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Category: Markets

BofA, Citi Wrap Up Another Quarter Of ‘God’s Work’

April 15, 2025April 16, 2025

Big bank results have come and gone, and things went pretty well all things considered.

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2 Comments on BofA, Citi Wrap Up Another Quarter Of ‘God’s Work’

Tariff Drama Activated Equity Market ‘Doom Loop’

April 14, 2025April 15, 2025

Remember: Volatility and liquidity tend to be inversely correlated. That’s part and parcel of the

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2 Comments on Tariff Drama Activated Equity Market ‘Doom Loop’

‘Insightful’ Goldman Rings Up Huge Stock-Trading Haul

April 14, 2025April 15, 2025

At least somebody benefited from a rocky start to the year for US equities. “Somebody”

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The ‘Science Fiction’ Scenario’s Upon Us

April 11, 2025April 13, 2025

What happened to that long bond call, Mike? I’m just kidding. But BofA’s most prominent

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17 Comments on The ‘Science Fiction’ Scenario’s Upon Us

The Banks Are Fine. But Expect ‘Considerable Turbulence’

April 11, 2025April 13, 2025

Well, at least the banks are ok. For now. JPMorgan beat estimates and lifted its

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2 Comments on The Banks Are Fine. But Expect ‘Considerable Turbulence’

Scary Stuff

April 10, 2025April 11, 2025

I hope you like excitement. Because these are exciting times. If you’re an adrenaline junkie,

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22 Comments on Scary Stuff

Trump Folds

April 9, 2025April 10, 2025

Late last week, following the worst two-session slide for US equities since the financial crisis

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17 Comments on Trump Folds

A Direct Question

April 9, 2025April 10, 2025

Whether you realized it or not, you just lived through the most important 10-year US

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10 Comments on A Direct Question

Shades Of Baghdad Bob As Bessent, Trump Deny US Bond Blaze

April 9, 2025April 9, 2025

Scott Bessent on Wednesday tried to wave away some of the worst Treasury market turmoil

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11 Comments on Shades Of Baghdad Bob As Bessent, Trump Deny US Bond Blaze

Tariffs Trigger Treasury Meltdown, Dollar ‘Close To Crisis’

April 9, 2025April 10, 2025

Well, it’s upon us: The moment when higher US yields aren’t sufficient to attract buyers

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11 Comments on Tariffs Trigger Treasury Meltdown, Dollar ‘Close To Crisis’

Scott, My Friend, You May Have A Problem

April 8, 2025April 9, 2025

There’s a burgeoning problem in USD rates and specifically in Treasurys. This is quickly becoming

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16 Comments on Scott, My Friend, You May Have A Problem

Goldilocks And The Three Bears

April 8, 2025April 9, 2025

“Structural.” You’ve probably heard that term bandied about a lot in recent days in the

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7 Comments on Goldilocks And The Three Bears

Deal Dash

April 8, 2025April 8, 2025

China’s going to “fight to the end.” Japan’s going to make a deal. Or something.

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7 Comments on Deal Dash

With Apologies To Clown Shows…

April 7, 2025April 8, 2025

Donald Trump on Monday threatened an incremental 50% tariff on China starting immediately if Beijing

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29 Comments on With Apologies To Clown Shows…

Trump As ‘Human VVIX’: McElligott On The Meltdown

April 7, 2025April 8, 2025

If you were wondering how Charlie McElligott celebrated “Liberation Day,” the answer is that he

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11 Comments on Trump As ‘Human VVIX’: McElligott On The Meltdown

Carnage. Utter Carnage

April 7, 2025April 8, 2025

Monday was a God-awful session for equity benchmarks around the world. By “God-awful” I mean

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14 Comments on Carnage. Utter Carnage

So…. Who’s Gonna Lie To Clients This Week?

April 6, 2025April 7, 2025

This week better not go like last week. Seriously, it better not. If we all

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20 Comments on So…. Who’s Gonna Lie To Clients This Week?

Saudi Stocks Plunge Most Since Pandemic As Riyadh Gambles On Oil Supply

April 6, 2025April 7, 2025

It was ugly Sunday in the catch-up trade from Wall Street’s late-week bloodletting. Regional losses

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3 Comments on Saudi Stocks Plunge Most Since Pandemic As Riyadh Gambles On Oil Supply

Is The Damage Done?

April 5, 2025April 7, 2025

“The damage is done.” I keep hearing that vis-à-vis Donald Trump’s botched “Liberation Day” unveil,

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16 Comments on Is The Damage Done?

Meltdown

April 4, 2025April 6, 2025

Donald Trump tried to put on a brave face Friday, but he wasn’t fooling anyone:

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41 Comments on Meltdown

As Trump Demands Rate Cuts, ‘JEROME’ Warns On Stagflation

April 4, 2025April 6, 2025

As US stocks plunged again on Friday, Donald Trump had a message for Jerome Powell.

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6 Comments on As Trump Demands Rate Cuts, ‘JEROME’ Warns On Stagflation

‘I’ll Never Change!’ Trump Fumes As China Strikes Back

April 4, 2025April 4, 2025

Beijing didn’t take Donald Trump’s tariffs lying down. No, instead Xi Jinping slapped a 34%

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20 Comments on ‘I’ll Never Change!’ Trump Fumes As China Strikes Back

An ‘Insane,’ ‘Crazy,’ ‘Embarrassing’ Fiasco

April 3, 2025April 4, 2025

It’s a good thing “you can’t really watch the stock market,” as Donald Trump told

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29 Comments on An ‘Insane,’ ‘Crazy,’ ‘Embarrassing’ Fiasco

Another Bull Cuts S&P Forecast Citing ‘Crisis Of Confidence’ In America

April 2, 2025April 3, 2025

America’s experiencing a “crisis of confidence” and the US “exceptionalism” narrative needs a new catalyst.

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5 Comments on Another Bull Cuts S&P Forecast Citing ‘Crisis Of Confidence’ In America

Traders Bet On Hard Landing As US Economy Freezes Over

April 1, 2025April 2, 2025

The US economy’s slowing. I assume that’s obvious, but just in case, the evidence continues

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2 Comments on Traders Bet On Hard Landing As US Economy Freezes Over

Be Careful, David!

March 31, 2025April 1, 2025

Be careful, David! Donald Trump wants to keep morale up, and you’re not helping. For

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3 Comments on Be Careful, David!

Beginnings And Endings

March 30, 2025April 1, 2025

Way back two months ago, I posed a question: “How ironic would it be if

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1 Comment on Beginnings And Endings

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Monthly Letters

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