In search of “Goldilocks”.
Category: Markets
The ‘Non-Stop Event Risk Cabaret’: This Is The Tie That Binds 2018’s Market Shocks
“Buy the dip” is now “sell the rip”, don’t ya know?
Can You Say ‘Demand Destruction’? Trade Tension Triggers Commodities Bloodbath
We’re going to need more reassurances from Goldman on the commodities bull thesis.Â
Loving You Is Risky: One Bank’s ‘Risk-Love’ Indicator ‘Collapses’ Into ‘Panic’ Territory
“The set up was poor, in hindsight.”
Global Investors Are Overweight (Stocks) And It’s Not Clear They Can Keep Eating – Even If They Want To
Who will be the marginal buyer of equities going forward?
Heat Wave? One Bank Checks Their Heatmap For Signs Of A High Volatility Regime
“Overall, the broad picture remains healthy”, but at the same time…
The Devil In The Details: These Market Darlings Are Actually More Exposed To A Trade War Than You Think
A quick look under the hood.
Dead Cats And Such: Chinese Stocks Surged Monday After Shanghai Exchange Flags ‘Obvious Opportunities’
“…companies and shareholders are adamantly confident of listed companies’ operations, profitability and growth prospects.”
‘Zero Tolerance’ Policy On Iran Will ‘Likely’ Push Oil Prices To $120/bbl, One Bank Says
“A complete cutoff of Iran exports would be very hard to manage”.
Is It Time To Dip Your Toe Into Troubled Waters? Here’s What The ‘Perfect’ Indicator Says
Thiiiiis close to a “buy” signal.
Jobs Report: Headline Beats, Hourly Earnings Miss, Unemployment Rate Moves Up To 4%
Unlike last month, Donald Trump didn’t tweet out the jobs report an hour ahead of time on Friday, so that’s disappointing.Â
The Good, The Bad, The Ugly (Vis-Ã -Vis Corporate Balance Sheets, That Is)
It’s not all bad news. But it’s not all good news either.
Fed Minutes Cite ‘Intensified’ Trade Risks, ‘Very Strong’ U.S. Economy
“With regard to the medium-term outlook for monetary policy, participants generally judged that, with the economy already very strong and inflation expected to run at 2 percent on a sustained basis over the medium term, it would likely be appropriate to continue gradually raising the target range for the federal funds rate to a setting that was at or somewhat above their estimates of its longer-run level by 2019 or 2020.”
Albert Edwards: ‘It’s Difficult To See How The Renminbi Can Do Anything Other Than Fall Sharply’
“And with the Fed heading decisively in the opposite direction, is it any wonder the renminbi slumped in June?”
The Ghost Of 2015: China’s Stock Selloff Conjures Memories Of Nightmare Summer
“Things are getting quite exciting.”
Foreign Money Is Fleeing Asian Stocks At The 3rd Fastest Pace In 16 Years
“…next only to selling during the 2008 global financial crisis (US$93bn) and the 2H 2015 China crash.”
China And The ‘FX/Liquidity Contradiction’
“… a riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma.”
The ‘Pain Trade’: A Simple Way To Determine Who’s Holding The Stronger Hand
If there’s elegance in simplicity…
Beware Fallen Angels: One Bank Ponders The Fate Of The European Junk Market
“… it fills us with a lot of fear [and] not just because many central banks would be relatively constrained in their ability to cut rates after their big post-GFC easing.”
The Decision Tree: Why The Odds Of Permanent Tariffs Are 75/25
In favor, that is.
Requiem For A Rally: 2018’s First Half In Charts
Remember January?
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