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Category: Markets

Topics Du Jour

January 13, 2022January 13, 2022

Mainland shares in China dropped to a five-month low and dollar weakness remained topical as

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If The World’s On Fire, That’s Really Nothing New

January 11, 2022January 12, 2022

Afternoon gains on US equity benchmarks belied a distressing hodgepodge of headlines strewn across the

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10 Comments on If The World’s On Fire, That’s Really Nothing New

A Decade And $5 Trillion Later

January 11, 2022January 21, 2022

The Fed will normalize policy “as we move through 2022,” Jerome Powell told US lawmakers

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8 Comments on A Decade And $5 Trillion Later

Regular People Don’t Care

January 11, 2022January 12, 2022

A panel of highly-qualified technocrats will use its “tools to prevent higher inflation from becoming

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8 Comments on Regular People Don’t Care

Behind The Nasdaq’s Wild Monday Reversal

January 11, 2022January 12, 2022

On Monday afternoon, after another brutal selloff in US tech shares briefly pushed the Nasdaq

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Finesse

January 10, 2022January 13, 2022

It’s perilous to trade in and out of markets at times like these. Nobody is

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2 Comments on Finesse

Kolanovic: Buy The Dip. Markets Can Handle Higher Yields

January 10, 2022January 16, 2022

“Markets can handle Omicron and higher yields,” JPMorgan strategists led by Marko Kolanovic wrote Monday,

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‘Minsky Moments Almost Certainly Await’

January 10, 2022January 21, 2022

It’s now mostly impossible to avoid the 2018 comparisons when it comes to Fed policy.

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Dot-Com Echoes As Rich Stocks Meet Fed Hawks

January 10, 2022January 14, 2022

Constructive views remained constructive Monday and those known for occasionally adopting a cautious cadence did

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3 Comments on Dot-Com Echoes As Rich Stocks Meet Fed Hawks

Goldman Says Fed QT Starts In July, Sees Peak Omicron

January 10, 2022January 10, 2022

Goldman joined the ranks of those predicting four Fed hikes in 2022, as Wall Street

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5 Comments on Goldman Says Fed QT Starts In July, Sees Peak Omicron

Boring Old Profits

January 9, 2022January 16, 2022

Lost in the fog of a nascent, Fed-inspired rates tantrum is the imminent onset of

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15 Comments on Boring Old Profits

Rates Tantrum Pulls ‘Year-End’ Forward By 51 Weeks

January 9, 2022January 10, 2022

One amusing — if somewhat trite — takeaway from last week’s fireworks in the bond

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3 Comments on Rates Tantrum Pulls ‘Year-End’ Forward By 51 Weeks

Bond Blowup Meets Inflation Report In Early 2022 Reckoning

January 9, 2022January 12, 2022

All eyes will be on US rates in the new week, as 2022’s burgeoning bond

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7 Comments on Bond Blowup Meets Inflation Report In Early 2022 Reckoning

Fed’s ‘Remarkable Turn’ Puts Big Red Circle Around March

January 8, 2022January 10, 2022

“We’re at a point in time where we need to adjust policy,” Mary Daly said

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6 Comments on Fed’s ‘Remarkable Turn’ Puts Big Red Circle Around March

Peak Apple? And FAAMG As World’s 3rd Largest Country

January 8, 2022January 9, 2022

“I never thought I’d see a $3 trillion market cap,” one incredulous PM said this

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4 Comments on Peak Apple? And FAAMG As World’s 3rd Largest Country

Rate Shock Shakes Wall Street Money Tree

January 8, 2022January 13, 2022

The 2022 rates shock is here. Already. Maybe it’ll be gone before most market participants

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1 Comment on Rate Shock Shakes Wall Street Money Tree

The Bears Have It (And A Word On Crypto’s ‘Crash’)

January 7, 2022January 9, 2022

For months, BofA’s Michael Hartnett warned that the first half of 2022 would likely be

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17 Comments on The Bears Have It (And A Word On Crypto’s ‘Crash’)

Keeping Up With The Waltons

January 7, 2022January 8, 2022

More pressure on the Fed to hike rates. That was the consensus takeaway from the

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2 Comments on Keeping Up With The Waltons

Wild Jobs Miss Comes With Super-Hot Wages, 3.9% Unemployment

January 7, 2022January 11, 2022

The US economy added just 199,000 jobs last month, the government’s hotly anticipated December payrolls

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4 Comments on Wild Jobs Miss Comes With Super-Hot Wages, 3.94 Unemployment

2022’s ‘Most Underappreciated Risk’ As Euro-Area Inflation Hits Record

January 7, 2022January 8, 2022

Inflation in Europe was supposed to slow in December. It didn’t. Prices rose a record

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The Hidden Risk From QT 2022

January 6, 2022January 7, 2022

The extension of 2022’s burgeoning rates selloff in the wake of the December Fed minutes

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7 Comments on The Hidden Risk From QT 2022

‘End Of An Era’: Sea Change Seen In Abruptly Hawkish Fed

January 6, 2022January 14, 2022

Risk sentiment took a hit Thursday, as global equities responded to a Fed which, by

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9 Comments on ‘End Of An Era’: Sea Change Seen In Abruptly Hawkish Fed

Verbose And Ill-Organized

January 5, 2022January 11, 2022

A picture of a despondent looking floor trader was situated next to a file photo

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2 Comments on Verbose And Ill-Organized

Ray Dalio And The Folly Of Claiming Too Much For Oneself

January 5, 2022January 6, 2022

“At the risk of boring you by repeating myself,” Ray Dalio began, in the first

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5 Comments on Ray Dalio And The Folly Of Claiming Too Much For Oneself

Where We Are, And What (May) Be Coming Next

January 5, 2022January 6, 2022

There’s quite a bit of nuance to the US rates story. As I’ve attempted (with

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Another Chinese Tech Wipeout Underscores Hidden Risk

January 5, 2022January 5, 2022

Hong Kong’s inauspicious start to the new year continued Wednesday, as tech shares were bludgeoned

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Goldman On How Bitcoin Gets To $100,000

January 4, 2022January 14, 2022

Bitcoin came into 2022 nursing what, for any regular asset, would count as a grievous

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1 Comment on Goldman On How Bitcoin Gets To $100,000

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

October 29, 2026October 29, 2026

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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