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Category: Markets

2025 Crystal Ball

December 26, 2024December 28, 2024

What’s the consensus outlook for 2025? That’s a tough question to answer. Consensus for what,

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9 Comments on 2025 Crystal Ball

Breaks, Myths And Hyper-Scalers

December 26, 2024December 27, 2024

I’d say investors and traders were back at the desk on Thursday, but that’d be

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1 Comment on Breaks, Myths And Hyper-Scalers

‘The System Needs A Breather’

December 24, 2024December 26, 2024

“Giddy.” That’s equity investors. Or US equity investors anyway. The adjective comes from SocGen’s Jitesh

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1 Comment on ‘The System Needs A Breather’

The Best (And Worst) Outcomes For 2025, According To Fund Managers

December 24, 2024December 26, 2024

If you had to make a list of prospective good outcomes for 2025, which would

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1 Comment on The Best (And Worst) Outcomes For 2025, According To Fund Managers

The Equity Funding Squeeze Briefly Revisited

December 23, 2024December 25, 2024

A month or so ago, I wrote a bit about an under-the-radar funding squeeze for

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Musk Takes A Shot At The Fed

December 23, 2024December 24, 2024

On December 4, Jerome Powell sat for a fireside-style chat with Andrew Ross Sorkin for

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10 Comments on Musk Takes A Shot At The Fed

Time To Get Defensive?

December 22, 2024December 23, 2024

Goldman likes defensives. Wait, let me back up and be more specific. A model Goldman

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2 Comments on Time To Get Defensive?

Exceptional. But Read The Fine Print

December 21, 2024December 23, 2024

If the American exceptionalism narrative vis-à-vis markets feels exhausted — ad nauseam — to you, you’re

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11 Comments on Exceptional. But Read The Fine Print

$18 Trillion Gap Masks ‘Stealth’ Stock Correction

December 20, 2024December 23, 2024

There’s a “stealth correction” afoot in the equity market. What? You didn’t notice? Well, that’s

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Nascent Angst

December 20, 2024December 22, 2024

There’s a lot to be concerned about all of a sudden, even if Friday’s session

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The Fed Triggers A Vol Shock

December 18, 2024December 19, 2024

I’m compelled, I suppose, to weigh in quickly on Wednesday’s post-Fed stock “crash” and the

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10 Comments on The Fed Triggers A Vol Shock

Recalibration Complete

December 18, 2024December 19, 2024

Wednesday’s rate cut from the Fed was “a closer call” compared to reductions in November

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4 Comments on Recalibration Complete

If A Bear Roars In The Woods

December 18, 2024December 18, 2024

Albert Edwards sees trouble. Potentially. And also perpetually and perennially, by the way, which is

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2 Comments on If A Bear Roars In The Woods

Wall Street’s Narrow Bull Run Creates ‘Unprecedented’ Juxtaposition

December 17, 2024December 18, 2024

Congratulations: You’re witnessing history. I hesitate to employ such a vacuous phrase. You’re always witnessing

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3 Comments on Wall Street’s Narrow Bull Run Creates ‘Unprecedented’ Juxtaposition

Profit Inflection Is More Soft Landing Evidence, Erstwhile Bear Says

December 17, 2024December 17, 2024

Soft landing evidence in the US just keeps piling up. Or at least that’s one

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One More And Done?

December 16, 2024December 17, 2024

On December 6, during remarks for an event hosted by the Missouri Bankers Association, Michelle

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2 Comments on One More And Done?

Buybacks Set To Break All-Time Record In 2024

December 16, 2024December 17, 2024

Buybacks: Say what you will, but don’t look a gift horse in the mouth. Although

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5 Comments on Buybacks Set To Break All-Time Record In 2024

Animal Spirits Activated

December 15, 2024December 16, 2024

The animal spirits are stirring. Maybe you noticed. If not, have a look at inflows

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1 Comment on Animal Spirits Activated

Investors Ride The Wave As US Stock Inflows Near Half-Trillion

December 13, 2024December 16, 2024

US stocks: Folks are still buying them. ETFs and mutual funds dedicated to US equities

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2 Comments on Investors Ride The Wave As US Stock Inflows Near Half-Trillion

Another Narrow Market Lament

December 13, 2024December 15, 2024

How many pseudo-laments for a narrow stock rally can you stand? A lot, I hope,

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4 Comments on Another Narrow Market Lament

We Have Found A Bear

December 12, 2024December 14, 2024

Stifel’s Barry Bannister has a heretical notion: US equities might fall in 2025. (“We have

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6 Comments on We Have Found A Bear

Anticipatory Obsequence

December 11, 2024December 12, 2024

I hate to say I told you so, but… well, I told you so. “Way”

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12 Comments on Anticipatory Obsequence

China Has An Idea

December 11, 2024December 12, 2024

China has an idea. Staring down an intractable economic quagmire and facing the rather daunting

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3 Comments on China Has An Idea

Risk? What Risk?

December 10, 2024December 11, 2024

On several occasions post-pandemic, I suggested we’re in the habit of mischaracterizing the nature of

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3 Comments on Risk? What Risk?

Making The Dollar Bear Case

December 10, 2024December 11, 2024

It’s not hard to make the bull case for the dollar. We’re currently witnessing one

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3 Comments on Making The Dollar Bear Case

‘The Only Reason To Be Bearish’

December 9, 2024December 10, 2024

Stocks: You gotta have ’em. Ask John Stoltzfus, he’ll tell you. And if you’re gonna

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13 Comments on ‘The Only Reason To Be Bearish’

To The Sky

December 9, 2024December 10, 2024

Oppenheimer’s John Stoltzfus likes what he sees in the US, both in terms of the

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5 Comments on To The Sky

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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