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Category: Markets

Surprise! Retail Sales Are Total Debacle

January 15, 2021January 17, 2021

Late last week, when December payrolls showed the leisure and hospitality industry shed nearly a

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3 Comments on Surprise! Retail Sales Are Total Debacle

What, No Champagne? Markets ‘Remarkably Indifferent’ To $2 Trillion Biden Plan

January 15, 2021January 16, 2021

As soon as Joe Biden finished speaking on Thursday evening (and even before he started),

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3 Comments on What, No Champagne? Markets ‘Remarkably Indifferent’ To $2 Trillion Biden Plan

JPMorgan Beats Helped By Reserve Release, But Dimon Delivers Caveats, Warnings

January 15, 2021October 13, 2021

JPMorgan kicked off earnings season Friday, with Wall Street’s five largest banks on track to

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1 Comment on JPMorgan Beats Helped By Reserve Release, But Dimon Delivers Caveats, Warnings

Why Do We Bother? (No Time Soon)

January 14, 2021January 15, 2021

It’s weeks like this when you wonder why we even bother with markets. Sure, there’s

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4 Comments on Why Do We Bother? (No Time Soon)

Disaster Strikes As Jobless Claims Suddenly Surge To Almost 1 Million

January 14, 2021January 19, 2021

Nearly 1 million Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week, a rather disconcerting development that

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8 Comments on Disaster Strikes As Jobless Claims Suddenly Surge To Almost 1 Million

Alibaba, Tencent Spared Trump’s Wrath. Xi ‘Hopes’ Starbucks Can Thaw Cold War

January 14, 2021January 14, 2021

Maybe it was just my espresso high (which would be ironic in this case), but

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1 Comment on Alibaba, Tencent Spared Trump’s Wrath. Xi ‘Hopes’ Starbucks Can Thaw Cold War

Of Bonds And Bernie

January 13, 2021January 13, 2021

For the second consecutive day, bonds rallied and a strong auction result suggested the Treasury

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2 Comments on Of Bonds And Bernie

Fed ‘LOLables’: Nomura’s McElligott On When Rising Real Rates Will Become A Problem

January 13, 2021January 13, 2021

When it comes to client inquiries, Nomura’s Charlie McElligott hears the following more than any

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4 Comments on Fed ‘LOLables’: Nomura’s McElligott On When Rising Real Rates Will Become A Problem

Old Mac’Donald’

January 12, 2021January 12, 2021

Markets plodded along Tuesday, exhibiting a familiar sense of annoyed apprehension. In simple terms: Anyone

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1 Comment on Old Mac’Donald’

The ‘Totally Appropriate’ Tail Risk

January 12, 2021January 20, 2021

It’s not likely that Americans, as a body politic, will come to any kind of

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6 Comments on The ‘Totally Appropriate’ Tail Risk

Here’s When Higher Yields Will ‘Become A Problem,’ According To One Bank

January 12, 2021January 13, 2021

When will rising US bond yields become a problem for equities and risk assets more

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3 Comments on Here’s When Higher Yields Will ‘Become A Problem,’ According To One Bank

Despite Virus Mutation, ‘Unprecedented Riot’ In D.C., Goldman Says World In ‘Home Stretch’

January 12, 2021January 18, 2021

I’ve used the “light”/”tunnel” analogy. Goldman calls it the “home stretch.” However you choose to

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7 Comments on Despite Virus Mutation, ‘Unprecedented Riot’ In D.C., Goldman Says World In ‘Home Stretch’

Beneath The Cloud Of Abject Insanity

January 11, 2021January 12, 2021

I’m not sure you could call it “angst,” exactly. Coming off the weekend, US markets

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8 Comments on Beneath The Cloud Of Abject Insanity

Breakeven ‘Overshoot’ Belies Lingering Disinflationary Probability, One Bank Says

January 11, 2021January 11, 2021

Is the move in breakevens overdone? One bank thinks the answer is “maybe.” If you

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2 Comments on Breakeven ‘Overshoot’ Belies Lingering Disinflationary Probability, One Bank Says

Where We Are & Where We Could Be Going

January 11, 2021January 11, 2021

You can thank, in part anyway, the virtuous volatility compression feedback loop for US equities’

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11 Comments on Where We Are & Where We Could Be Going

Bitcoin, ‘Reliable Store Of Value,’ Collapses 20% In 48 Hours

January 11, 2021January 11, 2021

Bitcoin collapsed on Monday, although “collapse” is a relative term when you’re talking about something

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4 Comments on Bitcoin, ‘Reliable Store Of Value,’ Collapses 204 In 48 Hours

Overcooked?

January 11, 2021January 11, 2021

Risk sentiment felt a bit frail to kick off the new week, but analysts seem

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2 Comments on Overcooked?

In Brief: What The Blue Sweep Means For US Stocks

January 10, 2021January 11, 2021

Following the Georgia runoffs, anyone whose forecast for the US economy and, relatedly, for asset

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4 Comments on In Brief: What The Blue Sweep Means For US Stocks

Markets Eye Key Data Amid Rising Bond Yields, December Jobs Debacle

January 10, 2021January 11, 2021

While headlines will invariably revolve around Donald Trump in the new week, the market will

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Leave a Comment on Markets Eye Key Data Amid Rising Bond Yields, December Jobs Debacle

‘Early Warning Signs’ For The End Of Speculative Excess

January 9, 2021January 11, 2021

Everything’s a bubble. That’s a refrain you’ve probably heard quite a bit lately. Admittedly, it’s

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2 Comments on ‘Early Warning Signs’ For The End Of Speculative Excess

All’s Well That Ends… Well?

January 8, 2021January 9, 2021

The first week of 2021 ended with US equities higher, but we’re really stretching the

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6 Comments on All’s Well That Ends… Well?

‘Obscene’ Wealth Gains And The ‘Natural End To Nihilistic Bull Markets’

January 8, 2021January 11, 2021

“We’ll know if it’s a bubble by the end of Q1,” BofA’s Michael Hartnett wrote,

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6 Comments on ‘Obscene’ Wealth Gains And The ‘Natural End To Nihilistic Bull Markets’

Global Stocks Run Away From Reality. And Who Can Blame Them?

January 8, 2021January 8, 2021

Global equities ended the first week of the new year in full-on melt-up mode. You

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Leave a Comment on Global Stocks Run Away From Reality. And Who Can Blame Them?

Albert Edwards Weighs In On Stock Mania, Talks Cats In Hell

January 7, 2021January 11, 2021

Earlier this week, I had a little fun at the expense of the latest musings

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8 Comments on Albert Edwards Weighs In On Stock Mania, Talks Cats In Hell

Can A Failed State Issue A Reserve Currency? (And Other ‘Insurrection’ Musings)

January 7, 2021February 8, 2021

A modicum of stability was restored Thursday following the melee on Capitol Hill, where legions

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13 Comments on Can A Failed State Issue A Reserve Currency? (And Other ‘Insurrection’ Musings)

Under Siege (A Special Set Of Blinders)

January 6, 2021January 8, 2021

Given the increasingly glaring disconnect between markets and the real world, I suppose it’s only

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12 Comments on Under Siege (A Special Set Of Blinders)

Nomura’s McElligott Talks Georgia, ‘Neon Swan’ Parallel

January 6, 2021January 8, 2021

Early Wednesday, while documenting the initial reaction to a likely Democrat-controlled Senate following the Georgia

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3 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott Talks Georgia, ‘Neon Swan’ Parallel

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