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Category: Markets

Explaining 2022’s Burgeoning Bond Bear

January 4, 2022January 5, 2022

By Tuesday afternoon in the US, “Treasury selloff” had replaced “stock rally” in headlines documenting

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4 Comments on Explaining 2022’s Burgeoning Bond Bear

A Record 4.5 Million Americans Quit A Job In November

January 4, 2022January 14, 2022

4.5 million Americans quit their jobs in November, 370,000 more than the previous month and

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2 Comments on A Record 4.5 Million Americans Quit A Job In November

‘Something That Resembles Normal’

January 4, 2022January 4, 2022

Perhaps there’s a light at the end of the tunnel after all. Two key gauges

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2 Comments on ‘Something That Resembles Normal’

‘Confident, Hungry Bulls’ And One Very Rich Man

January 4, 2022January 4, 2022

“Stay bullish,” that was the message from JPMorgan’s Mislav Matejka on Tuesday. “Positive catalysts are

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Message To Active Managers: ‘Alpha Potential Always Exists’

January 3, 2022January 4, 2022

Late last month, while revisiting the idea that US equities are a “perpetual motion machine”

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3 Comments on Message To Active Managers: ‘Alpha Potential Always Exists’

Stocks May Enter ‘Prototypical Feedback Loop’

January 3, 2022January 4, 2022

Systematic strats and the vol-control universe are “in motion” as 2022 gets underway, Nomura’s Charlie

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Why Smaller Gains May Hold The Key For Stocks In January

January 3, 2022January 4, 2022

Early Monday, in “Stocks May Enter ‘Prototypical Feedback Loop,’” I outlined familiar dynamics that could

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Leave a Comment on Why Smaller Gains May Hold The Key For Stocks In January

‘Mad Cult’ Of Erdogan Begets Impossible Inflation Surge In Turkey

January 3, 2022January 9, 2022

“We’re cutting interest rates. And we will all see how inflation will start falling within

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1 Comment on ‘Mad Cult’ Of Erdogan Begets Impossible Inflation Surge In Turkey

Tesla Looks To Electrify S&P As Engine Starts On 2022

January 3, 2022January 3, 2022

Notwithstanding a somewhat unfortunate smattering of headlines out of Hong Kong, risk sentiment was buoyant

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2 Comments on Tesla Looks To Electrify S&P As Engine Starts On 2022

Hong Kong Marks ‘Regrettable’ Start To 2022

January 3, 2022January 3, 2022

It was an inauspicious start to 2022 in Hong Kong, where shares fell on the

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2 Comments on Hong Kong Marks ‘Regrettable’ Start To 2022

Friendly Reminder: Some Of The Workers Aren’t Coming Back

January 2, 2022January 3, 2022

“We’re not going back to the same economy as we had in February of 2020,”

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4 Comments on Friendly Reminder: Some Of The Workers Aren’t Coming Back

What To Expect From 2022’s First Week

January 2, 2022January 6, 2022

It’ll be back to the monitors, even if it’s not back to the office this

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‘Imperious’ New Yorkers, Jaded Wall Street Stare Down COVID Tsunami

January 2, 2022January 3, 2022

Market participants will get back to work this week. From home. Employees at Bank of

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7 Comments on ‘Imperious’ New Yorkers, Jaded Wall Street Stare Down COVID Tsunami

Onomatopoeia: The Guaranteed Dovish Fed Pivot

January 1, 2022January 2, 2022

This is a bit of a broken record, but I’d be remiss not to emphasize

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3 Comments on Onomatopoeia: The Guaranteed Dovish Fed Pivot

Stocks, COVID Enter 2022 Riding Unfathomable Surge

January 1, 2022January 8, 2022

The first day of 2022 featured a somewhat awkward juxtaposition of headlines. Stories documenting the

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3 Comments on Stocks, COVID Enter 2022 Riding Unfathomable Surge

The Best (And Simplest) Bear Case For Bulletproof Stocks

December 31, 2021January 2, 2022

It’s fair to suggest the macro consensus headed into 2022 is that inflation will remain

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2 Comments on The Best (And Simplest) Bear Case For Bulletproof Stocks

Comatose

December 30, 2021December 31, 2021

Markets felt comatose Thursday. Within whatever scant coverage you managed to run across, there was

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8 Comments on Comatose

Howard Marks’s ‘Perpetual Motion Machine’ In The Pandemic Era

December 29, 2021December 30, 2021

Back in 2017, long before I stopped reading his memos, Howard Marks delivered one of

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3 Comments on Howard Marks’s ‘Perpetual Motion Machine’ In The Pandemic Era

Wall Street, Fed Too Optimistic On US Economy, One Bank Says

December 28, 2021December 29, 2021

The apparent demise of Build Back Better will deal a blow to an already waning

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1 Comment on Wall Street, Fed Too Optimistic On US Economy, One Bank Says

‘Living With It’: Record Stocks, Record COVID

December 28, 2021January 3, 2022

It’s an odd pairing. Record high equities and record high COVID cases, I mean. That’s

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1 Comment on ‘Living With It’: Record Stocks, Record COVID

Everyone Loves A Rally

December 27, 2021December 28, 2021

“We like this,” one CIO said, on the first day of the last week of

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4 Comments on Everyone Loves A Rally

How Not To Time The Market

December 27, 2021December 28, 2021

I’ve been on about so-called “concentration risk” in US equities. Everyone has. The discussion isn’t

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4 Comments on How Not To Time The Market

Run It Up

December 27, 2021December 28, 2021

Hedge fund heavyweights and industry titans of all sorts spent the better part of the

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2 Comments on Run It Up

Glass Half-Full

December 26, 2021December 27, 2021

If you’re the pessimistic type when it comes to markets, 2021 wasn’t your year. Or

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4 Comments on Glass Half-Full

Vol, Liquidity And Flying Toasters (One Week To Go)

December 26, 2021December 31, 2021

The data calendar is sparse in 2021’s final week. Odds are you’ll still get an

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2 Comments on Vol, Liquidity And Flying Toasters (One Week To Go)

2021: An (Equity) Love Story

December 25, 2021January 8, 2022

2021 will be remembered for a number of things in the minds of market participants.

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4 Comments on 2021: An (Equity) Love Story

China Confirms Easing Cycle With ‘Proactive’ Central Bank Pledge

December 25, 2021January 4, 2022

“In our view, the economy may need more than commitments,” SocGen’s Wei Yao and Michelle

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1 Comment on China Confirms Easing Cycle With ‘Proactive’ Central Bank Pledge

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Monthly Letters

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