Mike Wilson nailed it. Or as much as you can nail it after sitting out
Category: Markets
US GDP, Inflation Update In Focus As Fed Goes Quiet
It’d be too much to suggest a pivotal week looms for macro watchers, but market
The ‘En Masse’ Market Cash-Out In Perspective
I’m not sure I’d call it an “en masse cash-out” — as one mainstream financial
Second-Order Thinking
When you think about the likely evolution of Fed policy for the remainder of 2024,
Is The Selloff Finally Here?
It’s clear enough that previously “oblivious” equities reached the limit this month in terms of
Our Currency’s Still Your Problem
“The USD ‘wrecking ball’ is again the world’s problem,” Nomura’s Charlie McElligott said Thursday. A
The ‘Radical’ Economic Theory Taking Markets By Storm
Earlier this week, a reader asked for my opinion on a “heretical” notion: The idea
They Rang A Bell
I say this all the time and now seems like a good time to reiterate
Kolanovic, Fund Managers Share Bullish Commodities View, Bond Caution
They’re loving commodities these days. The bonds, not so much. “They” are fund managers. Specifically
Powell Insists Fed Policy’s ‘Restrictive.’ Critics See A Man In Denial
The tedium of central banker soundbites on Tuesday was a bit grating. I wouldn’t call
‘Fully Bully’ Fund Managers, Optimistic IMF Defy ‘Gloomy’ Global Prophecies
Fund managers were the most bullish in more than two years early this month. Just
Bank Of America’s Traders Boast Best Quarter In Years
Bank of America on Tuesday turned in decent results that beat where it counted, although
Wilson Sees Turning Point. Says ‘Rates Matter For Stocks Again’
Stocks are concerned about rates again. That’s according to Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson. Mike’s a
The Mighty Bull Staggers: War Worry, Fed Angst Undercut Rally
Markets were jittery on the heels of a weekend defined by terrifying headlines out of
Goldman Remembers How To Mint Money
Did Goldman just rediscover the magic? Wall Street’s most “revered” firm turned in a set
JPMorgan Underwhelms With NII Guide. Debt Underwriting Strong
JPMorgan fired the starting gun on US earnings season Friday with what looked like a
Conspiracies, Ponzi Schemes And The Fed-Treasury-White House Nexus
The suspicion among some observers that the current macro-policy conjuncture across the world’s largest economy
ECB: Rate Cuts Are Coming
The ECB on Thursday effectively confirmed that the Governing Council’s prepared to cut rates in
‘At Some Point’
“Almost all participants judged that it would be appropriate to move policy to a less
Return Of The Wrecking Ball: Dollar Soars
I wouldn’t want to be Christine Lagarde or Andrew Bailey right now. For months, FX
Gut Check Arrives For Stock Rally In Brutal Rates Repricing
So, no June rate cut from the Fed. A move at the next SEP meeting
Wanted: Viable Bear Cases
Equity bears are caught in a kind of insanity loop. Generally speaking, bear cases fall
Skew Has A Story To Tell
“I’m just waiting for an update on skew.” So said one reader last week. That
Kolanovic And Wilson Embrace Energy Bull Case
“We are not out of the woods yet on inflation,” JPMorgan analysts led by Marko
McElligott Returns, Talks Tail Risks, Vol ‘Phase Shift’
Previously smooth Sharpes on short-vol trades are “getting chopped up” as traders see fatter tail
‘Priorities Have Clearly Changed’: Wall Street Has A New Top Bull
Manish Kabra’s reign as Wall Street’s biggest stock bull lasted as long as Savita Subramanian’s.
What The Hell’s Going On With Gold?
Gold was in the headlines on Monday. Still. It was still in the headlines. Atahualpa’s
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