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Author: therealheisenberg

As Defaults Soar, China Promises World’s Second-Largest Bond Market Won’t Be Nightmare For Creditors

December 25, 2019

It’s impossible to fathom what a true default cycle might look like in China.

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Turkey, Erdogan Set Collision Course With US Congress Over Russian Missiles

December 25, 2019December 25, 2019

“Such language would push Turkey exactly toward places that they don’t want it turn to”.

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2 Comments on Turkey, Erdogan Set Collision Course With US Congress Over Russian Missiles

Yen, Pound See Wild Swings Amid Lack Of Adult Supervision

December 25, 2019December 25, 2019

“Nobody is trading now”.

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Trump Talks China Deal, Roger Stone Pardon And Possible ‘Beautiful Vase’ From North Korea

December 24, 2019

“I may get a vase”.

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1 Comment on Trump Talks China Deal, Roger Stone Pardon And Possible ‘Beautiful Vase’ From North Korea

Will Trump Be Impeached Again? McGahn Testimony Fight Heats Up While New Ukraine Docs Complicate Senate Trial

December 24, 2019December 25, 2019

“To oppose the admission of this evidence would be to turn a willfully blind eye to the facts”.

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Japan, South Korea Flash Point Still Menaces Global Economy As 2019 Melts Into 2020

December 24, 2019December 24, 2019

“Our relationship is one that cannot be made distant”.

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A Year On, Markets No Longer Haunted By Ghost Of 2018 Christmas Massacre

December 23, 2019December 24, 2019

And a partridge in a pear tree.

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Growth Will Be Sluggish And Corporate Fundamentals Will Deteriorate. So Buy The Dip And Short Vol., Of Course!

December 23, 2019December 23, 2019

A familiar paradox.

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3 Comments on Growth Will Be Sluggish And Corporate Fundamentals Will Deteriorate. So Buy The Dip And Short Vol., Of Course!

Potpourri! 9% Premiums, Weak Business Investment And Undersubscribed Repos

December 23, 2019December 23, 2019

Here are some notables that may fly under the radar.

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4 Comments on Potpourri! 94 Premiums, Weak Business Investment And Undersubscribed Repos

Vanguard Says Equity Volatility ‘Unsustainably Low’, 50% Odds Of Correction In 2020

December 23, 2019December 23, 2019

Caution is warranted, according to the mammoth collector of assets.

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Saudis Wrap Up Farcical Khashoggi ‘Trial’, Will Probably Behead Five Scapegoats, Jail Three More

December 23, 2019December 23, 2019

“Death sentences in Saudi Arabia are usually carried out by beheading in public squares”.

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1 Comment on Saudis Wrap Up Farcical Khashoggi ‘Trial’, Will Probably Behead Five Scapegoats, Jail Three More

China’s 2020 Tariff Cuts Cover Nearly 20% Of Total Imports

December 23, 2019December 23, 2019

Thanks to the retaliatory levies in place on US products, American exports will be less competitive.

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China Shares Dive, Are Not Amused With ‘Big Fund’ Selling Of Semi Stakes

December 23, 2019December 23, 2019

“The overall market sentiment remains strong”.

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1 Comment on China Shares Dive, Are Not Amused With ‘Big Fund’ Selling Of Semi Stakes

Global Economy Gets Ostensibly Positive News In China Tariff Headlines, South Korea Export Numbers

December 22, 2019December 22, 2019

All obligatory caveats aside…

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Questioning ‘Life Above 2%’ And Pondering The ‘Long-Dated Rates Catastrophe Option’

December 22, 2019

A large, sustained bond selloff isn’t likely, but…

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3 Comments on Questioning ‘Life Above 23’ And Pondering The ‘Long-Dated Rates Catastrophe Option’

To Fade Reflation Or Not To Fade: The Big Debate For 2020

December 22, 2019December 23, 2019

Pick a side.

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5 Comments on To Fade Reflation Or Not To Fade: The Big Debate For 2020

New, Heavily-Redacted Ukraine Documents Offer More Hard Evidence Of Trump’s Ill Intent

December 22, 2019December 22, 2019

“Please hold off”.

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Time To Lock People In The Riyadh Ritz! Saudi Aramco Rides Four-Day Losing Streak

December 22, 2019December 22, 2019

The world’s most profitable company has now nearly reversed half of the IPO rally.

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Cross-Asset Returns Are The Best In Recent Memory, But Beauty Is In The Eye Of The Beholder

December 21, 2019December 22, 2019

“All that glitters”…

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Bonds Dictated The Action In 2019. They May Hold The Keys In 2020 Too

December 21, 2019December 21, 2019

“…equities soon needed yields to rise to be able to do the same”.

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Trump Was Prepared To Force Government Shutdown Over Ukraine Language In Spending Bill: Sources

December 21, 2019December 21, 2019

The language was a “non-starter” for Trump.

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2 Comments on Trump Was Prepared To Force Government Shutdown Over Ukraine Language In Spending Bill: Sources

Melt-Up Or Euphoria? A Rose By Any Other Name…

December 20, 2019December 21, 2019

And yet, it doesn’t have to end now.

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6 Comments on Melt-Up Or Euphoria? A Rose By Any Other Name…

Trump’s Call With Xi Jinping Wasn’t As Cordial As Friday Tweet Suggests

December 20, 2019December 20, 2019

“Pay close attention to and attach importance to China’s concerns”.

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For 1,545 US Steel Workers, MAGA Promise Rings Hollow

December 20, 2019December 20, 2019

“Current market conditions made it imperative that we act now”.

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The Two Best Periods Of Optimism In US History Had One Thing In Common: Impeachment

December 20, 2019

Also, inflation expectations dropped to a record low.

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Nomura’s Charlie McElligott Delivers 2020 Macro Outlook: ‘My View Is Much More Realistic’

December 20, 2019December 20, 2019

“As a contrarian, consensual group-think views into the year-ahead are often exaggerated”.

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Say Goodbye To Mick Mulvaney. He’s A Lame Duck.

December 20, 2019December 20, 2019

“Well-oiled machine”.

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