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Author: therealheisenberg

Two Charts & One Word

February 19, 2017

Spread the “love.”

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1 Comment on Two Charts & One Word

Twitter Goes Crazy, Sweden Demands Answers After Trump Makes Up Terror Attack

February 19, 2017February 19, 2017

“If only Frederick Douglass had been in Sweden when that terrible terrorist attack didn’t happen.”

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1 Comment on Twitter Goes Crazy, Sweden Demands Answers After Trump Makes Up Terror Attack

Here’s What’s Coming Up For Markets

February 19, 2017

“Don’t be fooled by the the holiday-shortened trading week in the US. Next week promises to give investors plenty to watch, including the Greek bailout, minutes of the Federal Reserve’s last meeting, Bank of England governor Mark Carney’s testimony, retail earnings and Warren Buffett’s annual letter.”

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1 Comment on Here’s What’s Coming Up For Markets

Behold: A Sad, Sad Spectacle

February 19, 2017

That, right there, is why this is all so f*cking sad.

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2 Comments on Behold: A Sad, Sad Spectacle

“JP Merlin” Returns: Quant Wizard Kolanovic Weighs In On Volatility, Geopolitics, And The Fed

February 19, 2017February 19, 2017

He doesn’t have a long, white beard. He doesn’t wear a robe or a pointy

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What’s The Best Hedge Against Protectionism? Fund Managers Weigh In

February 19, 2017

There’s a lot of chatter these days about the extent to which hedging doesn’t make

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1 Comment on What’s The Best Hedge Against Protectionism? Fund Managers Weigh In

“Euro Exit Would Ruin France,” More Russian Hacking, And Other Fun Overnight News

February 19, 2017

“Exiting the euro, presidential candidate Marine Le Pen’s project, would ruin France, Bruno Le Maire, adviser of French Republican candidate Francois Fillon, says on Europe 1 radio.”

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1 Comment on “Euro Exit Would Ruin France,” More Russian Hacking, And Other Fun Overnight News

Here’s What’s Driving Stocks To Record Highs

February 18, 2017

“Over the last 3 weeks, US equities have rallied as fund positioning rose, the buyback bid resumed as companies exited blackout periods and US equity inflows returned over the last week. Overall US equity fund positioning getting elevated. Elevated overall positioning reflects that of long-short hedge funds and asset allocation funds.”

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Some “Crude” Rambling

February 18, 2017

Warning: there’s no structure here. Just some stream of consciousness oil market rambling along with some pretty good excerpts from Bloomberg, Reuters, and SocGen. Oh, and there’s a random chart at the end.

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oil, OPEC2 Comments on Some “Crude” Rambling

Thinking Globally In A World Gone Mad

February 18, 2017February 18, 2017

One of the themes I harp on quite a lot in these pages is the

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7 Comments on Thinking Globally In A World Gone Mad

Saturday Humor (Crazy Like A “Fox”)

February 18, 2017

Nope, no connection here….

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1 Comment on Saturday Humor (Crazy Like A “Fox”)

Did The Market Misread The Most Important Event Of The Week?

February 18, 2017

So we got a hawkish Yellen on Capitol Hill. Or did we?

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A $1.3 Trillion Quandary

February 18, 2017February 18, 2017

If you’re looking for pockets of risk (and you should always be looking for pockets

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Goldman: “Cognitive Dissonance” Reigns In US Stock Market

February 18, 2017February 18, 2017

“Cognitive dissonance exists in the US stock market. S&P 500 is up 10% since the election despite negative EPS revisions from sell-side analysts (see Exhibit 1). Investors, S&P 500 management teams, and sell-side analysts do not agree on the most likely path forward.”

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Chart Check (“Up, Up And Away”)

February 18, 2017

“Le Pen is mightier than le sword”…

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2 Comments on Chart Check (“Up, Up And Away”)

“Has The Whole World Gone Crazy?!”

February 17, 2017February 17, 2017

“Has the whole world gone crazy?! Am I the only one around here who gives a sh*t about the rules?!”

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2 Comments on “Has The Whole World Gone Crazy?!”

When (Black) Swans Cry

February 17, 2017

I also question whether bragging about having “f*ck you money” (which Taleb does in his books) is the type of thing befitting of a man who aspires to a kind of intellectual high ground that he seems to think the rest of us can’t possibly attain no matter how many times we read his work.

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The Week That Was: “The Hardest Thing To Do Is Justify Hedging”

February 17, 2017February 17, 2017

Well, it’s been one hell of a week. We started on a sugar high thanks

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Chart Of The Day (“C’est La Vie”)

February 17, 2017

It may not look very dramatic, but looks can be deceiving.  It’s all about France

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1 Comment on Chart Of The Day (“C’est La Vie”)

Here Comes The Next “Tantrum”

February 17, 2017

I’m always warning about VaR shocks. More specifically, I like to remind investors that in

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“Buridan’s Ass, Meet Scylla And Charybdis”

February 17, 2017

As I noted earlier on Friday, this week provided nothing in the way of clarity

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Key Calls (Friday): “Inevitable Selloff” Edition

February 17, 2017

S&P 500’s 166-day streak without 5% pullback is longest since 2007; “Selloff is inevitable, perhaps starting very soon”

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A French Kiss Leaves Global Risk Queasy On Friday

February 17, 2017

If you were looking for clarity with regard to President Donald Trump’s policies or for any kind

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“What Are You Paying For?!” One Bank Asks Whether French CDS Is Worthless

February 16, 2017

What protection are you paying for? Marine Le Pen’s proposal to take France out of the euro is once again raising questions about whether CDS will “do what it says on the tin”. As on previous occasions, we fear the answer is “not necessarily”

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Must Read: Wall Street Explains Why We All Need Wall Street

February 16, 2017

Well, if this isn’t the very definition of serendipitous, then I don’t know what is.

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What Trade War? Market Is Mispricing The Swans (Again)

February 16, 2017

If I’ve said it once (and I’m pretty sure I have), I’ve said it a

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Good News: Hedge Funds Might Have A Chance To Beat Benchmarks In 2017

February 16, 2017February 16, 2017

So what does any of this mean for average investors? Well, intuitively, it means there’s a chance for you to go out and find yourself some alpha by returning to your roots as an expert stock picker (boy, this post is just dripping with sarcasm).

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hedge funds1 Comment on Good News: Hedge Funds Might Have A Chance To Beat Benchmarks In 2017

Posts pagination

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Monthly Letter

  • To Be Happy

Recent Comments

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Monthly Letters

To Be Happy

September 4, 2026September 4, 2026

Hell Or High Fashion

July 3, 2026July 3, 2026

Escape Artists

May 11, 2026May 11, 2026

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