Call it a hunch…
Category: bonds
Why Subadra Rajappa Sees US Treasury Yields Falling To 1.2%
… and the Fed delivering 100bp of easing in the first half of 2020.
2019’s Cross-Asset Bonanza Is Tough Act To Follow
But don’t be so quick to suggest things will be “unexciting”.
Trump On Thin Ice With Traders As US Stocks Sink Third Day
“I don’t watch the stock market”.
Tariff Man Crashes Stock Party On First Trading Day Of December
How many Dow points will it take to convince Trump to dial it back?
Risk Parity As The ‘Real Winner’ Of 2019 (And A Snapshot Of One Bank’s 2020 Asset Allocation)
Oh, and they’re still OW cash.
Beyond The ‘Bull Market In Everything’
If everything is overvalued, where can you turn for safety in a pinch?
Macro Tourist, Alleged Canadian, Is ‘Getting More Bearish On Canada Every Day’
“I’m bearish. Bigly.”
Hunting For Free Money In Europe’s ‘Cosmopolitan’ Bond Market
More tales from “this topsy-turvy world”.
The Rotation Is Dead. Long Live The Rotation.
“Expectations are extremely volatile”.
Don’t ‘Cry Wolf Prematurely’: Goldman Delivers Global Growth Outlook, Best Trade Ideas Headed Into 2020
There’s “career risk” involved in making recession the baseline.
This Is What Counts As ‘Fireworks’ In An Otherwise Tranquil Market
This sounds like a trivial statement (and it is), but…
And Now, For A Geopolitical Reality Check…
Risk aversion runs rampant as Hong Kong bill hits sentiment.
Bonds At The Crossroads…
Where to now?
After The (Duration) Purge…
Cue a backtest.
Nomura’s McElligott: ‘Now Comes The Hard Part’
“The easy money has been made”.
‘The Bulls Are Back’: FOMO Takes Center Stage In Fund Manager Survey As Yield Forecasts Ratcheted Higher
“Marking to misery” gives way to “waves of optimism”.
In Stark Reversal, Popular Treasury ETF Hemorrhaged Record $1.2 Billion During Bond Rout
At the risk of beating a dead horse…
To Believe In The Rotation Or Not To Believe…
…that is the question.
JPM’s Kolanovic, Deutsche Bank’s Sparks Don’t See Rising Yields As A Threat To Stocks – Yet
“The recent sell-off appears far too small to have material and persistent deleterious effects on equity”.
With All Eyes On Bonds, Trump, Powell Will Both Speak On The Economy This Week
“He believes the United States will go on to exceed even its remarkable achievements of the past”.
‘2019 Has Been A Rollercoaster’: Duration ‘Round Trip’ Now Complete, Risk Is Trade Deal Falls Through
This may mean that the market has become too comfortable with the trade outlook.
Marko Kolanovic On ‘Groupthink’, Crowding And Why The Rotation Will Continue
“Two strategies that in theory should have little to do with each other” have been “nearly 100% correlated” recently.
‘Yellow Brick Road’ Or ‘Rabbit Hole’? Bonds In ‘No Man’s Land’
So, which is it going to be?
3-Sigma Bond Rout Sees Yields Erase August Plunge, While Front-End Prices Out Trump’s Rate Cut Hopes
Rampant optimism is now reinforcing the Fed’s message that rate cuts are done.
Happy Times And ‘Manna From The Printing Press Heaven’
“The wealth effect on global plutonomists will be massive”.
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