret

July 13, 2023July 24, 2023

In the wake of a very encouraging US CPI report, I suggested the Fed may

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4 Comments on Powell Gets Rally Fed May Live To Regret

As Dollar Plunges, Fed May Fear November Redux

July 12, 2023July 13, 2023

Needless to say, Wednesday’s US inflation figures pulled the rug out for the dollar. This

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5 Comments on As Dollar Plunges, Fed May Fear November Redux

Make Or Break Something

July 12, 2023July 13, 2023

Earlier this week, Wall Street’s most prominent bear suggested the recent spike in bond volatility

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2 Comments on Make Or Break Something

JPMorgan ‘Firmly Negative’ On Stocks Amid ‘Full-Swing FOMO’

July 11, 2023July 24, 2023

“We retain a firmly negative stance in equities.” So said JPMorgan analysts led by Marko

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8 Comments on JPMorgan ‘Firmly Negative’ On Stocks Amid ‘Full-Swing FOMO’

A Very ‘Significant Development’

July 10, 2023July 12, 2023

Last week, in “Too Hot,” I insisted on the idea that the trek higher for

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1 Comment on A Very ‘Significant Development’

Mike Wilson Asks: ‘Do Earnings Matter?’

July 10, 2023July 11, 2023

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson has a question. Maybe you can answer it. “Do earnings matter?”

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1 Comment on Mike Wilson Asks: ‘Do Earnings Matter?’

As Bad As It Gets? What To Expect From Earnings Season

July 8, 2023July 10, 2023

Reporting season is upon us in the US and according to consensus, Q2 was the

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1 Comment on As Bad As It Gets? What To Expect From Earnings Season

As ChatGPT Traffic Falls, A.I. ‘Baby Bubble’ Gets First Test

July 7, 2023July 24, 2023

The “novelty wore off.” That’s how Similarweb described the first drop in global traffic to

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15 Comments on As ChatGPT Traffic Falls, A.I. ‘Baby Bubble’ Gets First Test

Albert Edwards ‘Not Wavering Now’ On Recession Call

July 7, 2023July 9, 2023

The problem with being “early” on recession calls (the same goes for forecasting equity selloffs)

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Markets May Face Tougher Inflation Fight, New Rate Shock In Q3

July 7, 2023July 8, 2023

One impetus for this year’s equity gains is obviously falling headline inflation, and not just

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1 Comment on Markets May Face Tougher Inflation Fight, New Rate Shock In Q3

Too Hot

July 6, 2023July 7, 2023

It’s hot. Too hot. Both here, on the island where I reside, and also across

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3 Comments on Too Hot

Irrational Rationality

July 5, 2023July 24, 2023

It’s tempting to go ahead and call it: The second half of 2023 surely won’t

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Bears Bearing Bear Cases

July 5, 2023July 6, 2023

Playing catch-up to an equity market that’s running away from you can end poorly. With

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1 Comment on Bears Bearing Bear Cases

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