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Category: Markets

Bonds In Limbo After Historic Crash

October 13, 2023October 15, 2023

A few days ago, I made the passing observation that if Fed officials are inclined

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3 Comments on Bonds In Limbo After Historic Crash

Dimon’s ‘Dangerous World’ Warning Is Caveat To Solid JPMorgan Results

October 13, 2023November 5, 2023

“This may be the most dangerous time the world has seen in decades,” Jamie Dimon

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6 Comments on Dimon’s ‘Dangerous World’ Warning Is Caveat To Solid JPMorgan Results

Bond Bear Roars Back

October 12, 2023October 13, 2023

Equities may be inclined to sustain a rebound from their late-summer swoon, and the odds

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1 Comment on Bond Bear Roars Back

Stocks Shrug At Warm Inflation Readings, But Unstable Bonds Pose Threat

October 12, 2023October 13, 2023

You could argue that stocks should’ve been meaningfully lower on the back of a warm

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Hawkish Or Cautious? Fed Minutes Suggest Both

October 11, 2023October 12, 2023

Several Fed officials were keen last month to shift the discussion around the policy rate

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Five Steps To A Santa Rally On Wall Street

October 11, 2023October 12, 2023

It all hinges on the evolution of the data, of course, but absent an inflation

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A False Dawn For Bond Bulls?

October 10, 2023October 11, 2023

Market commentary is hopelessly trifling — where that means entirely insignificant — in the presence

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Broken Records

October 10, 2023October 11, 2023

All’s not well under the surface of what, notwithstanding a late-summer setback, remains an optically

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1 Comment on Broken Records

‘Lost Decade’ Risk Remains For 60/40 Portfolios: Goldman

October 10, 2023October 11, 2023

The outlook remains challenging for 60/40 portfolios. That was the message from Goldman’s Christian Mueller-Glissmann,

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2 Comments on ‘Lost Decade’ Risk Remains For 60/40 Portfolios: Goldman

Bond Rally May Not Rescue Stocks, JPMorgan Warns

October 9, 2023October 10, 2023

The “time is coming to position for the long duration trade.” So said JPMorgan analysts

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Much Ado About Price Discovery

October 9, 2023October 10, 2023

I chafe, instinctually, at the idea that the US government is “running out of room”

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3 Comments on Much Ado About Price Discovery

The New ‘Fight The Fed’ Trade

October 7, 2023October 9, 2023

What if they had a selloff and nobody sold? That seems like a bizarre proposition,

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3 Comments on The New ‘Fight The Fed’ Trade

Earnings Season Is Here

October 7, 2023October 9, 2023

Earnings season is here, believe it or not, and given the pervasive macro ambiguity weighing

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The ‘Ultimate Fear’

October 6, 2023October 7, 2023

The “view” from where BofA’s Michael Hartnett is sitting goes something like this. “Still bearish risk

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2 Comments on The ‘Ultimate Fear’

‘Penny Stock’ Bond Market Needs ‘Time Out’

October 5, 2023October 6, 2023

There’s a lot of focus right now on bonds, but also on bond volatility, and

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7 Comments on ‘Penny Stock’ Bond Market Needs ‘Time Out’

Treasurys’ Titanic Losses Make History

October 5, 2023October 15, 2023

If you don’t like to talk about bonds, you’re at wits’ end by now. The

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6 Comments on Treasurys’ Titanic Losses Make History

Bond Vigilantes May Be Wearing Out Welcome

October 4, 2023October 15, 2023

It wasn’t so long ago when everybody who’s anybody feigned nostalgia for a time when

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2 Comments on Bond Vigilantes May Be Wearing Out Welcome

America’s Historic Bond Bear Bleeds Into Global Markets

October 4, 2023October 5, 2023

Oh, the humanity. 30-year US Treasury yields briefly breached 5% on Wednesday before pulling back.

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Breaking Point

October 3, 2023October 4, 2023

I’ve hinted multiple times over the past several weeks at a possible breaking point for

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1 Comment on Breaking Point

Bond Rout Turns Vicious As Bear Steepener Extends

October 3, 2023October 4, 2023

“Duration simply has no friends until the US data rolls over,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said

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What If Mega-Cap Tech Stocks Are Actually Cheap?

October 2, 2023October 3, 2023

What if mega-cap US tech stocks are actually cheap? The hell you say! No, seriously.

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4 Comments on What If Mega-Cap Tech Stocks Are Actually Cheap?

Until Something Breaks

October 2, 2023October 3, 2023

Last week, during an interview with The Times of India, Jamie Dimon characterized 7% Fed

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2 Comments on Until Something Breaks

Expensive Observations

October 2, 2023October 3, 2023

This week’s earliest market commentary revolved around the profound observation that Kevin McCarthy’s surprising decision

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1 Comment on Expensive Observations

Three Reasons Dollar Strength Can Continue

October 1, 2023October 2, 2023

Dollar strength is the talk of the proverbial town. Perhaps you noticed. Thanks to a

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Higher Interest Expense Finally Bites For Corporate America

September 30, 2023October 20, 2023

By now, it’s a familiar refrain: Interest costs (or at least interest payments) for the

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3 Comments on Higher Interest Expense Finally Bites For Corporate America

Wall Street Navigates Unfamiliar Waters In ‘Higher-For-Longer’ Regime Shift

September 30, 2023October 2, 2023

Interest rates have “reset to a ‘higher-for-longer’ regime.” That’s according to Goldman’s Praveen Korapaty, who

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Reading History

September 29, 2023October 1, 2023

Rates (and bond yields and financing costs for homes) may seem high to you, but

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3 Comments on Reading History

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