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Category: Markets

The Infallible Dip-Buyers

December 11, 2021December 13, 2021

The latest swoon for US equities proved to be another opportunity. Once again, investors’ classical

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3 Comments on The Infallible Dip-Buyers

‘Our Strategy Is Our Strategy’

December 10, 2021December 12, 2021

It’s time to sell the rips in tech. Hold that thought. “So, if you’ve never

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3 Comments on ‘Our Strategy Is Our Strategy’

Sentiment Survey Reveals Unprecedented Disparities

December 10, 2021December 12, 2021

Consumers’ expectations for inflation were unchanged in early December, the preliminary read on the University

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2 Comments on Sentiment Survey Reveals Unprecedented Disparities

‘The Fed Should Hike Next Week’

December 10, 2021December 11, 2021

The Fed “could” and “should” hike rates next week. That’s according to BofA’s Michael Hartnett,

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3 Comments on ‘The Fed Should Hike Next Week’

Herd Behavior

December 10, 2021December 10, 2021

“You can’t ignore the policy signals,” Eddie Cheung, an EM strategist at Credit Agricole, said

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The Great Rotation Fascination

December 9, 2021December 11, 2021

I’ve variously characterized 2021 as a year during which thematic swings and factor reversals became

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1 Comment on The Great Rotation Fascination

What Marko Kolanovic Sees For 2022

December 9, 2021December 10, 2021

“Our view is that 2022 will be the year of a full global recovery, an

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D-Day Arrives For Evergrande

December 9, 2021December 19, 2021

“There has been no announcement from the company or the trustee regarding the coupon payments

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2 Comments on D-Day Arrives For Evergrande

Mark It 5,200

December 8, 2021December 9, 2021

On the heels of a massive three-day rally on Wall Street, analysts are raising their

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4 Comments on Mark It 5,200

How Broken Is The Vol Complex?

December 8, 2021December 9, 2021

I’ve talked at length over the past year about imbalances in the vol complex and

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3 Comments on How Broken Is The Vol Complex?

S&P 5,000 By June (Or By Friday)

December 7, 2021December 9, 2021

The S&P has a date with 5,000 by… well, by the end of the week

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5 Comments on S&P 5,000 By June (Or By Friday)

‘Tangible Risks’ As ‘2018 Redux’ Worries Grow

December 7, 2021December 8, 2021

“It’s possible we won’t see the same pressure on the Fed to back off if

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2 Comments on ‘Tangible Risks’ As ‘2018 Redux’ Worries Grow

Searching For A Narrative

December 7, 2021December 8, 2021

US equities catapulted higher Tuesday, capping a mammoth two-day rally and putting the S&P on

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6 Comments on Searching For A Narrative

China Reaches Pain Threshold. Easing Cycle Seen Underway

December 7, 2021December 19, 2021

After spending the better part of a year engineering a series of overlapping crises in

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2 Comments on China Reaches Pain Threshold. Easing Cycle Seen Underway

The ‘Blind Spot’: Traditional Portfolios’ Biggest Risk

December 6, 2021December 7, 2021

What happens to the US equity market if macro volatility rises as a result of

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13 Comments on The ‘Blind Spot’: Traditional Portfolios’ Biggest Risk

Fed Put Re-Struck On ‘Tier 1 Political Hot Potato’

December 6, 2021December 7, 2021

We’ve seen it before. The Fed pivots hawkish, only to recant in the face of

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2 Comments on Fed Put Re-Struck On ‘Tier 1 Political Hot Potato’

More Noise Than Signal

December 6, 2021December 7, 2021

I’d call it a testament to rampant uncertainty, but it’s probably more accurate to say

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1 Comment on More Noise Than Signal

Evergrande, Alibaba Meltdowns Exemplify China’s Engineered Crisis

December 6, 2021December 7, 2021

Another day, another selloff in Chinese tech shares. The Hang Seng Tech Index dove more

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4 Comments on Evergrande, Alibaba Meltdowns Exemplify China’s Engineered Crisis

China Slashes RRR As Economy Teeters

December 6, 2021December 13, 2021

Just one business day after Premier Li Keqiang tipped incremental policy easing aimed at bolstering

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1 Comment on China Slashes RRR As Economy Teeters

Nothing Is More Political Than Inflation

December 5, 2021December 6, 2021

Towards the end of “Bad Optics,” I spoke briefly about the political ramifications of persistently

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3 Comments on Nothing Is More Political Than Inflation

Bad Optics

December 5, 2021December 9, 2021

Traders will attempt to find their way back from “dark places” in the new week.

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2 Comments on Bad Optics

Zeitgeist: Tightening Into A Slowdown

December 4, 2021December 6, 2021

A consensus is forming around the notion that the Fed is on the brink of

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8 Comments on Zeitgeist: Tightening Into A Slowdown

Omicron Cuts Begin: Goldman Slashes US Growth Forecast

December 4, 2021December 13, 2021

In the days following the first Omicron headlines and associated post-holiday market tumult in the

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1 Comment on Omicron Cuts Begin: Goldman Slashes US Growth Forecast

Bitcoin, Crypto ‘Liquidated’ In Saturday Plunge

December 4, 2021December 5, 2021

“As usual, since crypto traders deploy leverage, it results in cascading sell orders and liquidations,”

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14 Comments on Bitcoin, Crypto ‘Liquidated’ In Saturday Plunge

Weird, Wild And Crazy

December 3, 2021December 5, 2021

On Friday, someone described the November jobs report as “one of the weirdest I’ve ever

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2 Comments on Weird, Wild And Crazy

Good News Is Definitely Bad News Now

December 3, 2021December 4, 2021

For once, “scorching” isn’t hyperbole. The US services sector is on fire, according to the

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6 Comments on Good News Is Definitely Bad News Now

‘I Quit. No, You’re Fired.’

December 3, 2021December 3, 2021

“You’re fired.” “No, I quit.” That, in a nutshell, describes the state of play for

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Monthly Letters

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