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Category: Markets

It’s Good To Be ‘Bigly’ Or, The ‘Perpetual Motion Machine’ At Work

February 11, 2020February 11, 2020

“Like the tech stocks in 2000, this seeming perpetual motion machine is unlikely to work forever.”

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1 Comment on It’s Good To Be ‘Bigly’ Or, The ‘Perpetual Motion Machine’ At Work

Checking In On The Earnings ‘Recession’

February 11, 2020February 11, 2020

It’s the “hockey stick”-style reacceleration forecasts that have some folks concerned.

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1 Comment on Checking In On The Earnings ‘Recession’

Hours After Being Maligned On Live TV By The President, Jerome Powell Chats With Congress

February 11, 2020February 11, 2020

“Helet me down.”

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1 Comment on Hours After Being Maligned On Live TV By The President, Jerome Powell Chats With Congress

Out On A Limb.

February 10, 2020February 11, 2020

No asset is an island.

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2 Comments on Out On A Limb.

5 Reasons Why The S&P Didn’t Selloff Dramatically During Coronavirus Scare

February 10, 2020February 10, 2020

…efforts to speculate on how far stocks might fall proved superfluous.

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JPMorgan Flags Worsening In ‘One Of The Most Important Market Indicators’

February 10, 2020

“…similar to 2018, rate markets are sending warning signs”.

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3 Comments on JPMorgan Flags Worsening In ‘One Of The Most Important Market Indicators’

A Health Crisis, A Fed Chair, A New Bubble And One Largemouth Bass

February 9, 2020February 10, 2020

“One might, perhaps, see the recent price-action of the Tesla as supportive of this idea.”

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1 Comment on A Health Crisis, A Fed Chair, A New Bubble And One Largemouth Bass

Stocks’ Immunity To War, Pandemics, Saps Active Managers’ Joie De Vivre

February 9, 2020February 9, 2020

There’s still hope for stock pickers, though.

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3 Comments on Stocks’ Immunity To War, Pandemics, Saps Active Managers’ Joie De Vivre

Revisiting The Ultimate In Ironic, Tragicomedic Fed Outcomes For 2020

February 9, 2020

It’s almost fatalistic.

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3 Comments on Revisiting The Ultimate In Ironic, Tragicomedic Fed Outcomes For 2020

A Correlation Flip, And A Quick Recap Of Charlie McElligott’s 2020 Macro Outlook

February 8, 2020

Once we get beyond the virus, we’ll be back pondering the same, familiar dynamics.

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1 Comment on A Correlation Flip, And A Quick Recap Of Charlie McElligott’s 2020 Macro Outlook

A Virus Stole My Reflation Trade

February 8, 2020February 8, 2020

These are the kinds of headlines which have made investors reluctant to carry risk into the weekend.

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oil2 Comments on A Virus Stole My Reflation Trade

The Coronavirus Infects Fed Communications

February 7, 2020February 7, 2020

“The recent emergence of the coronavirus, however”…

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3 Comments on The Coronavirus Infects Fed Communications

The Best-Laid Plans Of Mice, Men And Monetarists

February 6, 2020February 7, 2020

It is (past) time for a fiscal solution.

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1 Comment on The Best-Laid Plans Of Mice, Men And Monetarists

Incredible Global Rally Continues, As Tariff Non-News Resonates In Risk-On Environment

February 6, 2020February 6, 2020

Go higher and never stop.

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Eye-Popping.

February 5, 2020February 6, 2020

New virus numbers, surging stocks, tumbling Tesla and a VP on the ropes.

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1 Comment on Eye-Popping.

The Daisy Chain, ‘Crash-Up’, Equity Slingshot Setup Is Back In Play: McElligott

February 5, 2020February 5, 2020

This makes the market especially “vulnerable” to good news.

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2 Comments on The Daisy Chain, ‘Crash-Up’, Equity Slingshot Setup Is Back In Play: McElligott

Let’s Talk More Data As Trade Deficit Narrows First Time In Six Years, Services PMI Beats

February 5, 2020February 5, 2020

“Winning”?

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1 Comment on Let’s Talk More Data As Trade Deficit Narrows First Time In Six Years, Services PMI Beats

‘Sooner The Better’: Central Banks Hand Out Antivirals In Southeast Asia

February 5, 2020

“Adjustments” are needed.

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‘Extreme Bullishness’: Risk Assets Vaccinated

February 5, 2020February 5, 2020

Of course, it’s far too early to sound the all-clear.

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To The Moon.

February 4, 2020February 4, 2020

It’s quite an amazing thing.

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‘Monstrous’ Bond Rally Could Reverse Near-Term, Nomura’s McElligott Says. Here’s Why…

February 4, 2020February 4, 2020

Spoiler alert: His longer-term outlook is unchanged. Near-term action will be “just another swing in the pendulum”.

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1 Comment on ‘Monstrous’ Bond Rally Could Reverse Near-Term, Nomura’s McElligott Says. Here’s Why…

What Collapsing Oil Prices Are Saying About The Impact Of The Coronavirus

February 4, 2020February 4, 2020

An “urgent” assessment.

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oil, OPECLeave a Comment on What Collapsing Oil Prices Are Saying About The Impact Of The Coronavirus

Meanwhile, In Turkey…

February 3, 2020February 3, 2020

Inflation jump drives real rates further into negative territory, while Erdogan “neutralizes” nearly three-dozen of Assad’s troops.

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Nomura’s McElligott: Gamma Impulse Again Concurrent With SPX Move, Markets ‘Stable’ But Iowa Risk Looms

February 3, 2020February 3, 2020

Let’s keep things “edgy”, shall we?

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As Yuan Short Calls Grow, Will Coronavirus Infect US-China Trade Deal?

February 3, 2020February 3, 2020

The trade talks and the epidemic could soon become entangled, just as national security and trade became inextricably bound up last year. 

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1 Comment on As Yuan Short Calls Grow, Will Coronavirus Infect US-China Trade Deal?

Chinese Markets Plunge In Dramatic Reopening After Holiday: The Visuals

February 2, 2020February 3, 2020

“Too late to sell, too early to buy”.

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2 Comments on Chinese Markets Plunge In Dramatic Reopening After Holiday: The Visuals

China And The Virus Aren’t The Only Things To Trade On This Week…

February 2, 2020February 2, 2020

Misses could exacerbate the bond rally. Beats may assuage fears.

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