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Category: Markets

Waiting For Inflation

August 9, 2023August 10, 2023

“CPI eve” sessions are notoriously tedious in the 2020s. Monthly inflation reports out of the

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2 Comments on Waiting For Inflation

The C-Suite Can’t Dodge Higher Interest Costs Forever

August 8, 2023August 9, 2023

What happens to the world’s largest economy when corporations finally start to feel the heat

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1 Comment on The C-Suite Can’t Dodge Higher Interest Costs Forever

Bad Banks

August 8, 2023August 9, 2023

Moody’s is concerned about America’s banks. And Italy will be making a withdrawal from its

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Is The A.I. Bubble In Its ‘Later Innings’?

August 7, 2023September 14, 2023

There’s palpable tension in Wall Street research when it comes to discussions around 2023’s A.I.

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11 Comments on Is The A.I. Bubble In Its ‘Later Innings’?

Fate Of The World Hangs On Treasury Curve’s Nascent Bear Steepener

August 7, 2023August 8, 2023

The fate of the universe hangs on the nascent bear steepener in the US curve,

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Wilson Says Fiscal Largesse Put Him Offside On US Stocks

August 7, 2023August 8, 2023

Unexpected fiscal largesse. That’s one, but not the only, reason Morgan Stanley’s house call on

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1 Comment on Wilson Says Fiscal Largesse Put Him Offside On US Stocks

Why Goldman Is Fading Last Week’s Bond Selloff

August 6, 2023August 7, 2023

As discussed here last week, the move in US reals seen in and around the

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5 Comments on Why Goldman Is Fading Last Week’s Bond Selloff

Buffett’s Cash Pile Approaches Record Near $150 Billion

August 5, 2023August 7, 2023

Break out the Cherry Coke and peanut brittle, it’s Berkshire weekend! They always sneak up

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2 Comments on Buffett’s Cash Pile Approaches Record Near $150 Billion

Micro, Not Macro, Explains 2023’s Stock Returns

August 5, 2023August 7, 2023

Given the daily deluge of headlines documenting every twist and turn along what, rising soft

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1 Comment on Micro, Not Macro, Explains 2023’s Stock Returns

Is Voracious Risk Appetite A Contrarian Indicator?

August 4, 2023August 6, 2023

Needless to say, and notwithstanding a little “friction” around Fitch’s decision to downgrade America, risk

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Commodity Comeback?

August 4, 2023August 6, 2023

Is it time to bet on commodities again? Already riding a huge run-up from the

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1 Comment on Commodity Comeback?

Amazon Rakes In Revenue, Apple Enriches More Lives

August 3, 2023August 11, 2023

Amazon had a lot of revenue in Q2. And they’re on track to have a

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8 Comments on Amazon Rakes In Revenue, Apple Enriches More Lives

Supply, Ackman, Fitch Or All Three?

August 3, 2023August 4, 2023

The bond selloff extended meaningfully on Thursday, as supply concerns, the Fitch downgrade and, at

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3 Comments on Supply, Ackman, Fitch Or All Three?

BoE Hikes 14th Time. Says Inflation Will Be 2% In 2025

August 3, 2023August 3, 2023

The Bank of England opted for a 25bps hike at the August policy meeting. Context

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ReFundMe

August 2, 2023August 8, 2023

Knock on wood I suppose, but the US bond market’s reaction to Treasury’s closely-watched refunding

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5 Comments on ReFundMe

So You Don’t Want US Debt. What Are Your Options?

August 2, 2023August 3, 2023

Exactly nobody who cared to weigh in on Wednesday believed Fitch’s decision to pull the

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5 Comments on So You Don’t Want US Debt. What Are Your Options?

Record-High Stocks Seen ‘Inevitable’ Amid Summer Drift

August 1, 2023August 2, 2023

Equities are going nowhere and somewhere all at the same time. Summer can be drudgery

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Playing The Game

August 1, 2023August 1, 2023

The so-called “strategist short squeeze” is proceeding apace. “Capitulation by stock market bears on a

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1 Comment on Playing The Game

Equity Multiples ‘Too High’ With Rate Cuts ‘Elusive’: Kolanovic

July 31, 2023August 1, 2023

Stocks trading at 20x are too rich considering the long odds of central bank rate

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3 Comments on Equity Multiples ‘Too High’ With Rate Cuts ‘Elusive’: Kolanovic

Mike Wilson And The 2019 Parallel

July 31, 2023August 1, 2023

Last week, I noted that at least a couple of sell-side strategists are keen to

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1 Comment on Mike Wilson And The 2019 Parallel

Stocks Poised For New Records, Technicals Suggest

July 31, 2023August 1, 2023

Admittedly, I’m not a guy who’s ever been enamored with technical analysis. It’s my long-standing

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2 Comments on Stocks Poised For New Records, Technicals Suggest

Good Game!

July 29, 2023August 8, 2023

In the latest weekly+ I touched briefly on earnings season in the US, where results

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4 Comments on Good Game!

Bear Risks To The ‘Nominal Bull’

July 28, 2023July 30, 2023

Those of you old enough (or, as a reader once joked, while putting her own

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BoJ Goes For Nuance With ‘Flexible’ YCC

July 28, 2023July 29, 2023

The BoJ, under new governor Kazuo Ueda, went for nuance on Friday, but I’m afraid

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One Bank Flags ‘The Cheapest S&P Puts You’ve Ever Seen’

July 27, 2023July 28, 2023

How complacent are US equities? The most complacent ever, or at least according to one

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Bond Selloff, Dollar Spike Spoil The Goldilocks Party

July 27, 2023July 28, 2023

Bonds spoiled what should’ve been a rousing rally on Wall Street Thursday. Markets were handed

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10 Comments on Bond Selloff, Dollar Spike Spoil The Goldilocks Party

In Shift, ECB Drops Precommitment To Additional Rate Hikes

July 27, 2023July 28, 2023

The ECB raised rates as expected on Thursday. July marks the one-year anniversary of Christine

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2 Comments on In Shift, ECB Drops Precommitment To Additional Rate Hikes

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