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Author: therealheisenberg

Another Big Bank Cuts 2019 S&P Forecast, But It’s The December Postmortem That’s Really Interesting…

January 7, 2019January 8, 2019

Looking back and looking forward.

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2 Comments on Another Big Bank Cuts 2019 S&P Forecast, But It’s The December Postmortem That’s Really Interesting…

Who’s Still Hungry (For Risk)?

January 7, 2019

All in all, not a bad day.

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What Are Stocks And Other Assets Saying About The Odds Of A US Recession?

January 7, 2019

Remember: anything is better than Larry Kudlow’s “models”.

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4 Comments on What Are Stocks And Other Assets Saying About The Odds Of A US Recession?

‘Bending The Knee To Vigilante Markets’

January 7, 2019October 24, 2021

“Once again”…

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hedge funds2 Comments on ‘Bending The Knee To Vigilante Markets’

Salivating Masses Excited That ‘Infallible’ Bull & Bear Indicator Now Flashing ‘Buy’ Signal

January 7, 2019January 7, 2019

Calm down, it’s not the “Big Low”.

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China’s Latest Attempt To Rescue Sentiment Falls Flat

January 7, 2019

We’re gonna need more than that.

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2 Comments on China’s Latest Attempt To Rescue Sentiment Falls Flat

‘Growth Decelerated Notably’: Goldman Slashes Metals Forecasts As China Jitters Proliferate

January 6, 2019January 6, 2019

It’s all about China data.

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2 Comments on ‘Growth Decelerated Notably’: Goldman Slashes Metals Forecasts As China Jitters Proliferate

Fed Doves, Trade Hawks And Steel Walls: Full Week Ahead Preview

January 6, 2019January 7, 2019

The new week is coming.

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7 Comments on Fed Doves, Trade Hawks And Steel Walls: Full Week Ahead Preview

As Trump’s Economic ‘Miracle’ Dies, Short Dollar Is En Vogue

January 6, 2019January 6, 2019

… I suppose the whole thing rests on who you want to fade.

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3 Comments on As Trump’s Economic ‘Miracle’ Dies, Short Dollar Is En Vogue

Behavioral Finance, ‘Certainty’ As An Investment Style And Other Key Themes For 2019

January 5, 2019

“Buzzwords” and buzzkills.

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4 Comments on Behavioral Finance, ‘Certainty’ As An Investment Style And Other Key Themes For 2019

Apple’s Guidance Cut Is Proof That Trump’s Trade War Is Coming Home

January 5, 2019October 24, 2021

“…we see it as part of a much part of a much broader picture.”

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7 Comments on Apple’s Guidance Cut Is Proof That Trump’s Trade War Is Coming Home

Amid The Volatility, Here’s The Latest From Marko Kolanovic, Goldman On Systematic Flows And Liquidity Provision

January 5, 2019January 6, 2019

The phenomenon is not only real, but in fact pervasive. There are, of course, caveats…

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14 Comments on Amid The Volatility, Here’s The Latest From Marko Kolanovic, Goldman On Systematic Flows And Liquidity Provision

Emergency Powers, Coyotes, And Women Tied Up In Vans: Highlights From Trump’s Shutdown Press Conference

January 4, 2019January 18, 2019

Just when you think it can’t possibly get any crazier…

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5 Comments on Emergency Powers, Coyotes, And Women Tied Up In Vans: Highlights From Trump’s Shutdown Press Conference

Nomura’s McElligott Explains Why Some Traders And PMs Are Set To Fade Jerome Powell

January 4, 2019January 4, 2019

“Desire to fade.”

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Jay Powell Figures It Out, Reiterates Flexible Policy, Draws 2016 Yellen Parallel, Says Trump Can’t Make Him Resign

January 4, 2019January 4, 2019

That’s better, Jay. A lot better.

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4 Comments on Jay Powell Figures It Out, Reiterates Flexible Policy, Draws 2016 Yellen Parallel, Says Trump Can’t Make Him Resign

Friday Tidbits: Mester Is Latest To Tip QT Tweak, Trump Blames Dems For Market Crash

January 4, 2019October 24, 2021

“Too much success!”

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2 Comments on Friday Tidbits: Mester Is Latest To Tip QT Tweak, Trump Blames Dems For Market Crash

Jobs Report Obliterates Estimates, Wage Growth Is Comin’ In Hot, Unemployment Rate Rises

January 4, 2019October 24, 2021

That’s a blockbuster.

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2 Comments on Jobs Report Obliterates Estimates, Wage Growth Is Comin’ In Hot, Unemployment Rate Rises

China Delivers RRR Cut Amid Rapidly Deteriorating Sentiment

January 4, 2019January 4, 2019

Welcome news, but no game changer.

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Recurring Nightmare.

January 3, 2019October 24, 2021

It was not a great session on Wall Street. 

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2 Comments on Recurring Nightmare.

Marko Kolanovic: ‘Over The Past Month, Confidence Virtually Collapsed’

January 3, 2019January 8, 2022

“Instead, already fragile sentiment was undermined”…

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10 Comments on Marko Kolanovic: ‘Over The Past Month, Confidence Virtually Collapsed’

2018 Summed Up In One Simple Chart…

January 3, 2019

Occam’s razor – again.

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2 Comments on 2018 Summed Up In One Simple Chart…

You Don’t Need A ‘Large Brain’ To Know Trump Is Screwing ‘A Heck Of A Lot’ Of U.S. Companies – Just Ask Kevin Hassett

January 3, 2019

“Glitches” and such.

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1 Comment on You Don’t Need A ‘Large Brain’ To Know Trump Is Screwing ‘A Heck Of A Lot’ Of U.S. Companies – Just Ask Kevin Hassett

You Know What They Say: ‘When It Rains Apple Guidance Cuts, It Pours Egregious ISM Prints’

January 3, 2019

“Juuust a bit outside.”

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2 Comments on You Know What They Say: ‘When It Rains Apple Guidance Cuts, It Pours Egregious ISM Prints’

This Flash Crash Matters – Here’s Why

January 3, 2019January 3, 2019

An indelible mark.

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2 Comments on This Flash Crash Matters – Here’s Why

Apple Price Targets Slashed En Masse, Suppliers Plunge As Guidance Cut Bites

January 3, 2019January 3, 2019

Fallout.

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1 Comment on Apple Price Targets Slashed En Masse, Suppliers Plunge As Guidance Cut Bites

Another ‘OMG’ Moment: Yen Surges In Incredible Bout Of FX Madness

January 2, 2019October 24, 2021

Add this to your list of dramatic “fragility” events, folks.

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2 Comments on Another ‘OMG’ Moment: Yen Surges In Incredible Bout Of FX Madness

Bad Apple.

January 2, 2019January 2, 2019

Uh oh.

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2 Comments on Bad Apple.

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