It’s a “BIG ‘if”, though.
Category: Markets
MAGA Economy Gets Spate Of Good News In Retail Sales, Philly Fed
In an election year, every little print helps.
Eight Months After Bear Market, Erdogan Drives Real Rates Negative As Local Stocks Boom
You can’t keep a “good” autocrat down.
What’s Behind The Rally? It’s The Liquidity, Stupid.
“And I think we ought to be sensitive to that”.
Marko Kolanovic Flags Iran ‘Tail Risk’ After Soleimani Strike. Says Investors Should Hedge Into US Election
“The market currently is not pricing any significant risk”.
Disastrous Inflation Print Points To Imminent BOE Rate Cut
“If we defer, then risks of a low inflation trap, which would certainly not be a benign outcome, would rise”
Goldman Delivers Big Revenue Beat As FICC Surges, EPS Misses On Legal Charge
Also, the new divisional revamp makes for an interesting read.
Target Plunges In Potentially Ominous Sign For Trump’s ‘Biggest Holiday Season In US History’
“Our holiday sales did not meet our expectations”
Bank Of America Delivers A Resounding ‘Meh’
All in all, this doesn’t look fantastic.
Did Analysts Suddenly Give Up On Reverse Engineering Their Buy Ratings? Asking For Albert Edwards
“Greenspan actually believed that all those analysts making these high and higher LT eps forecasts independently couldn’t be wrong”.
Investors Who RSVP’d For World War III Now Ditching Gold, Yen
Who needs insurance when the shooting war is called off and the trade war is on hold?
Inflation Comes In Cool, Underscoring Fed Patience
The narrative persists.
Nomura’s McElligott: ‘It’s Getting Hot’, But ‘Perpetually Easy’ Fin Conditions ‘Keeps Train Rolling’
The proximate cause is no secret.
Skeptics Flag ‘Simply Ludicrous’ Stock Valuations, ‘Unprecedented’ Divergence Amid Central Bank Support
…depending on how hard the Fed wants to punch, that is a fight that is difficult to win.
Don’t Call It A Bubble: Nasdaq Floats Off Into Stratosphere As ‘Other 1 Percenters’ Conjure 1999 Parallel
When it rains bullish catalysts it pours, but under the hood, questions linger around the reflation narrative.
In ‘Dramatic Shift’, US Credit Investors No Longer Fear Recession
In other words, there’s a sense in which recession fears really aren’t “elevated” anymore.
JPMorgan Asks: Is This The January 2018 Melt-Up All Over Again?
…it’s not hard to create scary-looking visuals.
‘Boris Bounce’ In Jeopardy As BOE Doves, Dour Data Trigger Pound Pain
Remember, the UK still needs to negotiate a post-divorce trade deal with the EU by the end of the year.
Big Week Starts With Key Assets Looking To Retrace 2019’s Trade War Moves
As Trump would say: “We’ll see what happens”.
The Earnings Recession Is Finally Here. Apparently, That Just Means Buy Stocks
We’ve been over this before
Reflation Trade Faded In 2020’s Opening Days As Reversal Strategy Is ‘Bang-On’
Maybe the “slow-flation” trade isn’t a “relic” after all.
‘Mind The Lesson From 2008’ As Private Asset AUM Booms Despite Hedge Fund Underperformance
“While warehousing more illiquidity risk is not a problem for long-term investors in normal times”…
Repo Apocalypse Was Averted. Now What?
“It is too early to break out the ‘mission accomplished’ banner”.
Powell In 2014: The Dot Plot Is A Lot Like Chernobyl
“Plain English”.
Nomura’s McElligott: ‘It Would Take An Enormous Macro Shock’ To Tip Systematic Dominoes
“This VERY ‘Long Gamma’ dynamic continues to act as a market shock-absorber”.
As Stocks Power To Nosebleed Levels, Even Jeremy Siegel Is Worried
Spoiler alert: It’s been a “momentum-driven market” for a long, long time, Jeremy.
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