“The ‘reflation trade’ indicator continues to lose momentum; we do not foresee a sharp reversal towards the ‘reflation trade’ for the remainder of the year.”
Category: bonds
Trader Asks: How Long This ‘Cleanest Dirty Shirt’ Thesis Really Run?
“My bet is that on a relative basis, there are other shirts to buy.”
Bonds Now Most Attractive Relative To Stocks Since 2011 – I Guess.
Surely someone will find this “enticing”…
Gundlach Slams U.S. Fiscal Policy In ‘Miracle Grow’ Webcast, Talks ‘Monumental’ UST Short Squeeze
“What could get you there is a monumental short squeeze.”
What’s Really Going On With That ‘Massive’ Treasury Short?
“…there is a growing sense that positioning is not as stretched as the data would suggest.”
Dodging Bullets: Full Week Ahead Preview
Around the world in 2,100 words.
Bad News For That Massive Treasury Short As Goldman Slashes Bond Yield Forecasts
“We note that there has been no change to our view of Fed policy tightening, but”…
Gundlach Warns Of Treasury Short Squeeze, Goldman Says Don’t Sweat Curve Inversion
Kings, squids, inversions and squeezes.
Trader Reminds You: ‘Tomorrow Is Another QT Day’
“But here we are, with tomorrow (Wednesday August 15th), having just a shade over $23 billion of bonds expiring.”
Admit It: You’re A Yield Curve Apologist, Aren’t You?
“Well, I might not know much, but one thing that has gotten me into more trouble is to assume markets will play out neatly according to a schedule.”
Kashkari Warns On Yield Curve: “‘This Time Is Different’ Are The 4 Most Dangerous Words In Economics”
“…declarations that ‘this time is different’ should be a warning that history might be about to repeat itself.”
‘It’s Like A Death Wish’: Jeff Gundlach Takes Aim At Toxic Policy Mix, Demands You ‘Respect’ The Curve
“The yield curve needs to be respected.”
Why The Fed Will Be Forced To Halt QT Early And Expand The Balance Sheet In 2020, According To Morgan Stanley
“An inverted yield curve by mid-2019.”
Global Investors Are Overweight (Stocks) And It’s Not Clear They Can Keep Eating – Even If They Want To
Who will be the marginal buyer of equities going forward?
‘Someone Or Someones Are Really Scared’
“… we’ve been doing this long enough to know when acute demands for liquidity will likely arise and that’s what it feels like.”
Trade Wars: Implications For The Fed
Some random musings.
Confucius Say.
Good lord.
Bitter Coffee.
A spoonful of sugar, helps the medicine go down.
After All That Hype.
Aaand that’s the week.
‘Plain English’.
Do you speak it?!
Fed Hikes: New Dot Plot, Projections, Red Line, Analysis
And without further ado…
What Wall Street Expects From The Fed
Calibrate your expectations accordingly.
Give Peace (And Quiet) A Chance
Holding pattern as market awaits the Fed.
Meet Me In Singapore.
As everyone holds their breath…
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