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Category: Markets

97% Of CFOs Say US Economy Is Headed For Downturn, 77% Say Stocks Overvalued

January 9, 2020January 9, 2020

If some of this sounds overtly negative to you, don’t worry…

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The Case For The Fed Cutting Rates Back To Zero

January 9, 2020January 16, 2020

“…you cannot fight a recession with only one or two rate cuts”.

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Remember The Trade Deal? China RSVPs For Trump’s ‘Phase One’ Party

January 9, 2020

Gao said he has no additional information to offer about the terms of the deal.

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2 Comments on Remember The Trade Deal? China RSVPs For Trump’s ‘Phase One’ Party

It’s A Stampede! Fading War Fears Trigger Global Running Of The Bulls

January 9, 2020January 9, 2020

“…everything really is awesome”.

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China Inflation Sticks Near Seven-Year High, PPI Deflation Eases

January 8, 2020

Better at the margins, it appears.

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Iran ‘Stands Down’, Bulls Stand Up In Epic Reversal On Wall Street

January 8, 2020January 8, 2020

Better than 80% of S&P 500 stocks are perched above their 200-day moving average.

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1 Comment on Iran ‘Stands Down’, Bulls Stand Up In Epic Reversal On Wall Street

For Saudi Aramco, Threat Of Retribution Overshadows Oil Spike In Iran Drama

January 8, 2020January 8, 2020

“Not good, not good”.

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Markets Whipsawed As Ghost Of Qassem Soleimani ‘Goes Bump In The Night’

January 8, 2020January 8, 2020

“Be careful about bullishness at the close of the US trading”.

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2 Comments on Markets Whipsawed As Ghost Of Qassem Soleimani ‘Goes Bump In The Night’

Markets Upended By Iran Strikes. Trump Says ‘All Is Well’

January 7, 2020January 7, 2020

Some have suggested this is really nothing more than a “token” response from Tehran.

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oil5 Comments on Markets Upended By Iran Strikes. Trump Says ‘All Is Well’

Ray Dalio’s Pure Alpha II Logs First Annual Loss In Nearly Two Decades

January 7, 2020January 7, 2020

“Also-ran”?

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hedge funds4 Comments on Ray Dalio’s Pure Alpha II Logs First Annual Loss In Nearly Two Decades

Why One Bank Thinks Iran’s Next Move ‘May Not Involve Oil At All’

January 7, 2020

It may be counterproductive to engineer a large supply disruption.

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oil5 Comments on Why One Bank Thinks Iran’s Next Move ‘May Not Involve Oil At All’

Nomura’s McElligott On Markets After Soleimani Swan Song: ‘We Short Vol. Knowing We’re Backstopped’

January 7, 2020January 7, 2020

And don’t forget about the gamma pin. And buybacks.

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1 Comment on Nomura’s McElligott On Markets After Soleimani Swan Song: ‘We Short Vol. Knowing We’re Backstopped’

Euro-Area Inflation Rises Most In 8 Months Just In Time For World War III To Push Oil Prices To $800

January 7, 2020

We jest. Hopefully.

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Will They Or Won’t They? Markets Hold Breath As Iran Weighs Retribution

January 6, 2020January 7, 2020

“In the absence of new developments”…

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4 Comments on Will They Or Won’t They? Markets Hold Breath As Iran Weighs Retribution

Iran’s Currency, Stocks Shudder After Soleimani Death

January 6, 2020

Who’s a buyer?

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CTAs ‘Are Likely To Amplify’ Oil Price Spike, JPMorgan Says

January 6, 2020

Chasing the momentum?

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Forget The Trade War, Mideast Shooting War Grabs The Wheel For Oil Prices

January 6, 2020January 6, 2020

Oh, what a difference a week makes.

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All That Glitters: Mideast Tumult Pushes Gold Near 7-Year Highs

January 6, 2020January 6, 2020

“Bling, bling”.

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‘Time Is Not Infinite’: Draghi, Yellen Hope Japanification Isn’t Coming For Europe, US

January 5, 2020January 5, 2020

It’s not a “foregone conclusion”. Or is it?

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3 Comments on ‘Time Is Not Infinite’: Draghi, Yellen Hope Japanification Isn’t Coming For Europe, US

‘Expect A Pullback’ And More From One Bank’s Top 2020 Predictions

January 4, 2020January 4, 2020

“Passive investment flows could contract for a quarter as investors realize that these funds could lose money”.

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Amid The Melt-Up, Never Mind The ISM’s Flagrant Heresy

January 4, 2020January 4, 2020

“Awesome…except for the economy, profits and valuations”.

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The Day The Earth Stood Still: In Death, Qassem Soleimani Halts Global Market Rally

January 3, 2020January 4, 2020

“This far eclipses the deaths of bin Laden or Baghdadi”.

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8 Comments on The Day The Earth Stood Still: In Death, Qassem Soleimani Halts Global Market Rally

Fed Minutes Show Rates On Hold, Repo Discussion Front And Center

January 3, 2020January 3, 2020

Policy is “appropriate”. Unless there’s a world war.

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ISM Manufacturing Posts Disastrous Miss For December In Blow To Reflation Narrative

January 3, 2020January 3, 2020

Lowest since 2009.

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1 Comment on ISM Manufacturing Posts Disastrous Miss For December In Blow To Reflation Narrative

‘Ahhhh, A Tail’: Nomura’s McElligott Delivers Quick Thoughts Following Geopolitical Earthquake

January 3, 2020

“Is this event enough of a macro catalyst to trigger a larger deleveraging”?

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oil1 Comment on ‘Ahhhh, A Tail’: Nomura’s McElligott Delivers Quick Thoughts Following Geopolitical Earthquake

Amid Rip-Roaring Start To 2020, Did Small Caps Just Flash A Warning Signal?

January 2, 2020January 2, 2020

Oh, and speaking of that, 2020 kicked off with bull-flattening.

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3 Comments on Amid Rip-Roaring Start To 2020, Did Small Caps Just Flash A Warning Signal?

Can China Keep Easing Without Irritating Donald Trump?

January 2, 2020January 2, 2020

Tug-of-wars are inherently unsustainable.

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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