I’ve spoken at some length recently about the juxtaposition between low index volatility and extremely
Author: therealheisenberg
Traffic Jam
Once upon a time on America’s roads and highways, traffic congestion was reliably accompanied by
Boring But For The Bombs
Thank God the war’s back on, otherwise we might be set up for a rather
Shortages And Extortion In A Post-Neoliberal World
Not everyone liked “Mark Carney Was Wrong.” In that linked article, I suggested the so-called “middle
Weekly: Ok, What Now?
Semis slipped towards a bear market, SpaceX was down 45% from its intraday high on
Take A Hint, Man
I didn’t watch Donald Trump’s prime time White House address on election “integrity” this week.
Kimi Cometh
If you ask Xi Jinping, no country should command a monopoly on bleeding-edge AI. And
Stock For Sale!
Stock for sale! Who wants some?! Equity supply’s a hot topic in 2026. Maybe you
Have We Spent Enough On The Damn Chatbots Yet?
One of the biggest questions on investors’ minds in the back-half of 2026 asks if
God Save The Housing Market
God save the homebuilders. And US housing more generally. A pair of private-sector updates painted
Americans Are Still Spending
Retail sales data for the world’s largest economy matched estimates in figures released Thursday by
Stock Chaos, FX Crash Put South Korea In Firefighter Mode
“Local officials have to rein this in somehow.” So said yours truly earlier this week,
What ‘Landing’?
“Way” back in 2023, BofA started asking professional capital allocators about the most likely “landing”
Melt-Up Setup?
Is the stage set for a summer equity melt-up? That’s the question implicitly posed in
China’s A Mess
The slowdown in China’s “temporary” and due in large part to “external factors.” That’s according
BLS Hands Warsh Another Excuse
There was more good news on the inflation front in the US Wednesday. A day
Kevin Warsh Makes A Promise
Don’t worry everybody: Kevin Warsh has this under control. “This” being inflation. He said as
Warsh, Trump Get Inflation Godsend
Time to cut rates! Said Donald Trump on his morning conference call with Kevin Warsh.
Goldman’s Stock Traders Hit The Jackpot
If you thought Q2 trading hauls at JPMorgan and BofA were impressive, wait until you
‘China Shock 2.0’ Narrative Gathers Steam As Exports Boom
The Chinese, um, shipped some stuff last month. More than $410 billion worth, in fact,
JPMorgan, BofA Enjoy Huge Trading, IB Windfalls
When you’re in the business of making markets and facilitating trades, volatility can be a
Why Stocks Are Uniquely Vulnerable To Fed Hikes
Earlier Monday, I mentioned that US equities could prove more sensitive to any rate hikes
What If Warsh Does Take A Hike?
What happens to the S&P if Kevin Warsh hikes rates? Dumb question, I know. Because
South Korean Regulators Have Lost Control
Leave the local shares. Take the ADRs. One business day after celebrating the largest-ever debut
Inflation Week
It’s inflation week in the US, where the BLS is expected to tell American households
Strait Talk
The Strait of Hormuz is closed. Again. A month on from Donald Trump’s declaration that

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