For US equities, domestic politics is an “unpriced” risk, according to Goldman. I spent some
Category: Markets
Kolanovic, JPMorgan Still Skeptical. Of Everything
Jerome Powell’s reluctance to countenance market speculation about a return to rate hikes is indicative
Between The Lines
If you asked a committed bear what’s priced into equities in terms of risks, he
Warren Buffett Now Has Nearly $200 Billion. In Cash.
It’s a Berkshire weekend. In fact, it’s a “Woodstock for Capitalists” weekend. On Saturday, Warren
Rethinking The Repricing
Market pricing for the Fed trajectory tends to overshoot. It was clear in January that
The ‘Big Picture’
One popular strategist has it all figured out. Bonds and the dollar are in an
Apple Delivers In Stormy Seas
What we can’t get in sales we’ll make up for with buybacks and payouts. That
Complicated Hypotheticals
It’ll likely take “longer than previously expected” for Fed officials to gain sufficient confidence in
Fed Laments ‘Lack Of Further Progress’ On Inflation, Unveils QT Taper
The Fed stayed camped at terminal for a sixth consecutive meeting on Wednesday, as expected.
Mighty Dollar’s Win Streak Eyed As Fed Cuts Delayed
With the Fed likely to indicate that any rate cuts are a relatively distant prospect
Amazon Talks Up AWS Strength, AI As Overall Sales Growth Slows
Amazon reported Q1 sales that narrowly topped estimates and guided below consensus for current-quarter growth
Parlor Game
“Markets and forecasters are now using two decimal points on the inflation data to decide
Elon Musk Figured It Out
A week ago, I said Elon Musk would “figure it out.” “It” was Tesla, and
Wilson, Kostin Flag Risk To Stocks From Unruly Rates
Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson and Goldman’s David Kostin agree: Elevated rates are now an impediment
What To Expect From The May FOMC Meeting
With rate cuts in the US now a second-half story if they’re still a 2024
The Coming Market Singularity
Carrying-on about the many perils of equity market concentration runs the risk of eliciting exhausted
So Much For The Selloff (Adaptation)
How worried should equity bulls be about the dramatic 2024 re-pricing across the US rates
Main Street Asks, ‘Why Save?’ While Wall Street Wonders, ‘Why Short?’
For the world’s largest economy, a “no landing” is far more likely at this point
Alphabet Impresses, Microsoft Does Enough In Tech Relief
Tension was running high on Thursday afternoon in the US following a rough day for
Zuckerberg, Meta Suffer Stock Wipeout
Mark Zuckerberg will spend a lot of money. On AI. And on the metaverse. And
Meta Spooks Investors With Spending Plans, Cost Outlook
The bar for Meta was quite high headed into the company’s Q1 results on Wednesday
Another Backdoor Yellen Equity Put May Be Just A Week Away
Earlier this week, I took a few minutes to put readers to sleep by revisiting
Tesla Teases ‘Accelerated’ New Model Launch As Revenue Dives
“We experienced numerous challenges in Q1,” Tesla said on Tuesday afternoon in the US. It
Apple Can’t De-Risk From China Fast Enough
Does one bad apple spoil the whole bunch? That’s the question market participants are asking
Elon Musk Will Figure It Out
As of last quarter, Tesla’s a growth stock with no growth. That’s a bad look.
What Goes Around Comes Around
The term premium’s almost positive again. Stop press, I know. The term premium’s like The
JPMorgan Warns Of Summer Selloff Redux
Headed into this month, investors were running higher stock exposure than they were last summer,

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