A few days ago, I made the passing observation that if Fed officials are inclined
Category: Markets
Dimon’s ‘Dangerous World’ Warning Is Caveat To Solid JPMorgan Results
“This may be the most dangerous time the world has seen in decades,” Jamie Dimon
Bond Bear Roars Back
Equities may be inclined to sustain a rebound from their late-summer swoon, and the odds
Stocks Shrug At Warm Inflation Readings, But Unstable Bonds Pose Threat
You could argue that stocks should’ve been meaningfully lower on the back of a warm
Hawkish Or Cautious? Fed Minutes Suggest Both
Several Fed officials were keen last month to shift the discussion around the policy rate
Five Steps To A Santa Rally On Wall Street
It all hinges on the evolution of the data, of course, but absent an inflation
A False Dawn For Bond Bulls?
Market commentary is hopelessly trifling — where that means entirely insignificant — in the presence
Broken Records
All’s not well under the surface of what, notwithstanding a late-summer setback, remains an optically
‘Lost Decade’ Risk Remains For 60/40 Portfolios: Goldman
The outlook remains challenging for 60/40 portfolios. That was the message from Goldman’s Christian Mueller-Glissmann,
Bond Rally May Not Rescue Stocks, JPMorgan Warns
The “time is coming to position for the long duration trade.” So said JPMorgan analysts
Much Ado About Price Discovery
I chafe, instinctually, at the idea that the US government is “running out of room”
The New ‘Fight The Fed’ Trade
What if they had a selloff and nobody sold? That seems like a bizarre proposition,
Earnings Season Is Here
Earnings season is here, believe it or not, and given the pervasive macro ambiguity weighing
The ‘Ultimate Fear’
The “view” from where BofA’s Michael Hartnett is sitting goes something like this. “Still bearish risk
‘Penny Stock’ Bond Market Needs ‘Time Out’
There’s a lot of focus right now on bonds, but also on bond volatility, and
Treasurys’ Titanic Losses Make History
If you don’t like to talk about bonds, you’re at wits’ end by now. The
Bond Vigilantes May Be Wearing Out Welcome
It wasn’t so long ago when everybody who’s anybody feigned nostalgia for a time when
America’s Historic Bond Bear Bleeds Into Global Markets
Oh, the humanity. 30-year US Treasury yields briefly breached 5% on Wednesday before pulling back.
Breaking Point
I’ve hinted multiple times over the past several weeks at a possible breaking point for
Bond Rout Turns Vicious As Bear Steepener Extends
“Duration simply has no friends until the US data rolls over,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said
What If Mega-Cap Tech Stocks Are Actually Cheap?
What if mega-cap US tech stocks are actually cheap? The hell you say! No, seriously.
Until Something Breaks
Last week, during an interview with The Times of India, Jamie Dimon characterized 7% Fed
Expensive Observations
This week’s earliest market commentary revolved around the profound observation that Kevin McCarthy’s surprising decision
Three Reasons Dollar Strength Can Continue
Dollar strength is the talk of the proverbial town. Perhaps you noticed. Thanks to a
Higher Interest Expense Finally Bites For Corporate America
By now, it’s a familiar refrain: Interest costs (or at least interest payments) for the
Wall Street Navigates Unfamiliar Waters In ‘Higher-For-Longer’ Regime Shift
Interest rates have “reset to a ‘higher-for-longer’ regime.” That’s according to Goldman’s Praveen Korapaty, who
Reading History
Rates (and bond yields and financing costs for homes) may seem high to you, but

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