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Category: dollar

The Gorilla In The Room.

June 22, 2020June 22, 2020

The TGA question, dollar liquidity and a Machiavellian “conspiracy theory”.

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9 Comments on The Gorilla In The Room.

Participation Is ‘Voluntary’

June 22, 2020June 22, 2020

“…the markets are in the mood to try to be happy”.

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3 Comments on Participation Is ‘Voluntary’

Bewildered.

June 17, 2020June 17, 2020

Of “absurd” behavior and ongoing “cross currents”.

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4 Comments on Bewildered.

Objects In Motion

June 8, 2020June 8, 2020

“Reality” is what you make it.

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Leave a Comment on Objects In Motion

Carte Blanche.

June 5, 2020June 5, 2020

“The mood remains ‘risk on'”.

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oil3 Comments on Carte Blanche.

Dollars, Defiance And Democracy

June 2, 2020June 2, 2020

“I can’t think of any market crash brought on by civil unrest”.

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26 Comments on Dollars, Defiance And Democracy

2018 Flashbacks And Upside Down Bond Market Dynamics

June 1, 2020June 1, 2020

“We hold the opposite view”.

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1 Comment on 2018 Flashbacks And Upside Down Bond Market Dynamics

‘Barely Legal’

May 13, 2020May 13, 2020

Dollars, dictators, Debbie downers and determined Democrats.

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9 Comments on ‘Barely Legal’

‘The Fed Will Likely Monetize The Entire Stimulus Delivered By Congress’ (And Making The Covert, Overt)

April 10, 2020April 10, 2020

“These are administered markets.”

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10 Comments on ‘The Fed Will Likely Monetize The Entire Stimulus Delivered By Congress’ (And Making The Covert, Overt)

The World Desperately Needs More Dollars. And The IMF Knows It.

April 7, 2020April 7, 2020

The swap lines aren’t enough. And neither is the foreign repo facility.

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3 Comments on The World Desperately Needs More Dollars. And The IMF Knows It.

Relatively Speaking.

April 3, 2020April 3, 2020

“It’s hard to get a straight answer from anyone right now”.

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oil, OPEC2 Comments on Relatively Speaking.

Requiem.

March 31, 2020April 1, 2020

…the next three months are likely to be even more trying.

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7 Comments on Requiem.

Fingers Crossed.

March 30, 2020March 30, 2020

A somewhat inauspicious start.

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oil1 Comment on Fingers Crossed.

From ‘Virus Divergence’ To Intervention Risk: Wall Street Disagrees On Dollar’s Post-Squeeze Path

March 29, 2020

Where to now?

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This Is ‘The End Game Of The Great Debt Super Cycle’ And Scott Minerd Sees Just One Way Out

March 28, 2020March 29, 2020

“We are experiencing the end game of the great debt super cycle”.

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13 Comments on This Is ‘The End Game Of The Great Debt Super Cycle’ And Scott Minerd Sees Just One Way Out

Have We Seen The Worst Of The Dollar Delirium? Asking For The Entire World

March 27, 2020March 27, 2020

One more time: It’s much safer out there when the dollar isn’t going vertical.

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1 Comment on Have We Seen The Worst Of The Dollar Delirium? Asking For The Entire World

Is It Over Yet?

March 27, 2020March 27, 2020

“We’d just as soon it could be over”.

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2 Comments on Is It Over Yet?

Just ‘Trying To Go Up’.

March 26, 2020March 26, 2020

“Markets are all over the place at the moment – and currently trying to go up”.

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The Premise That Nothing Bad Happens

March 20, 2020March 20, 2020

“So what happens next?”

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oil9 Comments on The Premise That Nothing Bad Happens

Mar-A-Lago Accord, Untradeable FX And The Dangers Of Shutting Markets

March 19, 2020March 19, 2020

“FX remains untradeable”.

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3 Comments on Mar-A-Lago Accord, Untradeable FX And The Dangers Of Shutting Markets

‘A Massive Margin Call On The Whole Financial Asset Rally Since 2010’

March 18, 2020March 19, 2020

“The moves smack of massive de-leveraging and a run into dollar cash”.

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oil12 Comments on ‘A Massive Margin Call On The Whole Financial Asset Rally Since 2010’

As Crisis Swap Lines Tapped, Zoltan Pozsar Says ‘The New Shadow Banking System’ Needs A Backstop

March 18, 2020March 18, 2020

“Carry makes the world go round and central banks will have to backstop the shadow banking system – yet again.”

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1 Comment on As Crisis Swap Lines Tapped, Zoltan Pozsar Says ‘The New Shadow Banking System’ Needs A Backstop

It’s Not Enough. It’s Just Not Enough.

March 17, 2020March 17, 2020

The situation is fluid.

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19 Comments on It’s Not Enough. It’s Just Not Enough.

Nomura’s McElligott: We’re Seeing ‘Nervous Dollar Hoarding Demand’

March 17, 2020March 17, 2020

“…USD funding pressure continues to mount despite the positive optics of the coordinated global CB FX swap line actions”.

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3 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott: We’re Seeing ‘Nervous Dollar Hoarding Demand’

Whac-A-Mole! Fed Faces Nightmare As Libor, Cross-Currency Basis Blow Out, CP Market ‘Frozen’

March 17, 2020March 17, 2020

Stress, pressure, strain – pick your descriptor.

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1 Comment on Whac-A-Mole! Fed Faces Nightmare As Libor, Cross-Currency Basis Blow Out, CP Market ‘Frozen’

All In. Limit Down.

March 15, 2020March 15, 2020

“The Fed has likely fired off its last bazooka.”

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7 Comments on All In. Limit Down.

‘Tin Hat’ Time In FX As Duration Goes ‘Offer-less’ Amid Quarantine Panic

March 6, 2020March 6, 2020

Carry a towel.

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3 Comments on ‘Tin Hat’ Time In FX As Duration Goes ‘Offer-less’ Amid Quarantine Panic

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Monthly Letter

  • The Arbitrageur

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Monthly Letters

The Arbitrageur

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To Be Happy

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Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

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