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Author: therealheisenberg

Will Scott Bessent Have To Cut The Coupons?

June 3, 2025June 4, 2025

I wouldn’t describe it as “consensus,” or not yet anyway, but calls for Scott Bessent

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11 Comments on Will Scott Bessent Have To Cut The Coupons?

Trump’s ‘Revenge Tax’ Is A Duck

June 3, 2025June 4, 2025

John Thune needs to think long and hard about whether Senate Republicans want to line

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7 Comments on Trump’s ‘Revenge Tax’ Is A Duck

US Job Openings, Hires Rise Despite Macro Angst

June 3, 2025June 4, 2025

There were 7.391 million job openings across the world’s largest economy on the last business

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4 Comments on US Job Openings, Hires Rise Despite Macro Angst

Tariff Man Crashes Global Growth Forecasts

June 3, 2025June 4, 2025

The OECD doesn’t love Donald Trump’s tariffs. “[T]oday’s policy uncertainty is weakening trade and investment,

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1 Comment on Tariff Man Crashes Global Growth Forecasts

Why One Bank Expects The Dollar Bear Market To Deepen

June 2, 2025June 2, 2025

The dollar’s headed lower, particularly against other havens, including the yen, franc and euro. That’s

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4 Comments on Why One Bank Expects The Dollar Bear Market To Deepen

Is Corporate America A Safer Bet Than The US Government?

June 2, 2025June 3, 2025

This should go without saying, but US equities still aren’t cheap. I don’t know why

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6 Comments on Is Corporate America A Safer Bet Than The US Government?

When All Other Plunge Protection Fails…

June 2, 2025June 3, 2025

Listen, if Scott Bessent can’t find anyone to buy America’s debt, he can just cajole

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3 Comments on When All Other Plunge Protection Fails…

‘Raising Hell’

June 2, 2025June 3, 2025

The first of this week’s top-tier US macro data was underwhelming, at best. No one

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1 Comment on ‘Raising Hell’

Move Fast And Break The Bonds

June 2, 2025June 3, 2025

New week, same concerns. The bear steepener was back in the Treasury curve, the dollar

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17 Comments on Move Fast And Break The Bonds

Labor Market Linchpin

June 1, 2025June 2, 2025

It’s the first week of the month and you know what that means: A full data

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2 Comments on Labor Market Linchpin

Trading The Tariff Range

June 1, 2025June 2, 2025

In addition to top-tier US macro data, traders will be compelled to grapple in the

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2 Comments on Trading The Tariff Range

Imagined Pasts

May 31, 2025June 16, 2025

Legend has it Whenever I venture out into the hollow, cold paradox of a constantly-connected

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8 Comments on Imagined Pasts

Capital Wars Are Here

May 31, 2025June 2, 2025

Foreign investors didn’t need another reason to be skeptical of US assets. Militant mercantilism, policy

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6 Comments on Capital Wars Are Here

Game Of Chicken (The Trump Collar Explained)

May 30, 2025June 2, 2025

Legendary fast food connoisseur Donald Trump doesn’t like the “TACO”s. A fixture of Trump’s tariff

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10 Comments on Game Of Chicken (The Trump Collar Explained)

Americans Remain Deeply Depressed Despite Tariff Pause

May 30, 2025June 2, 2025

Good news. Or maybe I should say news that’s less bad. The final word on

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1 Comment on Americans Remain Deeply Depressed Despite Tariff Pause

TACO Stall

May 30, 2025June 1, 2025

The world’s two largest economies might’ve made “great progress,” as Donald Trump put it, towards

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23 Comments on TACO Stall

Four Years Later, Fed Finds Price Stability

May 30, 2025May 31, 2025

As expected, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation was benign in data released on Friday.

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2 Comments on Four Years Later, Fed Finds Price Stability

Do Foreign Investors Really Have ‘Too Much’ US Exposure?

May 29, 2025May 29, 2025

There’s still no consensus on whether and to what extent Donald Trump’s policies — from

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2 Comments on Do Foreign Investors Really Have ‘Too Much’ US Exposure?

At The President’s Invitation

May 29, 2025May 30, 2025

“Donnie, I got sent for.” On Thursday, the Fed casually announced that Jerome Powell was

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6 Comments on At The President’s Invitation

Pending Home Sales Collapse Again In Hopeless US Housing

May 29, 2025May 30, 2025

It was a false dawn. Another one. Following a blockbuster gain to kick off the

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5 Comments on Pending Home Sales Collapse Again In Hopeless US Housing

Court Says Felon Acted Illegally

May 29, 2025May 30, 2025

On Thursday morning in the US, Best Buy cut its sales and profit outlook for

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4 Comments on Court Says Felon Acted Illegally

Brake Slam

May 29, 2025May 30, 2025

Bad news. Or maybe it’s good news to the extent slower growth relieves some of

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Leave a Comment on Brake Slam

Terms And Conditions

May 28, 2025May 28, 2025

I’ve spent a ton of time since “Liberation Day” talking about the term premium, and

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Leave a Comment on Terms And Conditions

Huang Praises The Revolution As Nvidia Results Clouded By China Curbs

May 28, 2025May 29, 2025

Nvidia — maybe you’ve heard of it — beat on the top-line in results released

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Leave a Comment on Huang Praises The Revolution As Nvidia Results Clouded By China Curbs

17 Times The Uncertainty

May 28, 2025May 29, 2025

The word “uncertainty” came up 17 times in the May FOMC minutes, released on Wednesday

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2 Comments on 17 Times The Uncertainty

Is US Tech Still Magnificent?

May 28, 2025May 29, 2025

As Nvidia readied its quarterly results, analysts and strategists were torn on whether investors should

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3 Comments on Is US Tech Still Magnificent?

Treasury Selloff Is Insult To Injury For US Housing Crisis

May 28, 2025May 29, 2025

Remember when Scott Bessent was going to reduce financing costs for everyday, middle-income Americans like

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2 Comments on Treasury Selloff Is Insult To Injury For US Housing Crisis

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