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Category: credit

Beware Fallen Angels: One Bank Ponders The Fate Of The European Junk Market

July 1, 2018July 6, 2018

“… it fills us with a lot of fear [and] not just because many central banks would be relatively constrained in their ability to cut rates after their big post-GFC easing.”

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2 Comments on Beware Fallen Angels: One Bank Ponders The Fate Of The European Junk Market

Trader Asks: Does IG Know Something Everything Else Doesn’t?

June 29, 2018November 13, 2018

“Something unusual is happening.”

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4 Comments on Trader Asks: Does IG Know Something Everything Else Doesn’t?

Reciprocity: Full Week Ahead Preview

June 24, 2018June 25, 2018

Trade, immigration and “covfefe” – what else is there?

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1 Comment on Reciprocity: Full Week Ahead Preview

No Resolution.

June 8, 2018June 8, 2018

Aaand that’s the week.

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Credit Disagrees With U.S. Stocks (Again): Who’s Right?

June 8, 2018June 8, 2018

Spoiler alert…

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‘The Credit Risk Premium Is Now Negative’: How Expensive Are CCCs?

May 24, 2018

Nosebleed.

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Value Versus Growth: One Firm Reminds You That ‘This Time’ Is Never Really ‘Different’

May 16, 2018

“Yet that raises the question – did something change in the Great Financial Crisis, or is this just a pause in the strategy’s long-term outperformance?”

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‘The Snapback When It Comes Can Be Vicious’: Albert Edwards Thinks Credit ‘Isn’t Getting The Message’ (Yet)

May 5, 2018

“And another straw in the wind may be the performance of a newly issued junk bond of a company called WeWork who have invented an entirely new, nonsense valuation metric – ‘community-based EBITDA’!”

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1 Comment on ‘The Snapback When It Comes Can Be Vicious’: Albert Edwards Thinks Credit ‘Isn’t Getting The Message’ (Yet)

It’s ‘Grotesque’! Of Buybacks And Leverage

May 5, 2018May 5, 2018

“…it’s not like you have to dig deep to find a problem.”

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2 Comments on It’s ‘Grotesque’! Of Buybacks And Leverage

‘Dragon Energy’.

April 25, 2018

That’s one “very cool” holding pattern.

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oil3 Comments on ‘Dragon Energy’.

Here’s Why There May Be Rainy Days Ahead For A Popular Hedge Fund Strategy

April 25, 2018

“The strategy almost looks foolproof on paper.  Yet like most things in the markets, nothing lasts forever.”

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hedge funds2 Comments on Here’s Why There May Be Rainy Days Ahead For A Popular Hedge Fund Strategy

Revisiting The Hierarchy Of Vulnerability (Again)

April 24, 2018April 24, 2018

The bottom line (or at least from where I’m sitting), is this…

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1 Comment on Revisiting The Hierarchy Of Vulnerability (Again)

From Inflation To ‘Quantitative Failure’: What Are Credit Investors Most Concerned About?

April 5, 2018April 5, 2018

“Slim margin”of error for Goldilocks.

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Goldman Isn’t Saying Now Is The Time To Hedge, They’re Just Saying If There Was Ever A Time To Hedge, It’s Probably Now

April 2, 2018April 2, 2018

Listen…

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3 Comments on Goldman Isn’t Saying Now Is The Time To Hedge, They’re Just Saying If There Was Ever A Time To Hedge, It’s Probably Now

Quarter Back.

March 29, 2018March 29, 2018

It was only fitting that the quarter should close in dramatic fashion for U.S. equities.

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Enjoy The Easter Bunny, Because Q2 Will Be Just As ‘Interesting’ As Q1

March 29, 2018March 29, 2018

“Enjoy those chocolates.”

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2 Comments on Enjoy The Easter Bunny, Because Q2 Will Be Just As ‘Interesting’ As Q1

David Stockman: That ‘Unicorn’ Isn’t Real

March 29, 2018March 29, 2018

“The single most important price in all of capitalism is the interest rate—-and at all points on the maturity curve. And the single most important truth about honest interest rates is that they must be discovered by markets, not imposed by the state.”

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1 Comment on David Stockman: That ‘Unicorn’ Isn’t Real

Low Tech.

March 28, 2018March 28, 2018

It should be fine. Really.

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1 Comment on Low Tech.

‘Rates < HY < IG < Equity': Hierarchy Of Vulnerability Revisited

March 28, 2018March 28, 2018

“This seemingly counterintuitive result has a distinct ‘path-dependent’ flavor.”

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2 Comments on ‘Rates < HY < IG < Equity': Hierarchy Of Vulnerability Revisited

‘In Late January A Client Called Us With An Exasperated Query’: Why Barclays Sees A ‘Bumpy Road Ahead’

March 27, 2018March 27, 2018

“In the last week of January, as equities went on yet another run, a client who had been waiting to buy the dip called us with an exasperated query.”

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2 Comments on ‘In Late January A Client Called Us With An Exasperated Query’: Why Barclays Sees A ‘Bumpy Road Ahead’

Hide The Women And Children.

March 23, 2018March 23, 2018

“Tremendous” things are happening.

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oil4 Comments on Hide The Women And Children.

Objectively Crazy.

March 22, 2018March 22, 2018

Yep. Batshit.

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oil2 Comments on Objectively Crazy.

Train Wreck.

March 19, 2018March 19, 2018

Monday was a train wreck from start to finish.

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6 Comments on Train Wreck.

A Bearish Start To Your Week

March 19, 2018March 19, 2018

Well, things took a decisive turn for the worst just after the European open…

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Traders Are ‘Jumping At Shadows’ Ahead Of Key Data In The U.S.

March 13, 2018March 13, 2018

Don’t worry, it should be fine.

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Where The Risks Are: A Spider Web Of Financial Excess

March 12, 2018March 12, 2018

“Mostly reassuring.”

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You’re Not Wrong Walter, You’re Just An Asshole.

March 6, 2018March 6, 2018

“Am I wrong?”

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1 Comment on You’re Not Wrong Walter, You’re Just An Asshole.

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