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Category: bonds

Zombieland.

January 27, 2020January 28, 2020

“Very few people on the streets, everyone wearing face masks”.

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3 Comments on Zombieland.

$1 Trillion+ Surge In Negative Debt Pile Is Fillip For Yellow Paperweights, Digital Chuck E. Cheese Tokens

January 27, 2020January 27, 2020

That “blip” is worth about $1.5 trillion – with a “t”.

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3 Comments on $1 Trillion+ Surge In Negative Debt Pile Is Fillip For Yellow Paperweights, Digital Chuck E. Cheese Tokens

(Still) The Most Underappreciated Tail Risk

January 26, 2020

It seems far-fetched now, but it’s always the ones you don’t see coming that are a problem.

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3 Comments on (Still) The Most Underappreciated Tail Risk

Where Were You When The World Didn’t End?

January 25, 2020April 22, 2022

When the US House rejected the Wall Street bailout bill on September 29, 2008, I

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11 Comments on Where Were You When The World Didn’t End?

After Worst Week For US Stocks Since August, The Big Story Is Actually Bonds

January 24, 2020January 25, 2020

This really wasn’t supposed to happen.

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7 Comments on After Worst Week For US Stocks Since August, The Big Story Is Actually Bonds

Stocks, Crude Have Seen Enough ‘Deadly Respiratory Illness’ Headlines For One Week

January 24, 2020January 24, 2020

Let’s just get to the weekend before anything really bad happens.

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oil1 Comment on Stocks, Crude Have Seen Enough ‘Deadly Respiratory Illness’ Headlines For One Week

Nomura’s McElligott Takes Victory Lap As Markets Ponder Return Of ‘Duration Infatuation’

January 23, 2020January 23, 2020

Back to the future, as “slow-flation” trades are once again en vogue.

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1 Comment on Nomura’s McElligott Takes Victory Lap As Markets Ponder Return Of ‘Duration Infatuation’

‘Coiled’ Bonds, ‘Kinetic Tension’ And The Return Of Reflation Frustration

January 19, 2020January 19, 2020

How’s that for dramatizing things? 

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CTAs ‘Are Likely To Amplify’ Oil Price Spike, JPMorgan Says

January 6, 2020

Chasing the momentum?

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oilLeave a Comment on CTAs ‘Are Likely To Amplify’ Oil Price Spike, JPMorgan Says

‘Sentiment Is Too Darn High’: ‘Melt-Up’ Replaces ‘Recession’ As Clickbait Topic Du Jour

January 2, 2020

Define “barnburner”.

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1 Comment on ‘Sentiment Is Too Darn High’: ‘Melt-Up’ Replaces ‘Recession’ As Clickbait Topic Du Jour

Net Supply Of Safe-Haven Bonds Set For First Drop In 4 Years As CBs Fire Up Presses

January 2, 2020January 2, 2020

The supply shortage is making a comeback.

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1 Comment on Net Supply Of Safe-Haven Bonds Set For First Drop In 4 Years As CBs Fire Up Presses

Mohamed El-Erian Is Worried. Here’s Why…

January 1, 2020

“Improvement” may be such a relative term right now as to be nearly meaningless. 

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2 Comments on Mohamed El-Erian Is Worried. Here’s Why…

Requiem For A Dreamy 2019

January 1, 2020January 2, 2020

Happy new year.

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1 Comment on Requiem For A Dreamy 2019

Will Printing Press-Financed Stimulus Break The Back Of The Four-Decade Bond Bull?

December 29, 2019December 30, 2019

Don’t fight the fiscal?

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10 Comments on Will Printing Press-Financed Stimulus Break The Back Of The Four-Decade Bond Bull?

Growth Will Be Sluggish And Corporate Fundamentals Will Deteriorate. So Buy The Dip And Short Vol., Of Course!

December 23, 2019December 23, 2019

A familiar paradox.

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3 Comments on Growth Will Be Sluggish And Corporate Fundamentals Will Deteriorate. So Buy The Dip And Short Vol., Of Course!

Questioning ‘Life Above 2%’ And Pondering The ‘Long-Dated Rates Catastrophe Option’

December 22, 2019

A large, sustained bond selloff isn’t likely, but…

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3 Comments on Questioning ‘Life Above 23’ And Pondering The ‘Long-Dated Rates Catastrophe Option’

To Fade Reflation Or Not To Fade: The Big Debate For 2020

December 22, 2019December 23, 2019

Pick a side.

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5 Comments on To Fade Reflation Or Not To Fade: The Big Debate For 2020

Bonds Dictated The Action In 2019. They May Hold The Keys In 2020 Too

December 21, 2019December 21, 2019

“…equities soon needed yields to rise to be able to do the same”.

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Melt-Up Or Euphoria? A Rose By Any Other Name…

December 20, 2019December 21, 2019

And yet, it doesn’t have to end now.

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6 Comments on Melt-Up Or Euphoria? A Rose By Any Other Name…

Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Delivers 2020 Macro Outlook: ‘My View Is Much More Realistic’

December 20, 2019December 20, 2019

“As a contrarian, consensual group-think views into the year-ahead are often exaggerated”.

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Don’t Be So ‘Sensitive’: How Much Will The Data Matter For Markets In 2020?

December 19, 2019

“Data dependent”, so to speak.

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3 Comments on Don’t Be So ‘Sensitive’: How Much Will The Data Matter For Markets In 2020?

This 2s10s Curve Is Still Inverted…

December 19, 2019December 19, 2019

And has been for the better part of two years.

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Get Ready. ‘Great Rotation II’ Is Coming, JPMorgan Says

December 18, 2019December 18, 2019

A “structural change” is coming.

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5 Comments on Get Ready. ‘Great Rotation II’ Is Coming, JPMorgan Says

Albert Edwards Adds Sellside Bond Yield Forecasts To Benjamin Franklin’s Short List Of Life Certainties

December 17, 2019December 17, 2019

“…the symptoms of a congenital condition so deeply ingrained it will never change”.

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2 Comments on Albert Edwards Adds Sellside Bond Yield Forecasts To Benjamin Franklin’s Short List Of Life Certainties

Nomura’s McElligott Explains The ‘QE-Like Stasis’ Of An ‘Everything Works’ Market

December 16, 2019December 16, 2019

So, is there any risk? Well, yes.

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2 Comments on Nomura’s McElligott Explains The ‘QE-Like Stasis’ Of An ‘Everything Works’ Market

Trade Deal ‘Narrower-Than-Expected’, May Limit Yield Rise In ’19, Goldman Says

December 13, 2019December 14, 2019

“This is a narrower deal than we were expecting”.

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China Deal ‘In Principle’ Turbocharges Stocks, Sends Bonds Tumbling

December 12, 2019December 12, 2019

High drama, as General Trump engages in all-day brinksmanship before signing off on the deal.

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1 Comment on China Deal ‘In Principle’ Turbocharges Stocks, Sends Bonds Tumbling

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