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Category: Markets

‘Peak No Landing’

May 10, 2024May 12, 2024

Everyone’s in the “Anything But Bonds” rally and “no one’s in the long-end.” So said

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1 Comment on ‘Peak No Landing’

Fait Accompli

May 9, 2024May 10, 2024

I was having a pretty hard time pretending to care about the Bank of England

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1 Comment on Fait Accompli

Before The Black Swan, A ‘Big Summer Rally’?

May 8, 2024May 9, 2024

Looking for another bullish narrative? Of course you are! Who isn’t? The financial media, for

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3 Comments on Before The Black Swan, A ‘Big Summer Rally’?

Zentner Clings To Rate-Cut Call As Fed Searches For Disinflation

May 8, 2024May 9, 2024

I harbor — how should I put this? — “reservations” about the usefulness of sell-side

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1 Comment on Zentner Clings To Rate-Cut Call As Fed Searches For Disinflation

What Happened To The Selloff?

May 7, 2024May 20, 2024

Remember the equity correction? If not, don’t worry. You didn’t miss something. There wasn’t one.

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Stan Druckenmiller Takes Up Clout-Chasing In Semi-Retirement

May 7, 2024May 8, 2024

I don’t much care for Stan Druckenmiller. He’s smug. And not smug like I’m smug.

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12 Comments on Stan Druckenmiller Takes Up Clout-Chasing In Semi-Retirement

Who’s Afraid Of The Big, Bad Government?

May 6, 2024May 7, 2024

For US equities, domestic politics is an “unpriced” risk, according to Goldman. I spent some

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8 Comments on Who’s Afraid Of The Big, Bad Government?

Kolanovic, JPMorgan Still Skeptical. Of Everything

May 6, 2024May 7, 2024

Jerome Powell’s reluctance to countenance market speculation about a return to rate hikes is indicative

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1 Comment on Kolanovic, JPMorgan Still Skeptical. Of Everything

Between The Lines

May 6, 2024May 7, 2024

If you asked a committed bear what’s priced into equities in terms of risks, he

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10 Comments on Between The Lines

Warren Buffett Now Has Nearly $200 Billion. In Cash.

May 4, 2024May 6, 2024

It’s a Berkshire weekend. In fact, it’s a “Woodstock for Capitalists” weekend. On Saturday, Warren

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4 Comments on Warren Buffett Now Has Nearly $200 Billion. In Cash.

Rethinking The Repricing

May 3, 2024May 5, 2024

Market pricing for the Fed trajectory tends to overshoot. It was clear in January that

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2 Comments on Rethinking The Repricing

The ‘Big Picture’

May 3, 2024May 20, 2024

One popular strategist has it all figured out. Bonds and the dollar are in an

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16 Comments on The ‘Big Picture’

Apple Delivers In Stormy Seas

May 2, 2024May 3, 2024

What we can’t get in sales we’ll make up for with buybacks and payouts. That

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8 Comments on Apple Delivers In Stormy Seas

Complicated Hypotheticals

May 1, 2024May 2, 2024

It’ll likely take “longer than previously expected” for Fed officials to gain sufficient confidence in

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7 Comments on Complicated Hypotheticals

Fed Laments ‘Lack Of Further Progress’ On Inflation, Unveils QT Taper

May 1, 2024May 13, 2024

The Fed stayed camped at terminal for a sixth consecutive meeting on Wednesday, as expected.

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4 Comments on Fed Laments ‘Lack Of Further Progress’ On Inflation, Unveils QT Taper

Mighty Dollar’s Win Streak Eyed As Fed Cuts Delayed

May 1, 2024May 1, 2024

With the Fed likely to indicate that any rate cuts are a relatively distant prospect

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1 Comment on Mighty Dollar’s Win Streak Eyed As Fed Cuts Delayed

Amazon Talks Up AWS Strength, AI As Overall Sales Growth Slows

April 30, 2024May 1, 2024

Amazon reported Q1 sales that narrowly topped estimates and guided below consensus for current-quarter growth

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2 Comments on Amazon Talks Up AWS Strength, AI As Overall Sales Growth Slows

Parlor Game

April 29, 2024April 30, 2024

“Markets and forecasters are now using two decimal points on the inflation data to decide

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4 Comments on Parlor Game

Elon Musk Figured It Out

April 29, 2024May 13, 2024

A week ago, I said Elon Musk would “figure it out.” “It” was Tesla, and

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11 Comments on Elon Musk Figured It Out

Wilson, Kostin Flag Risk To Stocks From Unruly Rates

April 29, 2024April 30, 2024

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson and Goldman’s David Kostin agree: Elevated rates are now an impediment

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7 Comments on Wilson, Kostin Flag Risk To Stocks From Unruly Rates

What To Expect From The May FOMC Meeting

April 28, 2024May 1, 2024

With rate cuts in the US now a second-half story if they’re still a 2024

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The Coming Market Singularity

April 27, 2024May 13, 2024

Carrying-on about the many perils of equity market concentration runs the risk of eliciting exhausted

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6 Comments on The Coming Market Singularity

So Much For The Selloff (Adaptation)

April 26, 2024April 28, 2024

How worried should equity bulls be about the dramatic 2024 re-pricing across the US rates

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5 Comments on So Much For The Selloff (Adaptation)

Main Street Asks, ‘Why Save?’ While Wall Street Wonders, ‘Why Short?’

April 26, 2024April 28, 2024

For the world’s largest economy, a “no landing” is far more likely at this point

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6 Comments on Main Street Asks, ‘Why Save?’ While Wall Street Wonders, ‘Why Short?’

Alphabet Impresses, Microsoft Does Enough In Tech Relief

April 25, 2024April 26, 2024

Tension was running high on Thursday afternoon in the US following a rough day for

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3 Comments on Alphabet Impresses, Microsoft Does Enough In Tech Relief

Zuckerberg, Meta Suffer Stock Wipeout

April 25, 2024April 26, 2024

Mark Zuckerberg will spend a lot of money. On AI. And on the metaverse. And

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3 Comments on Zuckerberg, Meta Suffer Stock Wipeout

Meta Spooks Investors With Spending Plans, Cost Outlook

April 24, 2024April 25, 2024

The bar for Meta was quite high headed into the company’s Q1 results on Wednesday

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16 Comments on Meta Spooks Investors With Spending Plans, Cost Outlook

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To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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