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Category: Markets

Downside Risks And Predictions About The Future

December 20, 2020December 21, 2020

By now, I doubt anyone needs to be reminded about “what could go wrong,” so

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5 Comments on Downside Risks And Predictions About The Future

‘Going Bananas’

December 20, 2020December 20, 2020

There’s a “speculative frenzy sweeping Wall Street and world markets,” an overwrought Bloomberg headline trumpets.

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4 Comments on ‘Going Bananas’

Relatively Speaking

December 19, 2020December 19, 2020

It’s getting pretty stretched out there in equity land, notwithstanding stocks’ “relative” value versus bonds

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4 Comments on Relatively Speaking

The Bank Of Japan At The End Of The Road

December 18, 2020December 18, 2020

I doubt this needed underscoring, but just in case: Years of the easiest monetary policy

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4 Comments on The Bank Of Japan At The End Of The Road

‘A Surge In Global Food Prices Could Trigger Social Unrest Everywhere,’ Albert Edwards Warns

December 17, 2020December 17, 2020

Albert Edwards is worried about cereal. Specifically, whether you’ll be able to afford it going

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6 Comments on ‘A Surge In Global Food Prices Could Trigger Social Unrest Everywhere,’ Albert Edwards Warns

‘Whoa’: Minerd, Bloomberg Interrupted Fed Coverage To Detail $400,000 Bitcoin Thesis

December 17, 2020December 18, 2020

On Wednesday, Guggenheim’s Scott Minerd chatted with Bloomberg Television, as he’s wont to do, usually

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13 Comments on ‘Whoa’: Minerd, Bloomberg Interrupted Fed Coverage To Detail $400,000 Bitcoin Thesis

Impact Of Tesla Inclusion On S&P Valuation Greatly Exaggerated, Goldman Says

December 17, 2020December 17, 2020

I think it’s fair to say that market participants are obsessed with Tesla index inclusion.

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6 Comments on Impact Of Tesla Inclusion On S&P Valuation Greatly Exaggerated, Goldman Says

Trouble In Philly

December 17, 2020

The latest read on jobless claims wasn’t the only piece of bad economic news in

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1 Comment on Trouble In Philly

Jobless Claims Surge Again As Sirens Blare In US Labor Market

December 17, 2020December 17, 2020

In news that should surprise exactly nobody, initial jobless claims surged for a second week

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3 Comments on Jobless Claims Surge Again As Sirens Blare In US Labor Market

Same Narratives. Also, Bitcoin!

December 17, 2020December 17, 2020

A largely unchanged narrative greeted traders and investors Thursday as lawmakers in Washington pressed ahead

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5 Comments on Same Narratives. Also, Bitcoin!

Fed Delivers A ‘Substantial’ Dose Of Almost Nothing At Year’s Final Meeting

December 16, 2020December 16, 2020

Headed into the last FOMC meeting of the most tumultuous year in modern history, Fed

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‘Morphing Into A Structural Shift’

December 16, 2020December 16, 2020

For all the celebration (and simultaneous derision) around the Fed’s success in helping to drive

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2 Comments on ‘Morphing Into A Structural Shift’

Optically Decent US PMIs Belie ‘Severe’ Supply Chain Disruptions, Lost Momentum

December 16, 2020December 16, 2020

IHS Markit’s PMIs for the US seemingly ignored the virus surge and associated new lockdowns

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1 Comment on Optically Decent US PMIs Belie ‘Severe’ Supply Chain Disruptions, Lost Momentum

Retail Sales Dive As Feared Consumer Retrenchment Becomes Reality

December 16, 2020December 16, 2020

Retail sales, one of the few top-tier economic indicators to stage a quick “V-shaped” recovery

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3 Comments on Retail Sales Dive As Feared Consumer Retrenchment Becomes Reality

EUR-phoria

December 16, 2020December 16, 2020

The euro was the story prior to the Fed on Wednesday, as the single currency

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Harley Bassman Presents: A Model Portfolio – 2021

December 15, 2020December 15, 2020

Come this time every year, I tend to publish a list of “Investments” that I

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5 Comments on Harley Bassman Presents: A Model Portfolio – 2021

Cash Is Trash For Hyper-Bullish Fund Managers

December 15, 2020December 15, 2020

Overall, the pile of “dry powder” parked in money market funds remains elevated, but a

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Goldman’s Solomon, CNBC Serve Up Ready-Made IPO Bubble Punchlines

December 15, 2020December 15, 2020

It’s not that the punchlines aren’t there. Rather, it’s that the punchlines are so obvious

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3 Comments on Goldman’s Solomon, CNBC Serve Up Ready-Made IPO Bubble Punchlines

A Half-Trillion In AUM Is The Second-Most ‘Optimistic’ Ever

December 15, 2020

With the exception of the post-tax cut melt-up in early 2018, “optimism,” defined as faith

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4 Comments on A Half-Trillion In AUM Is The Second-Most ‘Optimistic’ Ever

A ‘Big Change’ In Hedging Focus. And Don’t Forget About Tesla

December 15, 2020December 15, 2020

Every box was checked. The worst-case, “science fiction” election outcome didn’t play out, even as

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1 Comment on A ‘Big Change’ In Hedging Focus. And Don’t Forget About Tesla

Cooperation And Contacts

December 15, 2020December 15, 2020

Mixed global markets reflected investor reticence Tuesday, as rates traders awaited the Fed and the

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2 Comments on Cooperation And Contacts

China’s Recovery Continued In November. PBoC Surprises With 950 Billion Liquidity Injection

December 14, 2020December 14, 2020

Dust off the boilerplate China recovery copy. The world’s second-largest economy continued to perform in

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2 Comments on China’s Recovery Continued In November. PBoC Surprises With 950 Billion Liquidity Injection

The Tragic Irony Of America’s ‘Too Big To Fail’ Stock Market

December 14, 2020December 15, 2020

Most of my days are spent digging around for interesting things to highlight, and in

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9 Comments on The Tragic Irony Of America’s ‘Too Big To Fail’ Stock Market

Beware The ‘Post-War Hangover’ From Misguided Government Belt Tightening

December 14, 2020December 15, 2020

What’s the biggest risk to the macroeconomic outlook in 2021 and beyond? To answer that

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6 Comments on Beware The ‘Post-War Hangover’ From Misguided Government Belt Tightening

‘Just Because The Sun Is Out’

December 14, 2020December 14, 2020

Markets looked poised to embrace a risk-on bent to start the new week, emboldened by

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1 Comment on ‘Just Because The Sun Is Out’

Front-Running Collective Irrationality

December 13, 2020

I have to tell you: What interests me isn’t always what “sells” for the financial

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9 Comments on Front-Running Collective Irrationality

Let Me Off This ‘Wild Ride’: What To Expect From The Fed’s Last Meeting Of 2020

December 13, 2020December 13, 2020

If the Fed wants to unveil plans to extend the average maturity of its ongoing

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