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Category: central banks

Going ‘Ex Liquidity’ And A Macabre Celebration At TINA’s Funeral

January 10, 2019

“…cash ’embarrassed’ so many asset classes in 2018.”

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‘When The Largest ETF Buyer Exits, Nobody Wants To Catch A Falling Knife’

November 24, 2018November 24, 2018

This is such a familiar refrain that it wouldn’t even bear mentioning at this point were it not for the fact that it’s now reversing – with entirely predictable consequences. 

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‘Hostages To Their Own Policies’: The Fight To Stave Off The Biggest Tail Risk Of Them All

November 22, 2018November 22, 2018

One false move…

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Trader Demands You Show Same Amount Of Respect For QT Days As You Do Great White Sharks

November 19, 2018November 19, 2018

“…this is how I view Quantitative Tightening days. Traders, investors and portfolio managers should respect these periods.”

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2 Comments on Trader Demands You Show Same Amount Of Respect For QT Days As You Do Great White Sharks

The End Of The Invisible Hand And ‘The Hunt For Red October’

November 3, 2018

Good luck – you’re going to need it.

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8 Comments on The End Of The Invisible Hand And ‘The Hunt For Red October’

Why Now?

October 28, 2018

Of bubble dynamics and ultimate ironies.

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5 Comments on Why Now?

Trader: Things Have Changed And Here’s Where The World Is Going Next…

September 20, 2018November 13, 2018

“Although the Republicans are supposedly the party of fiscal conservatism, we all know that sort of talk is only for when they are not in power.”

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5 Comments on Trader: Things Have Changed And Here’s Where The World Is Going Next…

In Norway, A Dovish Lift Off

September 20, 2018September 20, 2018

“[I hope] normalization of rates comes before the next downturn.”

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One Bank Takes A Wrecking Ball To ‘Global Liquidity Shortage’ Narrative

September 19, 2018October 17, 2021

“Are central bank balance sheets really shrinking at all?”

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10 Years After Lehman: Hubris

September 13, 2018October 17, 2021

Pride and fall.

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Tightening Tantrums, Cycle Highs And A Look Ahead To 2019

September 11, 2018September 11, 2018

“From there, it’s about  October’s large Quantitative Tightening impulse”.

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Liquidity Drain And The ‘Still Playing Non-Stop Event Risk Cabaret’

August 23, 2018August 23, 2018

The tide is going out.

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Pondering ‘The End Of Synchronized Everything’

August 9, 2018October 16, 2021

And at the heart of it all…

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Dollar Liquidity Dynamics: An Epochal Shift Is Coming, One Bank Warns

August 4, 2018August 4, 2018

“In this environment the infamous carry-trade will come under pressure and the misallocation of credit will be revealed.”

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Blockbuster: Full Week Ahead Preview

July 29, 2018October 14, 2021

What summer lull?

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‘After A Decade’: With Central Banks At The Crossroads, A Look Back And Ahead

July 28, 2018July 28, 2018

“Two roads diverged in a yellow wood.”

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ECB Leaves It All Unchanged As Market Looks For Clues On What The Word ‘Summer’ Means

July 26, 2018July 26, 2018

“It depends on what the meaning of the word ‘ is’ is.

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One Bank Goes There, Asks: ‘Could The Trade War Cause Another Great Depression?’

July 21, 2018

Incredulous. 

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‘The Fed Is Destroying Money’: Revisiting The ‘Flow’ Versus ‘Stock’ Debate At A Critical Juncture

July 18, 2018

It’s the flow that counts. Never forget that.

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‘What A Difference A Quarter Makes’: Why One Bank Is Taking A ‘Glass Half Full’ Approach

June 21, 2018June 22, 2018

“What gives”?

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There’s A ‘Big Problem’ In Emerging Market Liquidity And Here It Is…

June 15, 2018

(Back) down the liquidity rabbit hole.

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Welcome To ‘The Age Of Fragility’

June 5, 2018

Enjoy your stay.

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Who Really Understands The Risks? It’s Probably Not Who You Think.

June 3, 2018

I think that gets it backwards.

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‘This Screams Fed Tightening & Late Cycle’

May 25, 2018

One bank has a message for you…

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4 Comments on ‘This Screams Fed Tightening & Late Cycle’

‘They’re Still The Largest Sellers Of Vol.’: And So, The Baton Is Passed To Forward Guidance

May 14, 2018May 14, 2018

Remember, “transparency as a way of stabilizing the markets has become a tool of suboptimal control.”

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Pushing Against The Big Wave

May 7, 2018November 13, 2018

“And if the money velocity stops declining, and god forbid, even increases, what will happen to the mountain of monetary stimulus that has been administered over the past decade?”

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What Is The Probability Of ‘Something Bad’ Happening? Of Geopolitics And Policy Gamblers

May 6, 2018

Fault lines, 90th percentile risks and the probability of stepping on a land mine.

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