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Category: Markets

$635 Billion Is The Least Bearish Since Fed Liftoff

August 15, 2023August 16, 2023

Two months ago, I wondered if equity bulls were about to “lose their best friend.”

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6 Comments on $635 Billion Is The Least Bearish Since Fed Liftoff

The Russian Ruble Is Collapsing. Here’s What To Know

August 15, 2023August 31, 2023

With apologies to all the… I don’t know, ruble fans (?) out there, the Russian

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2 Comments on The Russian Ruble Is Collapsing. Here’s What To Know

Kolanovic Warns Investors: We’re Not Out Of The Inflation Woods

August 14, 2023August 15, 2023

Two benign US CPI reports in a row might make a streak, but they don’t

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4 Comments on Kolanovic Warns Investors: We’re Not Out Of The Inflation Woods

A Word On Goldman’s 2024 Fed Cut Call

August 14, 2023August 14, 2023

Let’s be clear: All forecasts for the trajectory of Fed funds are guesses. Anything can

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2 Comments on A Word On Goldman’s 2024 Fed Cut Call

China’s Zhongzhi Crisis Underscores Risk Of Economic Collapse

August 14, 2023August 31, 2023

An opaque Chinese conglomerate with a trillion yuan in assets spread across everything from real

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6 Comments on China’s Zhongzhi Crisis Underscores Risk Of Economic Collapse

America’s ‘Profit Reckoning’ Never Showed Up

August 12, 2023August 14, 2023

This quarter (Q3) marks a year since investors were told to be on watch for

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4 Comments on America’s ‘Profit Reckoning’ Never Showed Up

Discretionary Investors Fade Half Of Melt-Up Positioning Increase

August 12, 2023August 14, 2023

For much of 2023, re-leveraging and re-risking was the purview of systematic investor cohorts mechanically

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0DTE Options Take Over As Volume Share Hits Record

August 11, 2023August 13, 2023

If markets feel choppy to you, it’s not your imagination. And if that chop seems

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4 Comments on 0DTE Options Take Over As Volume Share Hits Record

$130 Billion Tidal Wave Puts US Treasurys On Pace For Record Inflow

August 11, 2023September 14, 2023

For an asset issued by a sovereign exhibiting signs of deteriorating governance and running an

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4 Comments on $130 Billion Tidal Wave Puts US Treasurys On Pace For Record Inflow

Cooling Down, Heating Up

August 10, 2023August 11, 2023

As we celebrate the coolest run of US core inflation in more than two years,

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8 Comments on Cooling Down, Heating Up

Is The Fed Done?

August 10, 2023September 14, 2023

The Fed may be done. Indeed, the market suspects the Fed is done. July’s CPI

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3 Comments on Is The Fed Done?

‘Forced Selling’ On The S&P? Here Are The Numbers

August 10, 2023August 11, 2023

In “Waiting For Inflation,” I noted that potential vol control de-leveraging is still a subplot

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1 Comment on ‘Forced Selling’ On The S&P? Here Are The Numbers

Waiting For Inflation

August 9, 2023August 10, 2023

“CPI eve” sessions are notoriously tedious in the 2020s. Monthly inflation reports out of the

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2 Comments on Waiting For Inflation

The C-Suite Can’t Dodge Higher Interest Costs Forever

August 8, 2023August 9, 2023

What happens to the world’s largest economy when corporations finally start to feel the heat

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1 Comment on The C-Suite Can’t Dodge Higher Interest Costs Forever

Bad Banks

August 8, 2023August 9, 2023

Moody’s is concerned about America’s banks. And Italy will be making a withdrawal from its

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Is The A.I. Bubble In Its ‘Later Innings’?

August 7, 2023September 14, 2023

There’s palpable tension in Wall Street research when it comes to discussions around 2023’s A.I.

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11 Comments on Is The A.I. Bubble In Its ‘Later Innings’?

Fate Of The World Hangs On Treasury Curve’s Nascent Bear Steepener

August 7, 2023August 8, 2023

The fate of the universe hangs on the nascent bear steepener in the US curve,

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Wilson Says Fiscal Largesse Put Him Offside On US Stocks

August 7, 2023August 8, 2023

Unexpected fiscal largesse. That’s one, but not the only, reason Morgan Stanley’s house call on

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1 Comment on Wilson Says Fiscal Largesse Put Him Offside On US Stocks

Why Goldman Is Fading Last Week’s Bond Selloff

August 6, 2023August 7, 2023

As discussed here last week, the move in US reals seen in and around the

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5 Comments on Why Goldman Is Fading Last Week’s Bond Selloff

Buffett’s Cash Pile Approaches Record Near $150 Billion

August 5, 2023August 7, 2023

Break out the Cherry Coke and peanut brittle, it’s Berkshire weekend! They always sneak up

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2 Comments on Buffett’s Cash Pile Approaches Record Near $150 Billion

Micro, Not Macro, Explains 2023’s Stock Returns

August 5, 2023August 7, 2023

Given the daily deluge of headlines documenting every twist and turn along what, rising soft

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1 Comment on Micro, Not Macro, Explains 2023’s Stock Returns

Is Voracious Risk Appetite A Contrarian Indicator?

August 4, 2023August 6, 2023

Needless to say, and notwithstanding a little “friction” around Fitch’s decision to downgrade America, risk

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Commodity Comeback?

August 4, 2023August 6, 2023

Is it time to bet on commodities again? Already riding a huge run-up from the

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1 Comment on Commodity Comeback?

Amazon Rakes In Revenue, Apple Enriches More Lives

August 3, 2023August 11, 2023

Amazon had a lot of revenue in Q2. And they’re on track to have a

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8 Comments on Amazon Rakes In Revenue, Apple Enriches More Lives

Supply, Ackman, Fitch Or All Three?

August 3, 2023August 4, 2023

The bond selloff extended meaningfully on Thursday, as supply concerns, the Fitch downgrade and, at

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3 Comments on Supply, Ackman, Fitch Or All Three?

BoE Hikes 14th Time. Says Inflation Will Be 2% In 2025

August 3, 2023August 3, 2023

The Bank of England opted for a 25bps hike at the August policy meeting. Context

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ReFundMe

August 2, 2023August 8, 2023

Knock on wood I suppose, but the US bond market’s reaction to Treasury’s closely-watched refunding

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5 Comments on ReFundMe

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