It never ceases to amaze me how often investors have to be reminded that trading
Category: Markets
The ‘Waller Doctrine’ And The History Of First Cuts
The past six weeks were defined by growing conviction in Fed rate cuts. Although that
Hartnett Spots Animal Spirits As Sentiment Gauge Jumps Most Since 2012
The animal spirits are stirring. That’s according to BofA’s Michael Hartnett who, in the latest
Kolanovic Sees ‘Worry Or Perhaps Even Panic’ In 2024
“We think that the decline in inflation and economic activity that we forecast for 2024
Bank Of Japan Speculation Reaches Fever Pitch
There’s something amusing about employing the term “early” to describe a prospective Bank of Japan
With Apologies
Part of writing about macro and markets in the post-Lehman world is coping with the
US And China Find Common Ground. In A Moody’s Outlook Cut
Beijing is “disappointed.” With a lot of things and also with a lot of people,
SOFR Spike: What To Know
A SOFR spike! Who’s excited?! I don’t know how much attention this’ll garner among casual
Rate Cuts And Profit Growth? History Says No
“From where we are sitting, the market remains clueless about where 10-year bond yields or
I’m Sorry, Wilson!
“I’m sorry, Wilson!” (Who’s seen Cast Away?) If you’re looking to trade the early-year bullish
Are Stocks Too Calm For Comfort?
“It’s quiet. Too quiet,” as the old cliché goes. As the new week dawned, some
Record Highs Or Santa Crash? Wall Street Looks Ahead After Historic Rally
It’s rational to ask if asset prices are destined to buckle under the weight of
Powell’s Nuance Confirms Fed Finished Hiking Rates
Jerome Powell participated in a fireside chat on Friday at Spelman College in Atlanta, Lisa
Who Called The ‘Everything Rally’?
What a difference five weeks makes. The one-two-three punch of a conciliatory nod to the
Sooner Or Later, Bond Bear Will Return, Hartnett Says
Market participants witnessed enough remarkable developments over the past fours years to burn retinas. November
Hedging The End Of The World
Regular readers are familiar with my views on the futility of hedging geopolitical risk. I
Druckenmiller Gets A Reminder: America ‘Isn’t A Corporation’
Last month, Stan Druckenmiller sat down for a fireside chat with Paul Tudor Jones at
The Waller Sea Change
It’s hard to overstate the significance of the apparent tone shift from the Fed regarding
After $200 Million Bond Short Payday, Ackman Bets On Fed Cuts
Two months ago, I said Bill Ackman probably cared a lot more about the money
‘This Can’t Be What They Had In Mind’: Reflexivity On Parade
I’ve been on (and on) about the Fed’s financial conditions reflexivity problem. The dynamic is
Adventures In The Vol-Scape
During the three-month selloff in US equities from August to October, AUM growth for ETFs
Narrating The ‘Everything Ripper’
If you have even a passing interest in markets, macro and monetary policy (and if
The $6 Trillion Question
“Cash” had a helluva year. Perhaps you’re aware. Every week, I editorialize around the latest
How Long Before The Fed Faces Reserve Scarcity?
A few days ago, I mentioned that RRP drain had likely started the clock on
Long Cash!
Another week, another new record for money market fund assets. Money funds took in $29.12
Sentiment Shift Drives $50 Billion Flow Bonanza To US Stock Funds
US-focused equity ETFs and mutual funds scored another big inflow over the latest weekly reporting
Interest Expense, Debt And A.I.: What Corporate America Is Talking About
Every quarter, once the verdict is in on earnings season, Goldman publishes an “S&P 500
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