Here are the facts.
Category: economy
As UK Economy Posts Shocking Contraction, One Bank Raises Odds Of No-Deal Brexit To 50%
The UK is now one more bad quarterly GDP print away from a technical recession.Â
PPI Deflation Arrives In China, Putting PBoC In Policy Bind
Ultimately, it presents a monetary policy dilemma.
‘Boom!’: Did Germany Just Change The Game With Long-Awaited Fiscal U-Turn?
“Fiscal [stimulus] changes the whole equation”.
‘Now Is Not The Time To Be A Contrarian Hero’, Equity Strategist Warns
Feeling emboldened after Wall Street’s best comeback of 2019?Â
Key Section Of Yield Curve Crashes To 2007 Low Amid Biggest 5-Day Move In 10s In 8 Years
To quote Sesame Street: “Wednesday was brought to you by the letter ‘R'”.
German Industrial Production Crashes Most In A Decade, ‘Dooming’ Economy
That’s “pretty awful”.
Biggest Part Of US Economy Slows To Pre-Trump Levels In Bad Omen
The last vestiges of any “Trump bump” are gone.Â
Jobs Report In Line For July, Wage Growth Heats Up
Interpretation was rendered difficult by the Fed’s muddled message and the president’s latest tariff threat.
‘He Tweeted With Everyone Still In The Oval’: Trump’s New Tariffs And What They May Mean For GDP
The president clearly believes his luck will never run out.
‘A Sea Of Red’: Manufacturing Malaise Says World’s Ablaze
“A sea of red, with all lights warning”.
Collapsing Chicago Factory Gauge Brings Out The Recession Calls
If you thought last month was bad…
In Europe, No Green Shoots
There’s little here to suggest the malaise is likely to clear.
Dances With Doves: Full Week Ahead Preview
Trial by fire.
CNBC’s Sara Eisen Asks Larry Kudlow If The Real ‘Miracle’ Is That Trump Hasn’t Crashed The Economy
“You call it reform, but we saw it show up”.
The Most Dramatic Pivot Since The Crisis
“…counting the impacts of the QE-unwind since 2014, the degree of tightening has been severe”.
If Albert Edwards Had A Swiss Franc For Every Time Someone Told Him To Ignore Manufacturing…
“Having been in the business for over 35 years, there is one thing I can guarantee”…
‘This Could Trigger An Actual Recession’: Folks Are Getting Worried About Germany
“…at this point though, the manufacturing slowdown in the EZ is so real that it risks dragging Services with it”.
‘From Bad To Worse’: Yields Plunge To Record Lows As German Manufacturing Falls Off A Cliff
This “raises the risk of the euro area’s largest member state entering a mild technical recession”.
‘Downside Risks Have Intensified’: IMF Delivers Traditional Quarterly Gloom And Doom Report
“Escalating trade tensions, the possibility of a protracted risk-off episode that exposes financial vulnerabilities and geopolitical tensions”.
Elizabeth Warren: An Economic Crash Is Coming
“The country’s economic foundation is fragile. A single shock could bring it all down”.
Goldman Says You’re Probably Too Obsessed With American Manufacturing
Keep it in perspective.
Zombie Dynamics
Zombies. Lots of them.
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