It feels like there’s a lot going on these days. In part, that’s because there
Category: Markets
Retail Investor Euphoria May Be Fading
Some of the retail euphoria which helped push US equities into bull market territory may
The Paradoxical Legacy Of 2023’s US Banking Crisis
Was America’s regional banking crisis a tempest in a teapot? (And yes, the Jamie Dimon
Markets Increasingly Disconnected From Macro On Soft Landing Odds
Equities are increasingly priced for a soft landing. You can look at that one of
Mike Wilson Will Make Bears Of You Yet
There’s a “vigorous debate” going on right now around the outlook for equities, and particularly
Kolanovic, JPMorgan See Stormy Seas For Frothy Equity Market
Rally skeptics abound as the second half of what already counts as another extraordinary year
Fortune And Glory
US equities are expensive, and the “Magnificent 7” even more so. Those observations are hopelessly
Did Bulls Just Lose Their Best Friend?
Positioning isn’t necessarily your friend anymore if you’re a bull. Equities benefited immensely in May
‘PMs Should Consider Hedging,’ Goldman Says, Amid Signs Of Exuberance
Two weeks ago, Goldman’s David Kostin raised his price target for the S&P to 4,500
Menaced By Intractable Inflation, Bank Of England Escalates
On the heels of another disastrous inflation report, the Bank of England reescalated its hiking
2000 Here We Come?
“This is a very low probability event.” So said SocGen’s Manish Kabra of a prospective
Bearish. Ceteris Paribus, Of Course
Even if Treasury’s cash rebuild ends up funded primarily through RRP transformation, the liquidity backdrop
‘Outright Bullish’ Investors May Get ‘Rude Awakening,’ Bear Warns
“Investor sentiment and positioning has turned 180 degrees,” Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson said Tuesday, as
Markets Want Adrenaline Shot For China. Now
Dribs and drabs. The PBoC is easing in dribs and drabs. Once China cut rates
Who’s Buying The Next Round?
I’ve suggested again and again over the past week or two that the fate of
Why Markets Doubt The Fed’s Hawkish Posturing
The market doubts seriously the notion that the Fed will be willing and able to
Why The Bears Were Wrong
Why were the bears wrong on equities (and particularly on US equities) during the first
Laughing In The Face Of Danger
More than $22 billion flowed into global stock funds over the latest weekly reporting period,
ECB Not Considering Pause, Lagarde Says, After June Hike
Inflation has been “coming down” in Europe. That’s the good news. The bad news: It’s
Dotting The I
“We didn’t make a decision about July. Of course it came up from time to
Aggressively Hawkish Dots Should Overshadow Fed Pause
The Fed on Wednesday pressed the pause button on the most aggressive rate-hiking campaign in
Fed Confronts Cash-Fueled Stock Melt-Up
“Cash is seemingly burning a hole in the pocket of investors again,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott
What $700 Billion Sees For Rates, Inflation And The Economy
Fund managers expect a soft landing. They also expect a recession. If that seems contradictory
Kolanovic Stays Bearish. Recession Likely Needed To Tame Inflation
It’ll probably take a recession to restore price stability. That’s according to JPMorgan analysts led
Melt-Ups, Crash-Ups And Vol Bleeders
The rebuilding of positioning across broad equities amid the S&P’s trek into bull market territory
‘The Bear Market Is Still Alive,’ Wilson Says
Not everyone is on board with the idea that the bear market in US equities
What To Expect From The June FOMC Meeting
Barring a large upside surprise in CPI figures due Tuesday, the Fed will likely pause
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