So far, so good for Wall Street’s midterm election forecasts.Â
Category: bonds
A Cross-Asset Guide To The U.S. Midterms
What to expect – or not.
Losing Your ‘Balance’.
Is this the end of the “balanced bull”?
Why SocGen Thinks The S&P Could Fall To 2,482
“…the ability of equities to absorb higher bond yields is rather limited.”
Why One Goldman Analyst Thinks ‘Something’s Gotta Give’
“Shaky foundations.”
One Bank Warns ‘Things Ain’t Like They Used To Be’ For U.S. Treasurys
Times are changing.
The Fed Is Increasing The Deductible Of Your Insurance
On the bright side, there’s a logic to the Fed’s strategy.
One Trader Explains His Long Treasury Vol. Experiment
“At that point, there will be no easy answers for politicians and policy makers. That’s the end game.”
S&P As A Global Equities Safe-Haven Theme Is Now Cracking: Nomura’s McElligott
“We are experiencing a shift to a risk-negative mindset again”.
One More Reason Trump Will Be Loath To Turn On Saudi Arabia: U.S. Debt
“Please fund our deficit.”
As China’s Treasury Holdings Fall For Third Month, U.S. Foreign Policy Seen Accelerating De-Dollarization
Remember, foreign investors are “free to do what they want to do.”
‘I’ve Got Plenty Of Buyers’: Steve Mnuchin Says People Are Lining Up To Invest In Trump’s Banana Republic
You are “free to do what you want”, but Steve knows you really – really – want some Treasurys.
Jeff Gundlach: ‘Trump Is Crazy Like A Fox’
“President Trump is just a different kind of guy.”
Albert Edwards Says Equity Investors May Get ‘Fried Alive’ Mount Vesuvius Style
“Equity investors are facing the four horsemen of the apocalypse thundering towards them.”
Stock-Bond Correlation Breaks, Presaging Locust Plague, Pestilence, Famine
Posthumous equine abuse.
Trader: Suddenly Everyone Is A Bond Bear
“Don’t you love it how, now – after the biggest sell-off in fixed income in decades – suddenly everyone is bearish?”
Crossing The Rubicon On Global Bond Yields
“The cost of global capital would rise further”…
Deutsche’s Kocic: ‘We’re Not Very Far From The Red Zone’ On Equity-Bond Correlations
“This is the most feared scenario. And, to make things interesting, we are not very far from this regime.”
‘Why Are Higher Yields Not Impacting Stocks Here?!’: Nomura’s McElligott Answers
“This is what happens when”…
Goldman Asks: How Likely Is A ‘Balanced Bear’?
“…the length of the current bull market in balanced equity/bond portfolios is now the longest on record.”
Bond Blowup Continues As Stars Align For Nuclear Selloff
“The underlying message is that the US economy isn’t just in fine fettle, it’s on fire.”
Reflation Madness! Treasury Selloff Turns Unruly As U.S. Economy Is Screeching Tea Kettle
Boy, we’re really in the heat of things now.Â
Nomura’s McElligott: ‘Market’s Skepticism On Higher Inflation Is A Mispriced Risk’
“This could further escalate the rates selloff in unruly fashion”.
Expensive Dollars And The Return Of Negative Hedged Yields
“This might be telling us that there is a growing USD shortage developing.”
Now Hiring: Full Week Ahead Preview
Another week, another litmus test…
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