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Author: therealheisenberg

‘Largest Political Shift On The Continent In 30 Years’: €750 Billion EU Rescue Fund, Joint Debt To Become Reality

May 27, 2020May 27, 2020

€500 billion will be in the form of grants.

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The US Election May Be Decided By June. But Would Trump Leave If He Lost?

May 26, 2020June 3, 2020

The tail risk to end all tail risks?

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24 Comments on The US Election May Be Decided By June. But Would Trump Leave If He Lost?

Euphoria Now. But Three Fiscal Cliffs Loom Large

May 26, 2020May 26, 2020

Hopefully, Mitch McConnell can be convinced.

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8 Comments on Euphoria Now. But Three Fiscal Cliffs Loom Large

100,000, Phoenix From The Ashes, And The China Sanctions Threat

May 26, 2020May 27, 2020

“…ahead of schedule.”

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1 Comment on 100,000, Phoenix From The Ashes, And The China Sanctions Threat

Robinhood, Mega-Cap Mania, And Peak Perpetual Motion

May 26, 2020May 26, 2020

“I am certain of the denouement, but it is possible its date is vastly longer than my career”.

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1 Comment on Robinhood, Mega-Cap Mania, And Peak Perpetual Motion

Why A Massive Debt-To-Equity Swap May Be Coming

May 26, 2020May 26, 2020

“…equity markets are set to experience a wave of capital raisings”.

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2 Comments on Why A Massive Debt-To-Equity Swap May Be Coming

‘Bearish Thoughts’ Will Be ‘Punished’

May 26, 2020May 26, 2020

Onward and upward for risk.

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2 Comments on ‘Bearish Thoughts’ Will Be ‘Punished’

What $600 Billion In AUM Sees For The Post-COVID World, And Why One Bank Thinks Full MMT Is Unlikely

May 25, 2020May 26, 2020

“What are the likely structural shifts post-pandemic?”

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21 Comments on What $600 Billion In AUM Sees For The Post-COVID World, And Why One Bank Thinks Full MMT Is Unlikely

World Trade Shrank Most Since GFC In March, Just Ahead Of Virus Lockdowns

May 25, 2020May 25, 2020

March’s monthly decline means world trade shrank for three months straight headed into pandemic protocol.

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1 Comment on World Trade Shrank Most Since GFC In March, Just Ahead Of Virus Lockdowns

Bored Retail Investors Not ‘Main Driving Force’ Behind Stock Surge, One Bank Says

May 25, 2020May 25, 2020

“…there is still a short base in equities to be covered”.

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4 Comments on Bored Retail Investors Not ‘Main Driving Force’ Behind Stock Surge, One Bank Says

Reopening Optimism Trumps All Other Considerations As Equities Climb Wall Of Worry

May 25, 2020May 25, 2020

“…it does not take much analytical skill to predict a much stronger slump in the second quarter”.

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1 Comment on Reopening Optimism Trumps All Other Considerations As Equities Climb Wall Of Worry

‘The Air Remains Thick With Caution’: Emerging Markets Stare Down Crises In Brazil, Hong Kong

May 24, 2020May 24, 2020

“We’ll see an HBO special about it ten or 15 years from now”.

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5 Comments on ‘The Air Remains Thick With Caution’: Emerging Markets Stare Down Crises In Brazil, Hong Kong

Why Morgan Stanley Sees ‘The Return Of Inflation’ After Coronavirus Crisis

May 24, 2020May 25, 2020

“The forces which will bring about inflation are aligning”.

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22 Comments on Why Morgan Stanley Sees ‘The Return Of Inflation’ After Coronavirus Crisis

Gary Cohn: Congress Needs To Be Ready To Spend $3-5 Trillion ‘At Any Given Moment’ In Crises

May 24, 2020May 24, 2020

“We now have the knowledge that at any given moment in time, our Congress is going to need to spend $3-5 trillion”.

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18 Comments on Gary Cohn: Congress Needs To Be Ready To Spend $3-5 Trillion ‘At Any Given Moment’ In Crises

‘Diffusion Disease,’ ‘Bizarre’ PEs And South Korean Canaries

May 24, 2020May 24, 2020

“Wink, wink”.

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6 Comments on ‘Diffusion Disease,’ ‘Bizarre’ PEs And South Korean Canaries

Protests, Tear Gas Return In Hong Kong. China Accuses US Of ‘Endangering World Peace’

May 24, 2020May 24, 2020

Wang also cautioned that anyone who expects Beijing to pay “reparations” for the virus is “daydreaming”.

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12 Comments on Protests, Tear Gas Return In Hong Kong. China Accuses US Of ‘Endangering World Peace’

‘The Stakes Keep Getting Higher’: US-China Cold War Likely To Continue Regardless Of Who’s President

May 23, 2020May 23, 2020

An “increasingly unstable and uncertain” world.

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2 Comments on ‘The Stakes Keep Getting Higher’: US-China Cold War Likely To Continue Regardless Of Who’s President

‘Cursed’ Hong Kong Is ‘Half-Way Dead’ Locals Say

May 23, 2020May 24, 2020

“It’s maybe cursed.”

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7 Comments on ‘Cursed’ Hong Kong Is ‘Half-Way Dead’ Locals Say

The Only Debate That Matters.

May 23, 2020May 23, 2020

The long version.

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14 Comments on The Only Debate That Matters.

Goodbye, Hertz. Don’t Come Back.

May 23, 2020May 23, 2020

“…when you turn off the revenues, it’s a very tough business”.

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14 Comments on Goodbye, Hertz. Don’t Come Back.

High Tension, Holiday Drift.

May 22, 2020May 23, 2020

Besides the US reopening story, the only narrative that’s likely to matter going forward is…

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oil1 Comment on High Tension, Holiday Drift.

$7 Trillion And Signs Of Addiction.

May 22, 2020May 22, 2020

As ever, the whole thing is a bit of a paradox.

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9 Comments on $7 Trillion And Signs Of Addiction.

‘Why Would Anyone Expect Stocks To Price Rationally?’ The State Of Exception Is Now Permanent

May 22, 2020May 22, 2020

They say it promotes “transparency.” It’s important, they say, for the public to understand “the process.”

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9 Comments on ‘Why Would Anyone Expect Stocks To Price Rationally?’ The State Of Exception Is Now Permanent

Meanwhile, In The UK: Retail Apocalypse, Record Deficit, Negative Rates And A Possible ‘Pound’ing

May 22, 2020May 22, 2020

“We may be in an era where financial markets have become desensitized to big percentages, but…”

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4 Comments on Meanwhile, In The UK: Retail Apocalypse, Record Deficit, Negative Rates And A Possible ‘Pound’ing

Beginning Of ‘The End’ For Hong Kong Sparks Massive Rout In Preview Of Coming Showdown

May 22, 2020May 22, 2020

This is the end, my only friend, the end.

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9 Comments on Beginning Of ‘The End’ For Hong Kong Sparks Massive Rout In Preview Of Coming Showdown

China Abandons GDP Target For 2020 As Virus Reality Sets In

May 21, 2020May 21, 2020

The abandonment of the target speaks volumes about the scope of the damage inflicted by the pathogen.

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1 Comment on China Abandons GDP Target For 2020 As Virus Reality Sets In

Just Two Things.

May 21, 2020May 22, 2020

“We are now experiencing a whole new level of uncertainty”.

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6 Comments on Just Two Things.

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