For much of the last year, company analysts were derided (sometimes mercilessly, and by their
Category: Duly Noted
In New Zealand, A Moment Of Truth
With the caveat that I’ve never conducted any sort of systematic demographic analysis of my
$5 Trillion Money Market ‘Bubble’ Spotlights Fed’s $2 Trillion RRP Garage
Last week, I suggested the Fed is attempting a difficult tightrope act with regard to
‘Peak Pain’ From Fed Hikes Still ‘A Few Quarters’ Away, One Bank Says
“Peak pain” for the US economy from the most aggressive rate-hiking cycle in a generation
‘More NATO’: Finland Accession Is Own Goal For Kremlin
Part and parcel of Vladimir Putin’s efforts to spin his war of conquest in Ukraine
McElligott On Where We Are As Q2 Gets Underway
It can be a challenge to crystallize, and otherwise make sense of, cross-asset price action
Weak Breadth, Broadly Expensive: Stocks See Worst Of Both Worlds
It’s been tempting recently to write off or otherwise dismiss stock buoyancy as the product
One More Time: It’s Not QE
It isn’t QE. “It” is a reference to the latest increase in the Fed’s balance
Do US Stocks Have A Demand Problem?
If a string of US bank failures and the near collapse of Credit Suisse were
Good News, Bad Banks And The Dollar
The dollar is coming off its worst month since November, when a cooler-than-expected CPI report
Credit Monitor: Bank Drama Dents IG Supply, But Returns Recover
Thanks to high drama in the financial sector, US investment grade supply was lower than
‘Systemically Important Tech’ Caps Blockbuster Quarter
Earlier this week, I penned an obligatory nod to the new “bull market” in big-cap
Bear Stearns Or LTCM? Fate Of Stocks Depends On The Answer
Buyer beware? This is a challenging moment for investors attempting to discern whether a long-in-the-tooth
At Least It’s Not Getting Worse, Analysts Say, As Fed Borrowing Stabilizes
Liquidity needs in the US banking sector are still elevated. That was apparent from another
My Correlation Is Broken. What Do I Do?
I’ll confess to being a bit concerned by the ongoing incredulity exhibited by stewards of
Poor Revisions And A Wide Disparity
The final read on Q4 US GDP found the government revising core PCE price growth
This Productivity Boom Is Brought To You By Skynet
It’s AI’s world, we just live in it. Or at least that’s the impression you’d
A Quick Note On Elon Musk’s Proposed AI Moratorium
Elon Musk is worried about advanced AI. One thing he’s concerned about specifically is the
Bank Stress May Eliminate Key Source Of US Jobs Overshoot
Over the past six months, nonfarm payroll growth in the US overshot the typical pre-COVID
Layoffs Won’t Solve This Inflation Problem
At this point, it’s tempting to ignore the never-ending reports of job cuts across the
18% Of Global Employment Could Be Replaced By Generative AI: Goldman
Generative AI is all the rage in 2023. Maybe it’s a fad, maybe it isn’t,
Kolanovic, JPMorgan Stress ‘Ongoing Market Risks’
“For lack of better words, our outlook is negative,” JPMorgan’s Marko Kolanovic told a conference
No. All Deposits Under $250,000 Aren’t ‘Covered’
I assumed this was obvious, but it’s clear from some reader feedback that it needs
Is Corporate Spending About To Plunge?
Analysts, strategists and financial media outlets have dedicated quite a bit of time recently to
America’s Small Banks Bleed $120 Billion In Deposits
America’s small banks bled deposits in the week ended March 15. I realize that risks
Kocic On Minsky Moments, 2008 And ‘Unprecedented Outliers’
Jerome Powell and the Fed are staring warily at a prospective “damned if they do,
In Bank Drama: Forced Behavior, Solvency Crises And ‘Zombie Mode’
Another week of manic moves across rates and financials said more about sentiment, psychology and
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