Surprise, surprise…
Author: therealheisenberg
Whatever You Do, “Don’t Ignore Him”: One Bank’s Advice On President Trump
“A weaker USD, lower yields, strong equities, low vol and strong EM suggest that markets do not expect US fiscal stimulus this year, but also do not expect trade protection. We strongly disagree”…
Asleep At The Wheel: “Clients Are Asking If Our Models Are Updating Properly”
Assuming this “asleep at the wheel” dynamic can’t persist for much longer, spreads have to either compress further or blow out. Which do you think is more likely?
This Is How Much A Stronger Dollar Hurts Multinationals
If you have multinational US corporate behemoths in your portfolio, you’re probably acutely aware of
Fitch Blasts Trump: He’s “A Risk To International Economic Conditions”
In a further testament to the impact the resurrection of nationalism will likely have on markets, Fitch was out Friday warning that Trump’s policies could well prove catastrophic for the rest of the world.
“They’re Stealing Our Jobs!”: Populism And False Prophets
What they’re really doing is grabbing power for themselves and taking advantage of “the people” who, thanks to a number of factors, are vulnerable to manipulation. They are false prophets.
Chart Check (Behind The Curve)
As usual…
You Are Being Politically Exploited
“While globalisation is by no means the only factor behind the increase in inequality, it is easy to exploit politically”…
An Eerie Parallel
“This ‘treading water’ spread action for the credit market is in pretty sharp contrast to an equity market that has been rallying to new all time highs”…
Here Are The “Single Most Important Questions” For America’s Banks
“‘There’s nobody better to tell me about Dodd-Frank than Jamie,’ Mr. Trump said, presumably meaning that there was nobody better to help him dismantle Dodd-Frank than Jamie.”
Record Treasury Short Trimmed For Fourth Straight Week, Trump Weighs On Dollar Longs
As you’re probably aware – and if you’re not, you should make yourself aware –
Goldman Says Clients Still Buying This Bulls*t – For Now
Well it’s that time of the week again. That time when Goldman reveals the second, third, and fourth, most asked questions from client meetings. I say “second, third, and fourth” because you damn well know that the “first” question is this…
Chart Check (Eat Your OATs)
Take a bow populism…
How To Trade Rates In An “Event-Driven” Week
Earlier today I previewed Janet Yellen’s forthcoming Congressional testimony. Needless to say, that will be
Chart Check (It’s A Setup)
Danger Will Robinson…
Maybe Shinzo Abe Isn’t The Right Guy To Be Talking To About Making Stuff “Great Again”
Well, Donald Trump and Japanese PM Shinzo Abe held a joint news conference a couple of
Previewing A “Massacre”: A Look Ahead To Yellen’s Congressional Testimony
On Thursday, I brought you the latest commentary from SocGen’s incorrigible bear Albert Edwards who
Chart Check (A Subtle Reminder As The VIX Slumbers)
Late cycle problems…
Binky’s Bullets: Wall Street’s Biggest Bull Explains His S&P 2600 Call
Earlier this week, Bloomberg reported that Binky had summited Mount Siegel. That’s right, Deutsche Bank’s Binky Chadha is now officially the most bullish Wall Street strategist when it comes to the S&P, which he figures will hit 2600 by the end of the year.
US Stocks Eye Record-er-er Highs As Oil Soars, China Exports Jump, Trump Meets Abe
Friday is all about Trump again. More specifically, FX markets will be closely eyeing a meeting between the President and Japanese PM Shinzo Abe. Meanwhile, oil is buoyant Friday on the back of an IEA report showing OPEC has achieved a record 90% compliance while demand is on the rise.
Let’s “Get Out Of Dodge” On A Good Note Before The Weekend
It’s a mad, mad world, but trade in it we must. There’s lots to be
Key Calls (Friday): Upgrades, Downgrades & Initiations
Are your stocks on the list?
1.7 Trillion Reasons Why This Whole Populist Thing Is A Terrible Idea
But while populist candidates spewing nationalist vitriol likely won’t do anything to change the fact that Mark Zuckerberg is Mark Zuckerberg and you’re… well… not, do you know what they will do? They’ll end up destroying what little everyday people do have by throwing the entire global order into chaos. And that’s not hyperbole.
Thursday Night Humor: “I Did It My Way”
Donald Trump does things “his way.” Well, except for when the judiciary does really annoying separation-of-power-ish things.
Analyzing Yen-Sanity Ahead Of Friday’s Trump/Abe Pow-wow
Watch USDJPY. I say it all the time. There is perhaps no better real time
Thoughts On Gold, My Favorite Doorstop
I don’t talk a lot about gold and there’s a reason for that. Here’s something
Is Anyone Home Out There? Please Tell Me How This Ends Well
You know, when it comes to the corporate bond market and liquidity, there’s only so
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