“S&P 500 heads for record close as Nvidia soars, investors look for rate cuts,” read
Category: Markets
Dead Canary
I don’t want to overstate the significance of any one data point or US macro
Kolanovic: This Time’s Probably Not Different
JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic is… I don’t know, still bearish. Or still cautious. Not especially constructive.
Is An Equities Vol Regime Shift In The Offing?
Don’t look now, but there’s a regime shift afoot in the equities index vol space.
Wall Street Ignores The Only US Election Risks That Matter
On May 28, Goldman published a note called “The US Election — Debating the Asset
I Was Told There Would Be Rate Cuts
We’ve come a long way since late November. Six whole months, in fact. Half a
Fed Suggests More Talking To Solve Communication Problem
I regularly lament the Fed’s penchant for over-communication. Every week, market participants are compelled to
Did Yellen and Powell Forget Piketty?
When it comes to the notion that Janet Yellen and Jerome Powell engaged in a
Inconclusive
I doubt anyone came away from this week wiser. By Friday afternoon in the US,
Rally Interrupted And The Forever Inversion
A four-week global equity rally faltered this week amid concerns around delayed Fed cuts. MSCI’s
Don’t Blame Nvidia
“It’s the economy, stupid.” If you’re determined to explain why US equities didn’t revel in
Nvidia Rides ‘Next Industrial Revolution’ To Another Big Beat
A year on from what history may remember as an epoch-making earnings report, the most
The Macro-Policy Path To SPX 6350
Everybody knows what could go wrong, right? If not, allow me. Monetary policy’s “long and
‘Something Far More Convex’
Hopefully, most readers can recite some version of the flat skew narrative from memory by
Nosebleed Risk Appetite May Impose ‘Speed Limit’ On Stocks: Goldman
“Maybe.” “Might.” “Possibly.” “Could.” And especially “in our view.” Every sell-side research note contains one
Stocks Could Soar, Might Plunge, Will Probably Stay Put: Wilson
If you ask me, the most interesting aspect of Mike Wilson’s 48-page mid-year US equities
Breaking Bear News…
I’m supposed to make a big deal out of Mike Wilson’s new price target for
Fate Of The World, Weight Of The Rally Rests With Nvidia
A dearth of top-tier US data releases and the proximity of Memorial Day could make
‘Magnificent 7’ Nickname ‘Needs To Be Retired,’ Goldman Says
Earnings season’s all but over in the US with a notable exception: Nvidia. So, reporting
Who Wants These Bonds?
Bonds. Nobody wants them. I shouldn’t say nobody. Maybe Lacy Hunt wants them. Or Albert
‘A One-Way Equities Index Vol Destruction Event’
It doesn’t pay to be long vol. The opposite, in fact. For a fleeting moment
Approximations And Abstractions
By now, most regular readers know how I feel about macro aggregates: They’re largely meaningless.
Markets And The People Who Trade Them
Markets and the people who trade them (that could be a soap opera: “Last time,
Memes Make Mockery Of Powell’s ‘Restrictive’ Refrain
I’m not one for gratuitous Fed criticism. God knows I’m not. I avoid, assiduously even,
Renewed Soft Landing Faith May Be Misplaced, Kolanovic Says
Markets are “settling back into the soft landing narrative,” JPMorgan analysts led by Marko Kolanovic
Meanwhile, In The Blue-Chip Corporate Bond Market…
Half a trillion. Give or take. That’s how much investment grade credit funds are on
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