Without further ado…
Category: economy
David Stockman: Forget The FBI, This Is The ‘Real Raiding Party’
“While the FBI was raiding the offices of Trump’s lawyer yesterday afternoon, the CBO published a blockbuster report evidencing the Donald’s own raiding party.”
Albert Edwards Explains Why The S&P Will Eventually Fall Below The 2009 Lows
“In the next recession, I would expect the P/E to bottom at about seven times, a lower low with earnings about 30% lower because of the recession. That would put the S&P lower than the 666 low of the previous crash, versus 2671 Thursday afternoon.”
$1 Trillion Here We Come! New CBO Forecast Probably Won’t Please Trump
#MALFRTIAW: Make America less fiscally responsible than it already was.
Janet Yellen Warns Of ‘Debt Crisis’, Blasts Trump Tax Cuts In Op-Ed
“The U.S. unemployment rate is down to 4.1 percent, and economic growth could well increase in 2018. Consumer and business confidence is high. What could go wrong?”
War And (No) Peace: Full Week Ahead Preview
Say your prayers.
David Stockman Presents: The Revenge Of Bad Money
“At length, you get Donald Trump instead, and you get his half-baked advisor, Peter Navarro, on bubblevision explaining that protectionism is the new route to free trade.”
Look! Egregious Inequality In America
Fortunately, I know just the man to fix this problem…
David Stockman: The 200-DMA Ain’t No Maginot Line
“But here’s the thing. The blue line below ain’t no Maginot Line.”
American Corrida And The Reconstitution Of The State
“We have reached the point of self-intoxication when inner contradictions of the system, which previously could be temporarily ignored, are taking over. The system has exhausted itself – it has collapsed under its own weight.”
‘In Late January A Client Called Us With An Exasperated Query’: Why Barclays Sees A ‘Bumpy Road Ahead’
“In the last week of January, as equities went on yet another run, a client who had been waiting to buy the dip called us with an exasperated query.”
Breaker One-Niner
The market’s verdict was as follows.
Bring An Umbrella: Here’s How To Hedge 3 Near-Term Risks
So there you go. Bring an umbrella.
David Stockman: Trump ‘Embodies A Trifecta Of Fiscal Impulses That Amounts To Pure Madness’
“Then again, you haven’t seen nothin’ yet.”
Toxic Brew: Full Week Ahead Preview
This should be all kinds of amusing.
David Stockman: ‘Kudlow’s Job Is To Dig Through A Pile Of Horse Manure And Find Trump A Pony’
“That’s because his newly appointed task will be to dig through Ronald Reagan’s proverbial room full of horse manure to reassure the Donald that there is a pony in there somewhere.”
‘These Guys Will Have Egg On Their Faces’: Here Is What Larry Kudlow Wrote On December 7, 2007
“There’s no recession coming.”
R.I.P. Goldilocks
“One of Wall Street’s most misbegotten memes is the Goldilocks Economy notion. They invariably trot her out near the end of a business cycle in order to keep the mullets buying stocks and the Fed heads as anesthetized as possible.”
Toon Time.
C’est la vie.
Where The Risks Are: A Spider Web Of Financial Excess
“Mostly reassuring.”
One Trader Revisits The Inflation Scare Of 2012
“The hawks went ape-shit. They screamed and yelled. They warned about Weimar Republic style hyper-inflation. But Bernanke hung tough.”
David Stockman: ‘Hey Donald, There’s A Problem, But It’s Not What You Think It Is’
“The global trading system’s newly activated one-man wrecking crew was at it over the weekend.”
Not For The Faint-Hearted: Full Week Ahead Preview
This is not going to be for the faint of heart.
David Stockman: ‘The Trump Tariffs Will Send Economic Harm Cascading Downstream’
“Needless to say, the Donald’s un-varnished, un-vetted and un-shackled thoughts whims on most any topic are a thing of considerable disruptive potential. But when it comes to trade, his mind beats to the sound of a drummer not from this world or even possibly the next.”
Moody’s: ‘March Is Off To A Horrible Start, Tariffs Warn Of Even Faster Price Inflation’
“Do not be surprised if a very adverse reaction by financial markets forces the administration to reconsider the tariff proposals.”
David Stockman: Amazon Is ‘The Poster Child For The 11th Hour Mania’
“The historic relationship between trends on main street and Wall Street to go absolutely haywire.”
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